Memorable-Shoreline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$78

Unrealized P&L

+$58

Hit rate

68.8%

Resolved

391

Trades

2,162

lifetime

Volume

$155.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

$125

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-28 00:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Other

86% 49% +$106

Crypto

11% 49% -$393

Sports

3% 53% +$203

Politics

0% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday?	Yes		+139	$37	70¢	$98	+$62	09-01 16:31
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes		+108	$31	25¢	$27	-$4	09-28 00:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	278	$52.9K	28,547	28,547	+0	Yes	+$2	01-22 14:10
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	119	$21.3K	11,088	11,088	+0	No	-$3	01-21 12:06
crint ind nzl 2026 01 21	52	$10.1K	6,374	5,911	+463	India	+$40	01-21 16:44
crint ind nzl 2026 01 23	68	$6.6K	5,713	5,593	+120	India	-$92	01-23 15:40
over 50m committed to the ranger public sale nd7b 655	5	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$20	01-10 15:40
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	19	$2.4K	5,528	3,528	+2,000	No	-$23	06-03 11:31
Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?	10	$1.9K	1,212	1,212	+0	No	+$15	02-05 18:06
over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	3	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$10	07-16 11:20
crict20blast yor som 2026 07 15	4	$1.7K	998	998	+0	Somerset	+$90	07-15 17:45
crint ind4 afg2 2026 06 20	18	$1.6K	999	999	+0	India	+$20	06-20 11:08
crint ind usa 2026 02 07	8	$1.6K	1,671	227	+1,444	India	-$12	02-07 16:59
crint sco wst 2026 02 07	23	$1.5K	2,290	791	+1,499	West Indies	+$168	02-07 13:04
ethereum up or down on february 3	86	$1.5K	3,017	2,263	+754	Down	+$9	02-03 08:24
crint irl4 ind4 2026 06 26	4	$1.4K	1,300	300	+1,000	Ireland	+$23	06-26 15:53
crint afg zaf 2026 02 11	29	$1.3K	1,750	950	+800	South Africa	+$113	02-11 09:46
crint npl sco 2026 02 17	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	Nepal	+$1	02-17 16:49
crint omn zwe 2026 02 09	4	$993	520	520	+0	Zimbabwe	+$2	02-09 12:06
over 15m committed to the ranger public sale	3	$987	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$13	01-10 07:43
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	4	$985	2,000	0	+2,000	Norway	+$15	07-05 22:04
Over $30M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	7	$982	728	728	+0	No	+$313	01-28 11:30
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indians	3	$973	500	500	+0	Mumbai Indians	+$16	04-20 17:09
bitcoin up or down on january 31	7	$948	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$28	01-31 11:35
over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale 755 669	10	$920	922	0	+922	Yes	+$2	07-01 14:34
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-21 08:00 UTC	10	$911	500	500	+0	Up	-$61	04-21 11:13
crint lka irl 2026 02 08	8	$899	700	700	+0	Sri Lanka	+$37	02-08 15:50
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	18	$857	2,283	1,483	+800	Yes	+$8	03-24 20:31
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-25 09:00 UTC	5	$800	1,600	0	+1,600	Up	$0	02-25 12:16
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	4	$784	396	396	+0	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$2	05-22 17:37
ethereum up or down on february 6	4	$760	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	$0	02-05 18:25
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	81	$707	10,823	10,823	+0	No	+$0	02-13 12:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 00:50:06	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	27	24¢	$7	0xf34260…
09-27 18:58:02	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	27	26¢	$7	0x5ce04c…
09-27 11:23:57	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	54	32¢	$18	0xdc331a…
09-09 05:10:19	Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	No	SELL	37	50¢	$18	0xefed4e…
09-09 05:10:00	Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x24eb38…
09-09 05:09:55	Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	No	SELL	24	51¢	$12	0x94b0f9…
09-01 16:31:28	Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday?	Yes	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x747270…
08-16 05:19:54	Will the match end in a draw?	No	SELL	108	66¢	$71	0x54cf25…
08-15 09:18:19	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	85	68¢	$58	0x6d8d96…
08-15 08:26:18	Will the match end in a draw?	No	BUY	23	68¢	$15	0x92cb5e…
08-15 07:06:19	Will Bangladesh win?	Yes	BUY	54	77¢	$41	0xc91ca5…
