Honest-Polliwog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.68K

Unrealized P&L

-$438

Hit rate

55.2%

Resolved

Trades

234

lifetime

Volume

$18.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

$30

1 position

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-25 06:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

90% 33% -$1,868

Tech

10% 0% -$1,813

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-25).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes		+2,388	$468	1¢	$30	-$438	05-25 06:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	34	$7.6K	6,339	6,339	+0	Yes	+$2,755	05-18 17:15
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	37	$4.4K	30,580	13,636	+16,944	No	-$3,598	05-19 17:40
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	13	$2.4K	2,000	1,300	+700	Yes	+$860	05-19 12:40
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	57	$1.5K	10,633	0	+10,633	No	-$1,538	05-19 14:01
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	24	$1.2K	6,999	0	+6,999	Yes	-$1,206	05-19 16:56
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	1	$468	2,388	0	+2,388	open	—	05-25 06:44
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	41	$314	11,932	0	+11,932	No	-$314	05-18 17:29
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	4	$293	25,328	0	+25,328	No	-$293	05-18 15:42
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 18m?	14	$180	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$180	05-08 04:52
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	9	$167	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$167	05-15 05:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 06:44:17	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,388	20¢	$468	0xd9607d…
05-19 17:40:05	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,837	2¢	$28	0xc18f28…
05-19 17:39:59	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$15	0x34c8f4…
05-19 17:39:09	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	914	2¢	$14	0x15ba36…
05-19 17:37:06	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xe4a430…
05-19 17:37:06	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xa97cba…
05-19 17:37:04	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x71fc38…
05-19 17:37:04	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x6f0a6e…
05-19 17:37:03	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xc71346…
05-19 17:36:36	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	999	2¢	$16	0x0e1146…
05-19 17:35:11	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x44dc0b…
05-19 17:34:58	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,579	3¢	$145	0x73f60e…
05-19 17:34:15	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,956	4¢	$162	0x02f999…
05-19 16:58:15	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,952	6¢	$125	0x49db56…
05-19 16:56:53	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	578	11¢	$64	0xdfabf1…
05-19 14:02:35	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	1,260	10¢	$126	0x666d7d…
05-19 14:01:46	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	634	8¢	$51	0x6a8dbd…
05-19 12:43:18	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	550	8¢	$44	0xcb7e63…
05-19 12:40:39	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,241	97¢	$1,206	0x88931e…
05-19 01:29:12	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x8104a2…
05-18 21:12:46	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	59	91¢	$53	0x584490…
05-18 19:35:28	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x76d146…
05-18 18:28:50	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xbf2f1f…
05-18 18:28:48	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x6491c3…
05-18 17:29:02	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,197	2¢	$22	0xf81c42…
05-18 17:28:10	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	591	9¢	$51	0xbeb124…
05-18 17:15:09	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0xb9bcfe…
05-18 17:14:04	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	76	91¢	$69	0xbc00c6…
05-18 16:55:37	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x613509…
05-18 16:39:39	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,885	91¢	$1,715	0x3f55d1…
05-18 16:27:28	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	27	91¢	$24	0xb6ad2e…
05-18 16:25:45	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xadaaf4…
05-18 15:48:04	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x56a7e3…
05-18 15:45:03	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,200	91¢	$1,090	0x1f4d68…
05-18 15:42:56	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,342	1¢	$81	0xfc3353…
05-18 15:41:46	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,364	6¢	$81	0x70e8a0…
05-18 06:24:14	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	11,804	1¢	$139	0x9e0391…
05-18 04:44:38	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	669	82¢	$548	0x66d39a…
05-18 04:38:53	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	67	82¢	$55	0x79e1b5…
05-18 03:30:38	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	264	82¢	$216	0x575e3d…
05-17 15:32:23	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,181	1¢	$41	0x12a7d7…
05-17 15:30:59	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	736	1¢	$9	0xc6b59f…
05-17 04:26:55	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0xc38ef9…
05-17 04:26:55	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	15¢	$33	0x2d91b8…
05-17 04:14:52	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,698	8¢	$136	0x97a7dd…
05-17 03:57:52	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0xc234f7…
05-17 03:39:28	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0xa16d43…
05-17 03:39:24	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	15¢	$6	0x359ce6…
05-17 03:39:24	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x201ea5…
05-17 03:39:22	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0xbc98f9…
05-17 03:39:22	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	15¢	$13	0xb868f6…
05-17 03:39:22	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xaae2bf…
05-17 03:39:03	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	15¢	$18	0xfa5264…
05-17 03:39:03	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xefc3e3…
05-17 03:39:01	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0xe9f602…
05-17 03:39:01	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	763	15¢	$114	0x6a521d…
05-17 03:39:01	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x5db017…
05-17 03:39:01	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x39e017…
05-17 03:39:01	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x0652c8…
05-17 03:39:00	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	15¢	$23	0xfd25d5…
05-17 03:39:00	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	15¢	$38	0xf0ee9b…
05-17 03:39:00	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	15¢	$9	0xec4dd1…
05-17 03:39:00	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0xa66177…
05-17 03:39:00	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x78ea45…
05-17 03:39:00	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	225	3¢	$7	0x65698e…
05-17 03:39:00	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	15¢	$15	0x51fec4…
05-17 03:39:00	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0x4825d9…
05-17 03:39:00	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	487	15¢	$73	0x2e3f6c…
05-17 03:39:00	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x2616a9…
05-17 03:39:00	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x0671df…
05-17 03:27:39	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	8¢	$4	0x1b3792…
05-17 03:14:40	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x517272…
05-17 03:14:17	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	944	3¢	$28	0xf5dd1f…
05-17 03:14:17	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xe98e25…
05-17 03:14:17	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	944	15¢	$142	0x6583a6…
05-17 03:14:17	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x14c758…
05-17 02:53:49	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x5d4d00…
05-17 02:33:41	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	8¢	$9	0xaa187e…
05-17 02:26:55	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	15¢	$23	0x68a7bb…
05-17 02:26:55	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	3¢	$5	0x0aec07…
05-17 02:23:43	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x749413…
05-17 01:50:07	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x58f53f…
05-17 01:47:15	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	8¢	$4	0xf2fbe1…
05-17 01:42:23	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xbab851…
05-17 01:42:09	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0xa6607e…
05-17 01:33:10	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xc27bc2…
05-17 01:32:54	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	8¢	$4	0x9f380c…
05-17 01:32:46	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xb84ef9…
05-17 01:30:50	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x5d00a7…
05-17 01:30:50	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	545	20¢	$109	0x3f4c40…
05-17 01:21:56	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x6d47fc…
05-17 01:19:00	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xe7f354…
05-17 01:13:53	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	8¢	$5	0x39ba48…
05-17 01:10:32	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	312	20¢	$62	0x70f81c…
05-17 01:07:25	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x3afaf5…
05-17 00:57:09	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xc96e3e…
05-17 00:51:49	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0x36b8cd…
05-17 00:44:01	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	8¢	$4	0x365a02…
05-17 00:00:30	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xb2c179…
05-16 23:42:52	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	8¢	$4	0xcf46ae…