Honest-Tiger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.1%

Resolved

Trades

728

lifetime

Volume

$5.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 05-30 12:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 59% $-25

Other

6% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	10	$114	154	154	+0	open	—	05-01 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	4	$106	61	61	+0	open	—	05-03 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	10	$98	96	96	+0	open	—	05-01 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	4	$95	61	61	+0	Up	+$3	05-09 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	6	$88	59	59	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	4	$87	55	55	+0	Down	+$5	05-09 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	6	$86	74	74	+0	Up	$-1	05-09 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	4	$85	51	51	+0	open	—	05-02 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	4	$84	67	67	+0	Down	+$4	05-09 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$82	45	45	+0	open	—	05-02 07:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	6	$76	51	51	+0	Up	+$6	05-09 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$72	42	42	+0	open	—	05-02 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	7	$69	51	47	+4	open	—	05-02 19:30
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	2	$68	77	77	+0	open	—	05-15 19:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	5	$65	71	42	+29	Down	$-35	05-09 09:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$62	36	36	+0	open	—	05-03 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$62	46	46	+0	open	—	05-02 21:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	5	$59	65	21	+45	open	—	05-03 05:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	6	$59	45	45	+0	open	—	05-04 05:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	4	$55	36	36	+0	Down	+$5	05-09 08:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$55	30	30	+0	open	—	05-02 21:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$55	106	106	+0	open	—	05-09 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$52	27	27	+0	open	—	05-02 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	7	$52	45	45	+0	open	—	05-01 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	8	$51	48	48	+0	open	—	05-02 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$50	31	31	+0	open	—	05-03 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	5	$49	72	36	+36	Down	$-25	05-09 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	6	$47	37	37	+0	Up	$-1	05-10 04:40
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	5	$47	31,370	15,685	+15,685	open	—	04-27 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	4	$47	35	35	+0	open	—	05-01 07:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 12:36:37	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc1672e…
05-30 12:35:22	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xb484ae…
05-30 12:30:35	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x973656…
05-30 12:21:55	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x4a77ef…
05-30 12:18:27	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x7eafab…
05-30 12:18:08	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x13f041…
05-30 12:16:17	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xfdb85c…
05-30 12:02:40	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x27ca8d…
05-30 12:02:16	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x0a7c2f…
05-30 12:01:32	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x34d17d…
05-30 12:00:22	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x533332…
05-30 11:59:42	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0xa51f3f…
05-30 11:59:01	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0x0221ab…
05-30 11:56:06	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x86b9c1…
05-30 11:55:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0x87ecde…
05-30 11:34:26	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x500f46…
05-30 11:33:00	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xb8603b…
05-30 11:32:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	3¢	$2	0xa125d9…
05-29 18:00:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0xf4de85…
05-29 17:03:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	16¢	$7	0x79ad48…
05-29 16:39:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	157	15¢	$24	0x81093b…
05-15 19:20:50	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	77	71¢	$54	0xbb09cd…
05-14 03:28:48	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	77	18¢	$14	0x3c4a00…
05-11 09:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x66b6c6…
05-11 09:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0xd41f46…
05-11 09:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xb2faa0…
05-11 07:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0xc5f86f…
05-11 07:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	55¢	$10	0x90b4b5…
05-11 05:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdd59c7…
05-11 05:15:45	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	105	5¢	$5	0x803920…
05-10 05:15:30	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	81	9¢	$7	0xf4e256…
05-10 05:15:13	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	221	3¢	$7	0xee5b5b…
05-10 05:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf116f7…
05-10 04:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd74e7a…
05-10 04:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x27991a…
05-10 04:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$3	0xb82d65…
05-10 04:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0xeb3998…
05-10 04:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x9b3dc7…
05-10 04:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0xc7c543…
05-10 04:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xbe84a8…
05-10 04:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x64bf40…
05-10 04:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$3	0xb7c86c…
05-10 04:48:07	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	195	4¢	$8	0xbc2690…
05-10 04:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	13	88¢	$12	0x43c710…
05-10 04:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0x9eb2e4…
05-10 04:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0xd8b889…
05-10 04:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x4ad919…
05-10 04:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x64697d…
05-10 04:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	13	45¢	$6	0x17ab97…
05-10 04:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x0302e3…
05-10 04:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	17	63¢	$11	0x906d18…
05-10 04:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0xc3f134…
05-10 04:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xe187d6…
05-10 04:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x56fcd5…
05-10 04:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x607c1b…
05-10 04:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xa6feb8…
05-10 04:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xfc4d30…
05-10 04:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x90bc75…
05-10 04:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x55459e…
05-10 04:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x63cf09…
05-10 04:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xba0622…
05-10 04:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$7	0xe62371…
05-10 04:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x9a4411…
05-10 04:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0x9134e0…
05-10 04:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x31f54e…
05-10 04:14:10	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x9e0a27…
05-10 04:07:49	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x83e050…
05-09 09:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xa7a779…
05-09 09:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	24	18¢	$4	0x557531…
05-09 09:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x8eb5e4…
05-09 09:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	18	60¢	$11	0xb05e94…
05-09 09:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xd66d95…
05-09 09:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	24	87¢	$21	0x3c49f9…
05-09 09:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x2f1592…
05-09 09:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	33	94¢	$31	0xd2909b…
05-09 09:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0x99460b…
05-09 09:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	28	64¢	$18	0xed8c14…
05-09 09:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0xe99a30…
05-09 09:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	19	93¢	$17	0x5a7aff…
05-09 09:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x9b4639…
05-09 09:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x2d62e9…
05-09 09:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x39824e…
05-09 09:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	35	82¢	$29	0x77c1f3…
05-09 09:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	35	66¢	$23	0x3f599c…
05-09 09:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	26	89¢	$23	0xfcd7c2…
05-09 09:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	74¢	$19	0x6cc362…
05-09 09:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	41	51¢	$21	0xe57d71…
05-09 09:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0x17d453…
05-09 09:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	24	50¢	$12	0xad2688…
05-09 09:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xac4000…
05-09 09:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	20	48¢	$9	0x6cbbda…
05-09 08:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x15cb70…
05-09 08:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	18	88¢	$16	0x704221…
05-09 08:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x6f6927…
05-09 08:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	18	82¢	$15	0xe49344…
05-09 08:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xe695e2…
05-09 08:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x05794f…
05-09 08:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x49ba79…
05-09 08:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	36	44¢	$16	0x3c7b5f…
05-09 08:33:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	47	25¢	$12	0xbffad9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	204	$48.7K	16,796	05-30 12:04
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	197	$211.1K	8,006	06-01 04:51
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	195	$28.2K	5,449	05-11 09:54
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	194	$3.41K	372	05-11 07:33
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	192	$34.0K	10,873	05-11 09:54
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	192	$31.7K	9,962	05-11 09:54
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	192	$27.9K	5,801	05-11 09:54
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	191	$86.9K	7,238	05-30 12:07