08-15 05:32:21	Will Australia win?	No	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x3b17d0…
08-15 05:23:16	Will Bangladesh win?	Yes	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x5e7ac5…
08-12 10:00:18	will thor die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259191	Yes	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0x4daefa…
08-05 18:51:23	Will TSG Hoffenheim vs. Karlsruher SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,714	0¢	$2	0x442d10…
08-05 18:50:42	Will TSG Hoffenheim vs. Karlsruher SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xfcb061…
08-05 18:50:42	Will TSG Hoffenheim vs. Karlsruher SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x7a4546…
08-05 18:50:41	Will TSG Hoffenheim vs. Karlsruher SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x20f549…
08-05 17:07:17	Will TSG Hoffenheim vs. Karlsruher SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xe33ea1…
08-05 17:06:41	Will TSG Hoffenheim vs. Karlsruher SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xf62eca…
07-31 21:54:06	will thor die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259191	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x5b35e9…
07-30 14:36:12	will thor die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259191	Yes	SELL	70	95¢	$67	0x396395…
07-29 20:05:02	will thor die in avengers doomsday 20260701214259191	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x76d36e…
07-20 18:17:25	mlb stl laa 2026 07 20 spread away 1pt5	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x943415…
07-20 18:17:19	mlb oak ari 2026 07 20 spread home 1pt5	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xe4b522…
07-20 18:17:12	mlb cin sea 2026 07 20 spread home 1pt5	Seattle Mariners	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x7deada…
07-20 18:17:06	mlb wsh col 2026 07 20 spread away 1pt5	Washington Nationals	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x027a62…
07-20 18:17:00	mlb mia hou 2026 07 20 spread home 1pt5	Houston Astros	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x291c60…
07-20 18:16:52	mlb det chc 2026 07 20 spread away 1pt5	Detroit Tigers	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x95840c…
07-20 18:16:45	mlb cws tex 2026 07 20 spread home 1pt5	Texas Rangers	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x7b49ee…
07-20 18:16:37	mlb sf kc 2026 07 20 spread away 1pt5	San Francisco Giants	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xd80a25…
07-20 18:16:25	mlb sd atl 2026 07 20 spread home 1pt5	Atlanta Braves	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x90af33…
07-20 18:16:19	mlb bal bos 2026 07 20 spread home 1pt5	Boston Red Sox	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x6e6666…
07-20 18:16:12	mlb lad phi 2026 07 20 spread home 1pt5	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xf21621…
07-20 18:16:06	mlb tb tor 2026 07 20 spread home 1pt5	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xfb7f3b…
07-20 18:15:49	mlb pit nyy 2026 07 20 spread away 1pt5	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xd88159…
07-20 18:15:40	mlb min cle 2026 07 20 spread away 1pt5	Minnesota Twins	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xbceda7…
07-19 18:39:54	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	108	5¢	$5	0xf9f0f0…
07-19 18:38:15	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	72	12¢	$8	0xd8cfea…
07-19 18:37:51	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x2e75ce…
07-19 18:37:34	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	54	23¢	$13	0xbbcebd…
07-19 05:47:25	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x710e73…
07-19 05:15:52	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	66	7¢	$5	0x5a820a…
07-19 05:14:22	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x132143…
07-17 16:52:34	over 70m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325658 784	No	BUY	527	100¢	$525	0x68f275…
07-17 16:33:30	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	Yes	SELL	201	19¢	$39	0x94e100…
07-17 16:32:28	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	SELL	134	95¢	$127	0x31036c…
07-17 16:31:06	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	Yes	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x880a41…
07-17 16:17:58	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	SELL	27	86¢	$23	0x7cf847…
07-17 16:05:03	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xff2857…
07-17 16:04:46	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	Yes	BUY	70	20¢	$14	0xb2f3bb…
