Better-Scientist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$419

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.5%

Resolved

2,041

Trades

5,486

lifetime

Volume

$1.01M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$184

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 06-02 06:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 87% -$3,988

Politics

2% 61% +$4,298

Other

1% 57% +$90

Sports

0% 100% +$18

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 5 9am et	4	$7.6K	3,817	3,817	+0	Down	+$69	02-05 15:32
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 21:15 UTC	9	$4.9K	4,979	0	+4,979	Down	+$79	02-15 21:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 14:15 UTC	12	$4.4K	4,485	0	+4,485	Up	+$85	02-15 14:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 18:30 UTC	6	$4.2K	4,471	0	+4,471	Down	+$255	02-03 18:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 18:45 UTC	5	$4.2K	4,269	0	+4,269	Down	+$69	02-04 18:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 18:15 UTC	16	$3.9K	4,221	0	+4,221	Down	+$272	02-03 18:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 09:45 UTC	10	$3.8K	3,873	0	+3,873	Down	+$73	02-15 09:59
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	9	$3.6K	1,848	1,848	+0	Yes	+$30	03-02 06:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 21:15 UTC	5	$3.4K	1,728	1,728	+0	Down	+$26	02-03 21:31
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 21:45 UTC	4	$3.4K	3,438	0	+3,438	Up	+$38	02-15 21:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 21:45 UTC	6	$3.4K	3,458	0	+3,458	Up	+$58	02-14 21:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 18:45 UTC	9	$3.4K	3,438	0	+3,438	Up	+$67	02-11 18:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 22:15 UTC	9	$3.3K	3,414	0	+3,414	Up	-$3,300	02-05 22:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 11:00 UTC	8	$3.1K	3,149	0	+3,149	Up	+$49	02-15 11:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 20:45 UTC	6	$3.1K	3,144	0	+3,144	Down	+$44	02-15 20:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 19:45 UTC	4	$2.9K	2,954	0	+2,954	Down	+$54	02-16 19:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 20:30 UTC	8	$2.9K	2,964	0	+2,964	Up	+$64	02-15 20:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 15:15 UTC	5	$2.9K	2,962	0	+2,962	Down	+$62	02-16 15:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 21:00 UTC	7	$2.8K	1,463	1,461	+1	Up	+$39	02-03 21:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 15:15 UTC	9	$2.8K	1,439	1,439	+0	Up	+$38	02-10 15:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 17:15 UTC	6	$2.7K	2,826	0	+2,826	Up	+$125	02-03 17:29
bitcoin up or down february 9 10am et	5	$2.6K	1,323	1,323	+0	Up	+$22	02-09 16:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 23:45 UTC	9	$2.6K	2,644	0	+2,644	Up	+$44	02-15 23:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 00:45 UTC	7	$2.6K	2,630	0	+2,630	Up	+$30	02-16 00:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 00:15 UTC	7	$2.6K	2,629	0	+2,629	Down	+$29	02-16 00:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 12:30 UTC	9	$2.6K	2,621	0	+2,621	Down	+$21	02-15 12:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 11:30 UTC	5	$2.5K	2,587	0	+2,587	Down	+$37	02-11 11:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 13:45 UTC	6	$2.5K	2,607	0	+2,607	Up	+$107	02-11 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 21:30 UTC	6	$2.5K	2,540	0	+2,540	Down	+$40	02-03 21:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 22:15 UTC	9	$2.5K	2,529	0	+2,529	Down	+$29	02-14 22:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 06:50:59	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x22e9b0…
06-02 06:42:18	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	151	66¢	$100	0xb00ef1…
06-01 23:49:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	265	99¢	$262	0x08dbbb…
06-01 23:49:33	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xf76fdc…
06-01 23:49:33	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xc18b10…
06-01 23:24:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xf679bc…
06-01 21:23:56	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x89e4a6…
06-01 21:23:08	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x4df502…
06-01 21:14:22	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	212	99¢	$210	0x2e5f4c…
06-01 21:14:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x4e12c2…
06-01 21:13:45	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x6226be…
06-01 16:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x35c4b6…
06-01 16:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x0383ca…
06-01 16:37:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	466	7¢	$33	0xb01599…
06-01 16:37:13	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	466	21¢	$100	0xec664b…
06-01 16:34:13	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xc2053f…
06-01 16:25:14	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xc86caf…
06-01 16:24:44	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x2fb4e2…
06-01 16:22:47	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	154	71¢	$109	0xed08b1…
06-01 16:22:12	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x5ad062…
06-01 16:20:15	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0xf7022c…
06-01 16:20:01	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x723b8e…
06-01 16:18:56	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	221	55¢	$122	0x925c61…
06-01 16:17:14	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	221	45¢	$100	0x0c790c…
05-31 13:59:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	107	98¢	$104	0xafaf49…
05-31 13:59:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x82b715…
05-31 13:58:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	126	85¢	$107	0x7f6f2f…
