Oily-Velvet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$170

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-11 23:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 40% $-170

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$90	61	61	+0	Up	+$30	05-06 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$78	49	49	+0	Up	+$18	05-06 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	4	$64	57	57	+0	Down	+$14	05-06 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$60	107	0	+107	Up	$-60	05-11 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	4	$54	161	36	+125	Up	+$14	05-06 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$53	41	41	+0	Up	+$13	05-11 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$52	33	33	+0	open	—	04-30 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$51	100	100	+0	Up	+$19	05-06 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$50	93	0	+93	Down	$-50	05-06 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$40	89	0	+89	Down	$-40	05-06 19:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$39	80	0	+80	Up	$-39	05-06 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$37	29	29	+0	Down	+$21	05-06 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$35	36	36	+0	open	—	04-30 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$32	167	0	+167	Up	$-32	05-06 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$32	25	25	+0	Down	+$12	05-06 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$29	17	17	+0	open	—	04-30 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$28	101	0	+101	Up	$-28	05-06 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$28	21	21	+0	Up	+$14	05-06 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	3	$27	37	19	+19	Up	$-3	05-11 22:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$20	53	0	+53	open	—	04-30 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	3	$17	16	7	+9	Down	+$6	05-06 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$17	13	13	+0	open	—	04-30 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	3	$16	165	0	+165	Up	$-16	05-06 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	4	$16	19	19	+0	open	—	04-30 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	4	$15	26	26	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$15	73	0	+73	Down	$-15	05-06 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	04-30 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$12	12	12	+0	open	—	04-30 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$11	12	12	+0	open	—	04-30 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$11	24	0	+24	open	—	04-30 21:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 23:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x0e1d0d…
05-11 23:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x755ad2…
05-11 23:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xf54c47…
05-11 23:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	107	56¢	$60	0xc7fa0c…
05-11 23:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xaf01a7…
05-11 23:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf0aff0…
05-11 22:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0x0970fb…
05-11 22:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9a0c7e…
05-11 22:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xe043d2…
05-11 22:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6c9e79…
05-11 22:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x021b92…
05-11 22:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	21	59¢	$12	0x587672…
05-11 22:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x4360d7…
05-11 22:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x015732…
05-11 22:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xeea2ab…
05-11 22:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	19	66¢	$12	0x70a556…
05-11 22:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x412524…
05-11 22:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1d79b5…
05-06 20:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0x4ec9e0…
05-06 20:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	80	49¢	$39	0x63fcd9…
05-06 19:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf22461…
05-06 19:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x35042b…
05-06 19:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x53c5c0…
05-06 19:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x430129…
05-06 19:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb2f6a3…
05-06 19:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x36b868…
05-06 19:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xa35eea…
05-06 19:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xeae0b8…
05-06 19:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x496dbb…
05-06 19:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe9b0f7…
05-06 19:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x79ee9c…
05-06 19:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x83ddd0…
05-06 19:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	97	33¢	$32	0x5895e0…
05-06 19:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	97	15¢	$15	0x9ea949…
05-06 19:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xa4c678…
05-06 19:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0xa7bc86…
05-06 19:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xb17537…
05-06 19:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	36	95¢	$34	0x049744…
05-06 19:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x8f4d40…
05-06 19:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x943c93…
05-06 19:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x751f2a…
05-06 18:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	25	87¢	$22	0x05d2c4…
05-06 18:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x39c798…
05-06 18:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x44f6d3…
05-06 18:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xb576c5…
05-06 18:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	83	33¢	$27	0xa12dee…
05-06 18:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xb65ac1…
05-06 18:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x28db34…
05-06 18:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xa911df…
05-06 18:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xc1a246…
05-06 18:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xd6a59f…
05-06 17:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x444a55…
05-06 17:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x1a0eab…
05-06 17:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0xe8cd65…
05-06 17:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0xcc2b70…
05-06 17:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x0a6fa2…
05-06 17:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x8004a7…
05-06 17:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x036e67…
05-06 17:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	49	99¢	$48	0x210b84…
05-06 17:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x3dd4b4…
05-06 17:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xff33a7…
05-06 17:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x5d115f…
05-06 17:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xb4cfe5…
05-06 17:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	32	44¢	$14	0x89e65d…
05-06 17:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x65fbd3…
04-30 21:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x80101c…
04-30 21:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	36	43¢	$15	0xe755fc…
04-30 21:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xa803db…
04-30 21:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd145bb…
04-30 21:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0xb58258…
04-30 21:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0xb19fb2…
04-30 21:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x21cfa2…
04-30 21:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xdee991…
04-30 20:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x8c2157…
04-30 20:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x3e19d1…
04-30 20:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe54a0e…
04-30 20:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x288e09…
04-30 20:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe9a1a5…
04-30 20:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb58837…
04-30 20:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	17	47¢	$8	0x6e7613…
04-30 20:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x45e085…
04-30 20:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	13	73¢	$10	0x48e859…
04-30 20:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xc330af…
04-30 20:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	53¢	$6	0x141dc5…
04-30 20:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x7f136a…
04-30 20:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x6b581a…
04-30 20:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	35	17¢	$6	0x161899…
04-30 20:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xc384a1…
04-30 20:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x2052f3…
04-30 20:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0xa8a59f…
04-30 20:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x2702a8…
04-30 19:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0xeed5f8…
04-30 19:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x2c220d…
04-30 19:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xac77f5…
04-30 19:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x966a87…
04-30 19:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	73¢	$12	0x2ac214…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	46	$120.8K	3,923	05-11 23:29
(anonymous) 0xb27b…5b82	46	$62.5K	10,501	05-11 23:29
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17	46	$55.7K	6,216	05-11 23:29
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	46	$54.8K	6,268	05-11 23:28
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	46	$41.9K	2,546	05-11 23:29
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	46	$35.0K	1,194	05-11 23:29
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	46	$32.8K	672	05-11 23:29
Impossible-Bolt 0xc905…b394	46	$24.6K	560	05-11 23:29