07-17 16:04:30	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	Yes	BUY	34	20¢	$7	0x882219…
07-17 16:00:04	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xd79138…
07-17 16:00:04	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0xb25dce…
07-17 16:00:04	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x32e829…
07-17 16:00:03	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$0	0xf305e9…
07-17 16:00:03	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0xda614d…
07-17 16:00:01	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xfe4aa3…
07-17 15:59:58	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xee92d0…
07-17 15:59:58	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x170811…
07-17 15:45:03	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	54	61¢	$33	0xf973ff…
07-17 15:30:30	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	Yes	BUY	54	15¢	$8	0x1ec7c1…
07-17 15:28:04	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	Yes	BUY	54	19¢	$10	0x5f2055…
07-17 15:27:45	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	41	57¢	$23	0x84da34…
07-17 15:27:04	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	13	57¢	$7	0x8044fb…
07-17 13:45:07	crint zwe2 bgd2 2026 07 17	Bangladesh	SELL	165	99¢	$164	0xb62855…
07-17 12:46:24	crint zwe2 bgd2 2026 07 17	Bangladesh	BUY	45	82¢	$37	0x4dc6f4…
07-17 12:33:46	crint zwe2 bgd2 2026 07 17	Bangladesh	BUY	62	92¢	$57	0x8398ce…
07-17 12:33:36	crint zwe2 bgd2 2026 07 17	Bangladesh	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xd712ef…
07-17 12:33:13	crint zwe2 bgd2 2026 07 17	Bangladesh	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x35e5c4…
07-17 11:56:51	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	SELL	96	80¢	$77	0x8ff4cd…
07-16 13:12:32	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	SELL	24	84¢	$20	0xb1b2e1…
07-16 12:45:02	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	SELL	24	80¢	$19	0xf3eeac…
07-16 11:20:14	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	730	88¢	$642	0xc1cd9c…
07-16 10:29:59	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	270	88¢	$238	0x41d767…
07-16 09:25:14	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	1,000	87¢	$870	0x162d34…
07-15 21:29:28	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	SELL	24	78¢	$19	0x023549…
07-15 21:28:16	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x55c254…
07-15 21:28:13	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	No	SELL	23	76¢	$17	0x55d632…
07-15 18:52:31	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	SELL	24	72¢	$17	0x1b2289…
07-15 17:45:49	crict20blast yor som 2026 07 15	Yorkshire	SELL	998	89¢	$888	0xb8802e…
07-15 17:44:40	crict20blast yor som 2026 07 15	Yorkshire	BUY	966	80¢	$773	0xce0da6…
07-15 17:42:19	crict20blast yor som 2026 07 15	Yorkshire	BUY	19	78¢	$14	0x76c2b2…
07-15 17:41:22	crict20blast yor som 2026 07 15	Yorkshire	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x6b868f…
07-15 14:31:05	crint irl7 wst4 2026 07 15	West Indies	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x2126b5…
07-15 11:46:16	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	BUY	212	57¢	$121	0xc9c403…
07-15 11:13:56	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xbe5758…
07-15 11:07:46	over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653	No	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x61f191…
07-15 09:58:55	over 65m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xb944b4…
07-15 04:40:25	over 75m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	101	2¢	$2	0x0d7ad2…
07-15 04:39:56	over 85m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	101	97¢	$98	0x8e5834…
07-13 05:31:28	credible fdv above 100m one day after launch 20260708144505957	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb2fba7…
07-13 04:22:53	Will India win?	Yes	SELL	289	100¢	$288	0x87d7ce…
07-13 03:34:26	Will India win?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xc29b9e…
07-13 03:18:20	Will the match end in a draw?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x1be68c…
07-13 03:17:53	Will the match end in a draw?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x4ca788…
07-13 01:51:31	Will the match end in a draw?	No	SELL	74	100¢	$73	0xdd576e…
07-13 01:27:13	Will the match end in a draw?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x83f542…
07-13 01:06:19	Will the match end in a draw?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x768eea…
07-12 13:10:14	Will the match end in a draw?	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x23c69d…