Fine-Graft — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$215

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.0%

Resolved

Trades

170

lifetime

Volume

$50.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$298

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 05-21 00:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

73% — —

Other

26% — —

Crypto

1% 50% $-215

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	14	$24.5K	16,582	17,395	-813	open	—	03-04 04:05
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	15	$9.3K	14,865	14,865	+0	open	—	01-30 17:13
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	52	$6.0K	10,652	11,371	-719	open	—	02-27 01:56
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101	11	$3.8K	2,029	2,029	+0	open	—	01-25 02:12
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$1.8K	7,701	100	+7,601	open	—	03-20 04:34
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	12	$1.6K	1,717	2,452	-735	open	—	01-26 04:43
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	3	$1.6K	2,502	0	+2,502	open	—	02-02 01:19
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$723	714	714	+0	open	—	03-03 17:20
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	14	$374	539	539	+0	open	—	01-30 02:07
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	3	$273	450	0	+450	No	$-273	05-05 20:07
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	1	$142	0	1,041	-1,041	open	—	01-18 18:56
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$100	265	0	+265	open	—	02-28 21:29
will james talarico win the texas democratic senate primary by 15 or more	1	$100	556	0	+556	open	—	03-04 00:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$100	175	0	+175	Up	+$75	05-12 04:22
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes 238 682	13	$62	362	362	+0	open	—	01-22 03:02
will james talarico win the texas democratic senate primary by between 10 and 15pt00	5	$52	160	0	+160	open	—	03-04 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$25	157	0	+157	Up	$-25	05-12 04:26
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	01-30 02:24
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	03-05 18:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	1	$15	395	0	+395	open	—	05-13 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	Up	+$8	05-12 04:34
will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in february 2026	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	01-23 17:45
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	1	$9	11	0	+11	open	—	03-05 18:50
will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in february 2026	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	01-23 17:48
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	1	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	01-21 06:01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	03-16 17:12
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	05-21 00:01
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-16 17:10
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	1	$3	18	0	+18	open	—	02-19 21:43
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-28 06:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 00:01:06	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x9868df…
05-13 20:19:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	395	4¢	$15	0x9a2f89…
05-12 04:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x17d4b0…
05-12 04:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	157	16¢	$25	0xc7b6ef…
05-12 04:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xfebd77…
05-05 20:07:16	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	92	52¢	$48	0xe299df…
05-05 20:00:04	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x2b9ee5…
05-05 19:46:18	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	300	65¢	$195	0x2e1c14…
03-20 04:34:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	4,400	23¢	$1,012	0x1eada3…
03-20 02:50:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	121	22¢	$27	0xfed64c…
03-20 02:47:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	3,080	22¢	$678	0x4970f7…
03-16 20:04:43	will houston win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xcff192…
03-16 17:12:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xb02eb2…
03-16 17:10:59	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc1f2a7…
03-10 03:59:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0xd8b170…
03-07 04:46:09	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x9a126a…
03-05 18:58:45	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	Yes	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x559d0d…
03-05 18:50:01	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x8c52f3…
03-04 04:05:25	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	SELL	12,668	100¢	$12,630	0x809275…
03-04 00:49:01	will james talarico win the texas democratic senate primary by between 10 and 15pt00	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x280533…
03-04 00:06:07	will james talarico win the texas democratic senate primary by between 10 and 15pt00	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x1bf9e1…
03-04 00:03:27	will james talarico win the texas democratic senate primary by between 10 and 15pt00	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x30592f…
03-04 00:03:23	will james talarico win the texas democratic senate primary by between 10 and 15pt00	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x68baad…
03-04 00:03:17	will james talarico win the texas democratic senate primary by between 10 and 15pt00	Yes	BUY	80	32¢	$26	0xcb6f11…
03-04 00:02:47	will james talarico win the texas democratic senate primary by 15 or more	Yes	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0xf560e5…
03-03 17:20:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	714	100¢	$713	0x9ab6ea…
02-28 21:29:17	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	265	38¢	$100	0x5c0d8e…
02-28 05:35:25	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	5,385	65¢	$3,500	0xf9ba41…
02-27 02:20:48	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$10	0x089e66…
