Apprehensive-Ironclad — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.22K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.1%

Resolved

20,349

Trades

21,511

lifetime

Volume

$122.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 10-21 15:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 248 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 94% +$1,300

Other

2% 86% -$85

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 01:30 UTC	3	$12	13	+13	Down	+$1	02-14 01:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 15:15 UTC	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	03-05 15:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 15:50 UTC	1	$10	12	+12	Up	+$2	03-07 15:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 16:20 UTC	1	$10	12	+12	Up	+$2	02-25 16:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 21:20 UTC	1	$10	14	+14	Up	+$4	03-07 21:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 14:05 UTC	1	$10	14	+14	Down	+$4	03-05 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 00:35 UTC	1	$10	14	+14	Down	+$4	03-08 00:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 01:20 UTC	1	$10	14	+14	Down	+$4	03-04 01:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 02:00 UTC	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	03-04 02:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 15:40 UTC	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	03-06 15:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 00:30 UTC	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	03-04 00:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 15:15 UTC	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	03-03 15:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 09:50 UTC	1	$10	11	+11	Up	+$1	03-03 09:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 06:50 UTC	1	$10	11	+11	Up	+$1	03-03 06:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 17:30 UTC	2	$10	11	+11	Up	+$1	02-25 17:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 07:30 UTC	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	03-05 07:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 17:30 UTC	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	03-03 17:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 20:10 UTC	1	$10	11	+11	Up	+$1	03-07 20:12
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 14:00 UTC	1	$10	11	+11	Up	+$1	03-01 14:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 17:30 UTC	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	02-25 17:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 20:35 UTC	1	$10	11	+11	Up	+$1	03-07 20:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 10:05 UTC	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	03-03 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:30 UTC	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	03-07 22:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 17:00 UTC	1	$10	11	+11	Up	+$1	03-07 17:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 20:30 UTC	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	03-01 20:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 13:20 UTC	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	03-05 13:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 14:00 UTC	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	02-28 14:09
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 01:15 UTC	1	$10	11	+11	Up	+$1	02-25 01:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 15:30 UTC	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	02-27 15:40
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 15:30 UTC	2	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	03-04 15:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 15:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5d39c6…
10-21 15:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2045a3…
10-21 14:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x85677c…
10-21 14:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbd87f8…
10-21 13:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xed5823…
10-21 13:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x9418d1…
10-21 13:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa8e2d8…
10-21 12:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf4991d…
10-21 11:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa81ad5…
10-21 10:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcff92a…
10-21 07:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x063e5c…
10-21 01:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x01fb11…
10-21 01:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x741131…
10-21 01:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x40ed19…
10-21 01:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0xd71d25…
10-21 01:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0a2729…
10-21 00:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x55d57c…
10-20 23:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5e72ad…
10-20 15:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8b5661…
10-20 14:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x41fea6…
10-20 14:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xf00d51…
10-20 14:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x841a94…
10-20 14:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1759b3…
10-20 13:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0xba9828…
10-20 13:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbdb268…
10-20 12:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0x923b1e…
10-20 12:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfbe208…
10-20 11:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0xb33c3f…
10-20 10:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe8b769…
10-20 04:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfa1178…
10-20 00:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa2bea4…
10-20 00:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf3520d…
10-19 18:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf3528a…
10-19 17:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbbd01c…
10-19 14:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x053eb8…
10-19 14:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3daf21…
10-19 14:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xef5408…
10-19 13:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x25d232…
10-19 13:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xc9fa3d…
10-19 13:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xce5799…
10-19 13:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x31eb1f…
10-19 11:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x60aa2b…
10-19 10:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x3bd925…
10-19 10:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x416e52…
10-19 07:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x02b991…
10-19 02:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xb37876…
10-19 00:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xad394b…
10-19 00:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x46e6e6…
10-19 00:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4cda9d…
10-18 23:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf95cdb…
10-18 23:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x28d195…
10-18 22:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xcef6aa…
10-18 21:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x896a93…
10-18 20:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xce83e4…
10-18 19:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xebb7a0…
10-18 19:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa55d6d…
10-18 16:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x10a1df…
10-18 16:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7d33c7…
10-18 16:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf2c229…
10-18 15:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2da1aa…
10-18 13:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdb33fd…
10-18 13:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x0e186a…
10-18 13:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x29b348…
10-18 13:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf7b29c…
10-18 12:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfaf127…
10-18 12:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x981abd…
10-18 11:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc8dd06…
10-18 09:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x080c99…
10-18 09:03:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa88fa7…
10-18 07:27:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x18568d…
10-18 06:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x826665…
10-18 03:48:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3fc75e…
10-18 03:23:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xaa6b14…
10-18 01:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf25c66…
10-18 01:03:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x23db35…
10-17 22:41:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc7bfc1…
10-17 22:03:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x24215a…
10-17 21:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc6afda…
10-17 21:38:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfcaccd…
10-17 21:32:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3e9c3f…
10-17 21:26:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb35a54…
10-17 17:08:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xc17e94…
10-17 16:37:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2e1d50…
10-17 16:32:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbc7b50…
10-17 16:01:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe14269…
10-17 15:56:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x106d55…
10-17 15:36:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4384d9…
10-17 15:22:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x6d1280…
10-17 15:03:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa6d7a5…
10-17 14:38:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd45987…
10-17 13:28:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1a5fcd…
10-17 13:03:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x854dfc…
10-17 12:37:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc5b7df…
10-17 12:27:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9528b6…
10-17 12:14:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0xc06c4e…
10-17 12:08:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6d683a…
10-17 11:33:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x312f9b…
10-17 11:03:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9013b2…
10-17 08:55:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0x80277f…
10-17 07:31:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa62416…