Imperfect-Hill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$70

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.4%

Resolved

152

Trades

354

lifetime

Volume

$5.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 06-07 02:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Sports

49% 46% +$106

Other

26% 33% -$117

Crypto

25% 22% -$60

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	9	$450	725	725	+0	No	-$15	05-26 17:15
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$375	248	248	+0	Yes	+$76	05-25 16:32
ufc rei1 cai2 2026 03 07	3	$302	181	181	+0	Caio Borralho	+$59	03-08 04:25
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	6	$216	155	155	+0	Alexander Volkov	+$36	05-10 02:55
ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	2	$162	102	102	+0	Volkanovski	+$42	02-01 05:00
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims)	2	$156	97	97	+0	Tommy Gantt	+$36	05-16 23:33
UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)	2	$146	96	96	+0	Khaos Williams	+$46	05-17 02:17
ufc gre3 bru8 2026 03 07	2	$133	83	83	+0	Gregory Rodrigues	+$33	03-08 03:05
UFC Fight Night: Nicolle Caliari vs. Shauna Bannon (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	2	$120	70	70	+0	Nicolle Caliari	+$20	05-16 21:38
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	6	$110	220	220	+0	No	-$35	05-25 16:32
ufc raf mau4 2026 01 31	2	$105	72	72	+0	Ruffy	+$39	02-01 03:49
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	2	$105	162	162	+0	Yes	+$5	05-17 11:48
UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	2	$97	59	59	+0	Alice Ardelean	+$21	05-16 22:33
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	2	$93	53	53	+0	Modestas Bukauskas	+$13	05-17 02:16
ufc dan6 ben8 2026 01 31	2	$93	53	53	+0	Saint Denis	+$13	02-01 04:13
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?	2	$91	50	50	+0	Yes	+$9	05-17 13:30
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)	2	$80	118	0	+118	Juan Diaz	-$80	05-17 00:01
ufc luk12 mic34 2026 03 21	2	$74	44	44	+0	Luke Riley	+$14	03-21 22:34
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	2	$65	142	142	+0	Yes	-$27	05-17 11:47
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	2	$65	40	40	+0	Arnold Allen	+$5	05-17 02:58
ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	2	$65	94	94	+0	Charles Oliveira	-$55	03-08 05:09
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 6?	2	$63	40	40	+0	Yes	+$12	05-22 12:22
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 24?	12	$61	40	40	+0	Yes	+$19	05-24 20:21
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	3	$55	40	40	+0	Alonzo Menifield	$0	05-30 12:58
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)	2	$52	32	32	+0	Jose Ochoa	+$12	05-09 21:57
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	2	$51	32	32	+0	Yaroslav Amosov	+$11	05-10 00:21
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	1	$50	88	0	+88	Ketlen Vieira	-$50	05-16 19:36
UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)	2	$48	28	28	+0	Kai Asakura	+$8	05-30 12:18
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	3	$43	189	189	+0	No	-$25	05-19 18:46
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	4	$41	150	150	+0	No	-$15	05-25 16:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 02:51:28	ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06	Belal Muhammad	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0x753573…
06-07 02:18:37	ufc bre1 edm 2026 06 06	Brendan Allen	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x90dec0…
06-07 00:23:03	ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06	Belal Muhammad	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x877661…
06-07 00:22:10	ufc far tom14 2026 06 06	Farés Ziam	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0x814669…
06-07 00:15:33	ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06	Belal Muhammad	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x2b6c5b…
06-07 00:14:45	ufc bry1 san6 2026 06 06	Bryce Mitchell	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xdb58a4…
06-07 00:13:09	ufc bre1 edm 2026 06 06	Brendan Allen	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x61327c…
06-07 00:12:33	ufc far tom14 2026 06 06	Farés Ziam	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x6e34cb…
06-01 20:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 92°F or higher on June 1?	Yes	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x773771…
06-01 15:44:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x3cb380…
06-01 15:41:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 1?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x18e10e…
06-01 15:41:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 1?	Yes	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x163c96…
06-01 15:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1e108c…
06-01 15:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe01cc6…
06-01 15:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf278e4…
06-01 06:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x0821d0…
06-01 06:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x061304…
06-01 04:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x611335…
06-01 04:13:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 1?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xf1db80…
06-01 03:11:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xa058be…
06-01 02:22:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xbc4a1b…
06-01 00:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x864422…
06-01 00:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6bfdb7…
06-01 00:03:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x226d39…
05-31 23:46:04	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7ad55d…
05-31 22:47:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xd00e62…
05-31 22:41:47	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2bc840…
05-31 22:41:47	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x271301…
05-31 22:37:11	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x89c086…
05-31 22:35:01	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x08a365…
05-31 22:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xeb08a1…
05-31 22:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x283778…
05-31 22:25:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x1cfbd5…
