Dutiful-Radiosonde — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.3%

Resolved

Trades

688

lifetime

Volume

$3.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 05-23 11:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% +$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775207700	2	$93	100	93	+7	open	—	04-03 09:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$86	44	44	+0	open	—	04-25 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	14	$70	73	0	+73	Up	+$3	05-13 00:39
btc updown 5m 1774704000	4	$63	32	32	+0	open	—	03-28 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	6	$62	42	42	+0	open	—	05-16 10:19
btc updown 5m 1774689600	2	$61	36	35	+0	open	—	03-28 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	13	$55	137	46	+91	open	—	05-16 12:49
btc updown 5m 1774662000	2	$50	29	28	+0	open	—	03-28 01:45
btc updown 5m 1774704600	4	$49	37	37	+0	open	—	03-28 13:32
btc updown 5m 1775862300	2	$44	24	24	+0	open	—	04-10 23:11
btc updown 5m 1774661400	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	03-28 01:35
btc updown 5m 1774659900	4	$43	24	24	+0	open	—	03-28 01:10
btc updown 5m 1774659600	2	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	03-28 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	6	$40	28	28	+0	open	—	05-16 12:35
btc updown 5m 1774661100	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	03-28 01:30
btc updown 5m 1774696500	4	$39	43	23	+20	open	—	03-28 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	15	$38	41	13	+27	open	—	05-21 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	15	$37	29	29	+0	open	—	05-20 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	18	$36	55	0	+55	Up	+$19	05-13 13:07
btc updown 5m 1774688700	6	$35	31	31	+0	open	—	03-28 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-27 23:20
btc updown 5m 1774659300	3	$32	21	21	+0	open	—	03-28 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	04-28 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	8	$32	36	22	+14	open	—	05-16 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	11	$32	67	27	+40	open	—	05-21 00:29
btc updown 5m 1775190600	2	$32	33	31	+2	open	—	04-03 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	8	$32	19	19	+0	open	—	05-15 01:16
btc updown 5m 1774688400	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	03-28 09:05
btc updown 5m 1775211300	3	$31	116	16	+100	open	—	04-03 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$30	115	0	+115	open	—	04-30 23:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 11:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x7aa638…
05-23 11:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xdcbe84…
05-23 11:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xc19ef0…
05-23 11:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x79f11b…
05-21 00:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0x2afb7c…
05-21 00:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x06dd87…
05-21 00:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x7405db…
05-21 00:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe23934…
05-21 00:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x55c728…
05-21 00:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xb18ca2…
05-21 00:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xcedf17…
05-21 00:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xb4d593…
05-21 00:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x81dcc9…
05-21 00:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	53¢	$6	0x3665ce…
05-21 00:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xee9e74…
05-21 00:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xaa0cfb…
05-21 00:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xf58a5d…
05-21 00:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x5c3fa7…
05-21 00:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0xd1178c…
05-21 00:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd50732…
05-21 00:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x96d0bc…
05-21 00:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xcb0d72…
05-21 00:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x453736…
05-21 00:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0xac8cb6…
05-21 00:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x49a225…
05-21 00:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x3bdadb…
05-21 00:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8dc865…
05-21 00:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x3ae4f0…
05-21 00:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x593618…
05-21 00:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xcaecfa…
05-21 00:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xc81010…
05-21 00:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x6d2c43…
05-21 00:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x026364…
05-21 00:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xb83aab…
05-21 00:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xb4c4e9…
05-21 00:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x293a4e…
05-21 00:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xda2986…
05-21 00:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xd8b61b…
05-21 00:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xce78cc…
05-21 00:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x987689…
05-21 00:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0xe75b28…
05-21 00:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6b3821…
05-21 00:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x55c9bc…
05-21 00:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	18	58¢	$10	0x578e0e…
05-21 00:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xf0048c…
05-21 00:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x5dda72…
05-20 23:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7632ac…
05-20 23:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9e2627…
05-20 23:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x966645…
05-20 23:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xda1390…
05-20 21:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xcc740c…
05-20 21:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc45507…
05-20 21:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xada319…
05-20 21:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0x802137…
05-20 21:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc4cded…
05-20 21:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1f7c60…
05-20 21:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x116b62…
05-20 21:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x0951d0…
05-20 21:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xf84100…
05-20 21:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x3695b7…
05-20 21:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0x61882c…
05-20 21:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfea2cb…
05-20 21:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x979b28…
05-20 21:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xabfce1…
05-20 21:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x37534d…
05-20 21:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	17	78¢	$13	0xf17fc9…
05-20 21:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2ea2bc…
05-20 21:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xdac2d3…
05-20 21:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x857506…
05-20 21:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x39dd82…
05-20 21:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x9d0958…
05-20 21:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x320fee…
05-20 21:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xc12cd0…
05-20 21:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x78ccb0…
05-20 21:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x6b54f0…
05-20 21:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x2916be…
05-20 21:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	16	40¢	$7	0xaa9dea…
05-20 21:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd1210d…
05-20 21:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5044ad…
05-20 21:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbf5ffd…
05-20 21:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xabaaf6…
05-20 21:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8c52a5…
05-20 21:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x69cb0f…
05-20 21:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1cd165…
05-20 21:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4a3fc2…
05-20 21:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd77008…
05-20 21:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x16b439…
05-20 21:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4e17f4…
05-20 21:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x553dd2…
05-20 21:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x346876…
05-20 21:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3364df…
05-20 21:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd08ced…
05-20 21:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa93957…
05-20 21:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x15ce5d…
05-20 21:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x69a219…
05-20 21:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe83463…
05-20 21:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x98c445…
05-20 21:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8d3454…
05-20 21:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x767c71…
05-20 21:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x20e3bd…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	203	$53.2K	17,059	05-23 11:59
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	203	$47.6K	10,634	05-23 11:59
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	203	$46.9K	15,951	05-23 11:59
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	202	$38.5K	7,516	05-23 11:59
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	198	$81.5K	4,080	05-23 12:00
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	196	$124.1K	8,932	05-23 11:59
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	195	$14.7K	2,770	05-23 11:57
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	193	$34.1K	2,036	05-23 11:57