05-31 13:58:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	126	79¢	$100	0xbcecbb…
05-31 13:49:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	286	2¢	$5	0xa7c1ad…
05-31 13:44:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x38ad1a…
05-31 13:34:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x22bbcd…
05-31 13:33:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	141	83¢	$117	0xeeade1…
05-31 13:32:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x527054…
05-28 23:19:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	153	65¢	$100	0x8872f8…
05-28 23:19:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	152	86¢	$131	0xfdbf5e…
05-28 23:17:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x81f211…
05-28 23:14:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	174	67¢	$118	0x1a5887…
05-28 23:13:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	174	57¢	$100	0x9189b3…
05-28 23:09:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x4e0b97…
05-28 23:09:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x6fe462…
05-28 23:09:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	109	91¢	$100	0x9ac9b3…
05-28 23:08:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x94f1a4…
05-28 22:49:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	106	99¢	$105	0xa1113a…
05-28 22:49:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x0b529d…
05-28 22:44:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x92cd07…
05-28 22:39:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x9763c9…
05-28 20:29:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2d6ccf…
05-28 20:29:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdaf18a…
05-28 17:31:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xe7a5b8…
05-28 17:31:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbe9aff…
05-28 06:19:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x293484…
05-28 06:04:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfa358a…
05-28 06:04:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xba8052…
05-27 23:04:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x0840d9…
05-27 23:04:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x3e649f…
05-27 22:43:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xb1f9b7…
05-27 22:39:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x6f51c0…
05-27 22:39:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$6	0x9ec67f…
05-27 22:39:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xea8768…
05-27 18:34:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x5d3aec…
05-27 18:34:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xac208b…
05-27 14:49:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x23dd3b…
05-27 14:44:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xbf9553…
05-27 12:08:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeaba83…
05-27 08:19:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x4c6402…
05-27 08:14:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x5b42b7…
05-27 08:14:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xffbbde…
05-27 08:09:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x32f5d0…
05-27 07:59:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x3b089c…
05-26 23:08:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x3213b2…
05-26 22:59:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xc97bf2…
05-26 22:19:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0x85328d…
05-26 22:19:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x3b4f16…
05-26 22:18:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	169	71¢	$120	0x9acd3d…
05-26 22:18:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xf7423c…
05-26 22:15:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	107	99¢	$105	0x57b19e…
05-26 22:14:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x851f2e…
05-26 22:12:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	126	82¢	$104	0x883a1b…
05-26 22:11:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	126	79¢	$100	0xce88bd…
05-26 22:09:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	181	55¢	$100	0x5da090…
05-26 22:03:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	110	98¢	$108	0xe6adb9…
05-26 22:03:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x7707d1…
05-26 22:01:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	169	69¢	$117	0x2c7036…
05-26 22:00:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xa809e7…
05-26 20:24:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0xd045f9…
05-26 20:24:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	103	19¢	$19	0xf32121…
05-26 20:23:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	34	22¢	$7	0x539ab2…
05-26 20:22:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	138	73¢	$100	0xbcef42…
05-26 20:19:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0x1f7d64…
05-26 20:19:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x82f200…
05-26 19:39:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	140	95¢	$133	0x92cf19…
05-26 19:39:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	140	95¢	$132	0x227885…
05-26 19:36:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	136	74¢	$100	0xc48188…
05-26 19:36:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x00b512…
05-26 19:34:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	107	97¢	$104	0x0676c0…
05-26 19:33:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0xd864b4…
05-26 19:32:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xb4189f…
05-26 19:31:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa4c48f…
05-26 19:26:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	112	92¢	$103	0xff7157…
05-26 19:26:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xadc5e4…