02-27 01:56:56	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	SELL	328	30¢	$99	0x0fb7b0…
02-23 08:37:06	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	2,701	80¢	$2,160	0xbc004d…
02-22 06:14:10	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	328	22¢	$73	0x4160fc…
02-22 06:13:52	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	SELL	11,042	20¢	$2,233	0xf4a118…
02-22 06:06:02	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	1,774	79¢	$1,401	0xf97f05…
02-22 02:06:46	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	1,282	78¢	$1,000	0x4a7305…
02-22 00:14:02	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	1,527	76¢	$1,165	0xf47ed9…
02-22 00:13:40	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	No	SELL	4,727	24¢	$1,154	0x3a96ad…
02-20 13:53:24	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	134	30¢	$40	0xbb223f…
02-20 13:18:48	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xb3ba1f…
02-20 12:38:38	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xb8b5cb…
02-20 12:21:36	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	87	30¢	$26	0x3390b8…
02-20 07:44:52	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xea520f…
02-20 05:44:58	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x2fca69…
02-20 05:33:26	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x5aaf7f…
02-20 05:10:30	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	106	30¢	$32	0xf35334…
02-20 04:35:26	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	69	30¢	$21	0xe627d0…
02-20 04:35:22	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0x0833a0…
02-19 23:36:30	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	38	30¢	$11	0x02637a…
02-19 23:35:20	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0x48b474…
02-19 23:35:16	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	31	30¢	$9	0x1dd56f…
02-19 23:33:00	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	273	30¢	$82	0xed5a28…
02-19 23:11:46	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0xaba52e…
02-19 23:09:06	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x2535dd…
02-19 23:03:16	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x00d682…
02-19 23:03:14	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xb85055…
02-19 23:03:12	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x2c5c3b…
02-19 23:03:12	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x1f49b1…
02-19 23:03:10	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xdc0198…
02-19 23:03:08	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x2f007f…
02-19 23:03:04	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x8a4130…
02-19 23:03:02	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xa3837d…
02-19 23:03:00	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x18c1d8…
02-19 23:02:56	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x2c816b…
02-19 23:02:54	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xbc224b…
02-19 23:02:50	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xed36e6…
02-19 23:02:48	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf7783f…
02-19 23:01:48	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xe48b3b…
02-19 23:01:48	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xbece73…
02-19 23:01:46	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xfe4c92…
02-19 23:01:44	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xc0458c…
02-19 23:01:44	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x274e1d…
02-19 23:01:42	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x9413dd…
02-19 23:01:40	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x01c92d…
02-19 23:01:38	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x648e7c…
02-19 23:01:36	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xa39dad…
02-19 23:01:32	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x39697b…
02-19 23:01:30	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x0e8589…
02-19 23:01:26	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x821b5c…
02-19 23:01:22	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4f64c3…
02-19 22:41:30	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x5cbd62…
02-19 22:27:46	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x09e475…
02-19 21:43:24	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x33bb66…
02-19 21:43:04	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0xc1edd7…
02-17 17:46:41	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	44	31¢	$14	0xa179f0…
02-17 17:46:41	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	1,873	31¢	$581	0x7a2909…
02-17 17:46:39	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	1,383	31¢	$429	0x504cd1…
02-16 23:46:53	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	No	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0x55cd6c…
02-16 23:46:47	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	No	BUY	50	39¢	$19	0xb7ba32…
02-16 23:46:39	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	No	BUY	37	38¢	$14	0x30a418…
02-16 23:46:33	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	No	BUY	42	39¢	$16	0x90837b…
02-16 23:46:29	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	No	BUY	36	38¢	$14	0x3c1e2a…
02-16 23:46:01	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	No	BUY	1,026	39¢	$400	0x289eed…
02-16 23:44:49	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	No	BUY	2,700	37¢	$1,000	0x41633e…
02-14 18:54:25	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	2,427	37¢	$900	0xc210a7…
02-13 03:34:45	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	2,597	41¢	$1,054	0x028672…
02-02 01:19:58	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	85	62¢	$53	0xe788ce…
02-02 01:19:34	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	798	63¢	$500	0x21d92c…
02-02 01:18:16	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	1,618	62¢	$1,000	0x4cb228…
01-30 17:13:06	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	7,068	9¢	$636	0x910994…
01-30 04:33:30	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1,265	34¢	$430	0x483488…