05-31 22:24:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x6c0e57…
05-31 22:22:15	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x76415b…
05-31 22:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 92°F or higher on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x315a90…
05-31 22:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x4657a7…
05-31 22:04:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x2249c4…
05-31 22:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x44585b…
05-31 22:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x2238b4…
05-30 13:53:30	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	27	39¢	$11	0x0ae114…
05-30 13:52:53	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x30f2a2…
05-30 13:11:06	UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Deiveson Figueiredo	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x7463cd…
05-30 13:10:08	UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Deiveson Figueiredo	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xc64b7e…
05-30 12:58:23	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Zhang Mingyang	SELL	40	68¢	$27	0x003f63…
05-30 12:40:07	UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Sergei Pavlovich	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x081ffc…
05-30 12:32:13	UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Sergei Pavlovich	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x690a81…
05-30 12:18:44	UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Kai Asakura	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x298630…
05-30 12:16:24	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Zhang Mingyang	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x6a1526…
05-30 12:07:36	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Zhang Mingyang	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xc79536…
05-30 12:06:29	UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Kai Asakura	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x74ea7c…
05-29 10:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x657759…
05-29 09:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 29?	Yes	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0xba4afd…
05-29 09:42:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf11f84…
05-29 09:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6c8e8d…
05-29 09:02:47	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 29?	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xf674bc…
05-29 08:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xe23e09…
05-29 08:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x866c9b…
05-29 08:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x3a4567…
05-29 08:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 29?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xf21dd0…
05-29 07:57:11	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xc0c808…
05-29 07:56:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xb3a02c…
05-28 17:38:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xfebf49…
05-28 17:37:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x65657f…
05-28 17:37:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0xa830ff…
05-28 17:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 29?	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xda4087…
05-28 15:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 28?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x4c6fa6…
05-28 05:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xaa7033…
05-28 05:57:02	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb5553e…
05-28 05:56:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xcc1ac3…
05-28 05:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x7174a4…
05-28 05:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf3a1be…
05-28 04:39:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 28?	Yes	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0x756bbb…
05-28 00:12:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0x4715ad…
05-28 00:09:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8189ff…
05-28 00:05:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xb0968b…
05-28 00:05:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x7af5d8…
05-27 22:50:35	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on May 27?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x5105e4…
05-27 22:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 27?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xe2f779…
05-27 22:37:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 28?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x400a71…
05-27 22:34:01	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on May 27?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0c95cf…
05-27 22:33:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 28?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x824317…
05-27 19:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x7bb0e7…
05-27 19:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 27?	Yes	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x655e02…
05-27 14:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xcc2ed0…
05-27 13:27:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xc52519…
05-27 08:00:02	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x04005a…
05-27 07:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xb14bb8…
05-27 07:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6c4b70…
05-27 07:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	1	56¢	$0	0x6d0837…
05-27 07:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x16567c…
05-27 06:11:29	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xeea1a3…
05-27 06:10:05	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0xd7d5c0…
05-27 05:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xbb8c38…
05-27 05:49:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x411ae2…
05-27 05:49:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xfa9b27…
05-27 05:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xe082c6…
05-27 05:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x9ceadf…
05-27 05:41:28	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 28?	Yes	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0x83a78c…
05-27 05:39:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x5e0f1b…