Absolute-Baby — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$174

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.5%

Resolved

Trades

421

lifetime

Volume

$2.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 06-02 20:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 45% $-174

Politics

5% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776300000	3	$83	67	63	+3	open	—	04-16 00:46
btc updown 15m 1776204000	8	$79	64	61	+3	open	—	04-14 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	6	$77	76	64	+11	open	—	05-14 23:51
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	1	$69	302	0	+302	open	—	01-23 23:49
btc updown 5m 1776298500	3	$64	47	45	+2	open	—	04-16 00:21
btc updown 5m 1776299700	8	$60	40	40	+0	open	—	04-16 00:41
btc updown 15m 1776298500	4	$60	40	40	+0	open	—	04-16 00:30
btc updown 5m 1776286500	2	$57	39	38	+1	open	—	04-15 21:01
btc updown 5m 1776301500	3	$57	1,989	1,847	+142	open	—	04-16 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	5	$45	91	46	+45	Down	+$15	05-13 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	27	$45	992	0	+992	open	—	06-02 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	20	$41	728	0	+728	open	—	06-02 20:39
btc updown 5m 1776291300	11	$40	79	0	+79	open	—	04-15 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$38	51	51	+0	Up	$-12	05-13 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	3	$35	117	0	+117	Down	$-35	05-13 22:27
btc updown 15m 1776293100	3	$32	50	10	+40	open	—	04-15 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$30	242	0	+242	Down	$-30	05-13 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	3	$30	79	0	+79	Down	$-30	05-13 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	3	$30	48	0	+48	Up	$-9	05-13 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	4	$30	73	0	+73	open	—	05-14 23:46
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	1	$29	935	0	+935	open	—	01-23 23:49
btc updown 15m 1776291300	8	$27	25	16	+9	open	—	04-15 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	5	$25	50	0	+50	open	—	06-02 20:21
sol updown 5m 1776285000	2	$24	21	20	+1	open	—	04-15 20:38
btc updown 15m 1776288600	2	$23	48	0	+48	open	—	04-15 21:41
btc updown 5m 1776301800	11	$22	44	0	+44	open	—	04-16 01:11
btc updown 5m 1776300900	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	04-16 00:55
btc updown 5m 1776287100	3	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	04-15 21:07
btc updown 5m 1776299400	2	$20	108	0	+108	open	—	04-16 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$20	119	0	+119	Up	$-20	05-13 22:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 20:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x445659…
06-02 20:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x8e4844…
06-02 20:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x230b39…
06-02 20:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x0980e7…
06-02 20:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0xdce805…
06-02 20:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x886bfc…
06-02 20:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x803bb1…
06-02 20:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6de085…
06-02 20:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x979b28…
06-02 20:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x857d19…
06-02 20:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x72104a…
06-02 20:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x3f4d34…
06-02 20:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xee4b6b…
06-02 20:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x051bd5…
06-02 20:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xeff0f9…
06-02 20:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x6575bb…
06-02 20:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xef81ce…
06-02 20:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xa23cdb…
06-02 20:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xe1d1c7…
06-02 20:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd5ec8c…
06-02 20:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	42	3¢	$1	0xe5d1de…
06-02 20:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x96bebd…
06-02 20:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xc4d985…
06-02 20:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x8ca017…
06-02 20:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xfa5e7a…
06-02 20:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xae3a7c…
06-02 20:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xae017e…
06-02 20:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x256fbf…
06-02 20:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xe07871…
06-02 20:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xf6e104…
06-02 20:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x423a1a…
06-02 20:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x3e90c6…
06-02 20:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xf37560…
06-02 20:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xe7bc59…
06-02 20:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xb09208…
06-02 20:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x90946e…
06-02 20:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xf45fd8…
06-02 20:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xdc9cad…
06-02 20:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x28e6ad…
06-02 20:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0x0e33de…
06-02 20:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xa45f2c…
06-02 20:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x9c7d3c…
06-02 20:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x422153…
06-02 20:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x0d8686…
06-02 20:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x553fd6…
06-02 20:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x3e8ae3…
06-02 20:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0x3ac77a…
06-02 20:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xd28cf2…
06-02 20:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x933627…
06-02 20:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x71cabb…
06-02 20:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x405076…
06-02 20:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x112b13…
05-14 23:56:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x05cedc…
05-14 23:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x309afc…
05-14 23:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x064348…
05-14 23:55:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xd1dd56…
05-14 23:55:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xe0c7ee…
05-14 23:54:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xcb2636…
05-14 23:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	64	42¢	$27	0xac9d45…
05-14 23:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xcb5c6f…
05-14 23:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x5f0307…
05-14 23:50:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x64f099…
05-14 23:50:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x46c4f4…
05-14 23:50:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xe6b692…
05-14 23:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xd3fdf6…
05-14 23:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xe2fe4a…
05-14 23:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd18ec4…
05-14 23:49:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xa2a218…
05-14 23:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf1ddb4…
05-14 23:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xb7939c…
05-14 23:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x3a344d…
05-14 23:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x9b5f4c…
05-14 23:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xa16230…
05-14 23:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x37880b…
05-14 23:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x1315d9…
05-14 23:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8122cc…
05-14 23:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x45ffd5…
05-14 23:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xefeddb…
05-14 23:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8eb47c…
05-14 23:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb8be26…
05-14 23:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xac581d…
05-14 23:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8a9f27…
05-14 23:40:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd8bf5b…
05-14 23:40:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xda41bb…
05-14 23:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xb16660…
05-14 23:40:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x9de7ed…
05-14 23:37:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x548428…
05-14 23:37:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x8654a8…
05-14 23:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe20248…
05-14 23:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x05cf03…
05-14 23:35:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xcf6de7…
05-14 23:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x9a26b1…
05-14 23:30:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0xef0c7d…
05-14 23:30:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x130076…
05-14 23:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x4ba9a8…
05-14 23:30:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xf1b0b3…
05-14 23:30:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa2224b…
05-14 23:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x8e8fdb…
05-14 23:26:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x8785ac…
05-14 17:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x60a8a1…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	130	$19.0K	1,309	06-02 20:39
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	126	$69.5K	4,655	06-02 20:38
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	126	$32.3K	9,085	06-02 20:39
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	125	$34.6K	4,995	06-02 20:39
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	125	$28.9K	8,003	06-02 20:39
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	124	$12.0K	1,265	06-02 20:39
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	122	$31.2K	4,392	06-02 20:39
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	122	$9.38K	2,717	06-02 20:38