Familiar-Idea — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$480

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.9%

Resolved

318

Trades

1,647

lifetime

Volume

$20.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 10-22 19:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 36% -$474

Other

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 200 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 11:45 UTC	3	$1.2K	1,104	568	+536	Down	-$359	04-13 11:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 09:25 UTC	4	$856	565	552	+14	Up	+$122	04-13 09:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 11:35 UTC	2	$719	373	372	+2	Up	+$19	04-13 11:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 09:30 UTC	2	$606	362	355	+8	Up	+$104	04-13 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	13	$404	795	295	+500	Up	+$104	09-16 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 09:10 UTC	2	$395	235	230	+5	Up	+$64	04-13 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	9	$378	550	384	+167	Up	+$128	09-16 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	12	$303	388	138	+250	Up	-$60	09-16 02:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 10:15 UTC	8	$302	218	218	+0	Up	+$92	08-07 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	7	$288	317	259	+57	Down	+$88	09-16 01:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 09:20 UTC	2	$278	154	152	+2	Up	+$25	04-13 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	11	$263	353	199	+153	Up	-$31	09-16 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	9	$250	204	132	+72	Up	-$30	09-16 02:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 13:10 UTC	2	$237	122	121	+0	Up	+$6	04-13 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	7	$228	445	243	+202	Down	+$4	09-16 01:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 05:20 UTC	14	$223	331	242	+89	Up	+$21	08-06 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	7	$221	212	142	+69	Up	+$50	09-16 01:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 05:30 UTC	14	$213	294	165	+129	Down	+$9	08-06 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	5	$209	767	267	+500	Up	+$79	09-16 00:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 13:05 UTC	2	$206	118	116	+2	Down	+$27	04-13 13:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 04:50 UTC	2	$201	105	105	+1	Down	+$6	04-14 04:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 07:30 UTC	2	$197	156	149	+8	Down	+$105	04-13 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	11	$196	165	129	+35	Up	+$19	09-16 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	11	$177	206	134	+71	Up	+$17	09-16 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 23:45 UTC	5	$174	138	138	+0	Down	+$24	07-07 23:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 12:05 UTC	2	$172	103	101	+2	Up	+$12	04-13 12:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 05:00 UTC	8	$171	226	130	+96	Up	+$1	08-06 05:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 01:40 UTC	8	$166	422	136	+286	Up	-$4	08-30 01:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 01:15 UTC	8	$162	178	80	+98	Up	-$6	08-10 01:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	5	$157	102	102	+0	Down	+$7	06-03 02:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 19:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x696ee9…
10-22 19:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0xc04417…
10-22 13:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x14d449…
10-22 13:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xb95cc5…
10-22 13:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xc402b4…
10-22 13:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xaa9453…
10-22 13:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xd9741c…
10-22 13:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xfcd9d2…
10-22 13:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x144de7…
10-22 13:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x5bb8d5…
10-22 13:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xe1794b…
10-22 13:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x641e8b…
10-22 13:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x46b3a2…
10-22 13:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xdbc020…
10-22 13:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x3d27a4…
10-22 13:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xfe0dc0…
10-22 13:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x248a56…
10-22 13:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0xf70a1c…
10-22 13:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x2dea4b…
10-22 12:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xf9b4b6…
10-22 12:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x6d5191…
10-22 12:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x21b54d…
10-22 12:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x58b0b6…
10-22 12:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x618ab2…
10-22 12:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xe773ed…
10-22 12:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xa0f682…
10-22 12:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x1f0af5…
10-22 12:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x9d6363…
10-22 12:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x442308…
10-22 12:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x330da2…
10-22 12:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0xeb6c99…
10-22 12:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0x873a68…
10-22 12:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xb28b1b…
10-22 11:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xdcdb17…
10-22 11:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xef95fd…
10-22 11:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x17289f…
10-22 11:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x6a8d58…
10-22 11:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x0ad46c…
10-22 11:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0xd2021c…
10-22 11:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0xb068c8…
10-22 11:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xc1eb51…
10-22 11:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	65¢	$0	0x36fbf2…
10-22 11:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2bbc28…
10-22 11:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x44a259…
10-22 11:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa0fcc2…
10-22 11:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x73f466…
10-22 11:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xc97807…
10-22 11:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	66¢	$0	0xb627ce…
10-22 11:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	71¢	$0	0x77542e…
10-22 11:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xc4b13d…
10-22 08:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x52d4bf…
10-22 08:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1f7af4…
10-22 08:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x469189…
10-22 08:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x833617…
10-22 08:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa33e47…
10-22 08:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa6601e…
10-22 08:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x34d38e…
10-22 08:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xca923b…
10-22 08:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xaa146c…
10-22 08:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	28	28¢	$8	0x480504…
10-22 08:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf7c229…
10-22 08:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5be5eb…
10-22 08:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xfbb77a…
10-22 08:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x17549b…
10-22 08:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x093d32…
10-22 08:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xcedd4a…
10-22 08:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb4566d…
10-22 08:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xfc945c…
10-22 08:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb8349e…
10-22 08:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x34aa64…
10-22 08:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x733f3c…
10-22 08:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x24ecd4…
10-22 08:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x78f46d…
10-22 08:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0x8e4118…
10-22 08:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9d81f6…
10-22 08:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb2c4b0…
10-22 08:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0x1486c8…
10-22 08:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe0af0d…
10-22 08:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x8d8cb7…
10-22 08:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5222fb…
10-22 08:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x66f4ba…
10-22 08:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xe5f5e0…
10-22 08:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8c2469…
10-22 08:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x13f163…
10-22 08:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x1bcea9…
10-22 08:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5a4b71…
10-22 08:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x875bde…
10-22 08:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xacf2ca…
10-22 08:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xfe5ec4…
10-22 08:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x06289d…
10-22 08:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc1ae85…
10-22 08:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x47dcfc…
10-22 08:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6afb44…
10-22 08:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x106b5b…
10-22 08:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x237aa0…
10-22 08:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xa62ccc…
10-22 08:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x640c0f…
10-22 08:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x0a4d40…
10-22 08:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6f902c…
10-22 08:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	13	32¢	$4	0x035a58…