Bowed-Beck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$592

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.9%

Resolved

Trades

122

lifetime

Volume

$3.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 05-08 13:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 37% $-592

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	6	$357	13,834	3,834	+10,000	Down	$-53	05-05 01:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	4	$309	4,055	135	+3,920	Up	$-91	05-05 01:48
btc updown 5m 1776036600	3	$300	20,563	0	+20,563	open	—	04-12 23:34
btc updown 5m 1776039000	3	$281	726	217	+509	open	—	04-13 00:15
btc updown 5m 1776040500	2	$271	179	173	+6	open	—	04-13 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$200	233	233	+0	Down	+$100	05-04 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	3	$200	1,646	0	+1,646	Up	$-200	05-05 01:37
btc updown 5m 1776041400	3	$181	291	282	+9	open	—	04-13 00:54
btc updown 5m 1776017100	3	$117	333	0	+333	open	—	04-12 18:08
btc updown 5m 1776038100	3	$106	245	0	+245	open	—	04-12 23:58
btc updown 5m 1776035400	3	$104	1,210	0	+1,210	open	—	04-12 23:14
btc updown 5m 1776036000	1	$100	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	04-12 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$100	10,000	0	+10,000	Down	$-100	05-06 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$100	385	0	+385	Up	$-100	05-05 01:15
btc updown 5m 1776036900	2	$100	1,105	0	+1,105	open	—	04-12 23:38
btc updown 5m 1776015900	1	$100	296	0	+296	open	—	04-12 17:45
btc updown 5m 1776041100	1	$100	142	0	+142	open	—	04-13 00:46
btc updown 5m 1776049800	1	$40	140	0	+140	open	—	04-13 03:13
btc updown 5m 1776041700	1	$38	44	0	+44	open	—	04-13 00:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	4	$31	45	45	+0	Up	+$11	05-06 02:09
btc updown 5m 1776040200	3	$31	48	20	+28	open	—	04-13 00:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$30	564	0	+564	Up	$-30	05-04 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$25	500	0	+500	Up	$-25	05-06 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$25	192	0	+192	Down	$-25	05-06 02:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$25	37	0	+37	Up	$-25	05-05 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$24	22	22	+0	Up	+$14	05-06 10:29
btc updown 5m 1776037200	4	$24	55	46	+10	open	—	04-12 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	4	$20	613	0	+613	Up	$-20	05-05 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	3	$19	98	98	+0	Up	$-1	05-05 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	3	$18	72	9	+63	Down	$-2	05-06 02:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 13:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x455cb4…
05-07 22:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xba6646…
05-07 22:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5e274b…
05-07 22:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2dbc8d…
05-07 22:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x6bf22e…
05-06 23:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0x8b3917…
05-06 23:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x3b49cb…
05-06 23:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0x12b04f…
05-06 22:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x79c511…
05-06 22:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xdaeb55…
05-06 22:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x6169ba…
05-06 22:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x370470…
05-06 22:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe568a1…
05-06 10:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	22	89¢	$19	0x761ac5…
05-06 10:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xcc46bf…
05-06 10:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x05f2de…
05-06 10:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xde9b6e…
05-06 10:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xecd608…
05-06 10:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x7a2a4b…
05-06 10:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x37c582…
05-06 10:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	23	35¢	$8	0x6b9c09…
05-06 10:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xc456a6…
05-06 02:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0xd74464…
05-06 02:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2ce789…
05-06 02:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xe3ee58…
05-06 02:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0x671f36…
05-06 02:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf615fd…
05-06 02:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	24	36¢	$9	0xd9ecc9…
05-06 02:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xc01276…
05-06 02:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x3ae684…
05-06 02:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x88a9f6…
05-06 02:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	36	38¢	$14	0x088560…
05-06 02:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x6e82a8…
05-06 02:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	83¢	$8	0x57658b…
05-06 02:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x6583a5…
05-06 02:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0x3ce683…
05-06 01:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf76521…
05-06 01:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x716bea…
05-06 01:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x686be3…
05-06 01:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xf05b29…
05-06 01:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	17	51¢	$8	0xdf06bf…
05-06 01:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x8686e8…
05-05 01:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xb81eda…
05-05 01:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	98	10¢	$9	0xf83ec2…
05-05 01:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xbeb165…
05-05 01:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x394f1a…
05-05 01:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1,367	3¢	$44	0x80082a…
05-05 01:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2,553	2¢	$56	0x549468…
05-05 01:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	135	81¢	$109	0xdeec33…
05-05 01:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xb4aa26…
05-05 01:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	202	13¢	$26	0x565d91…
05-05 01:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	828	9¢	$74	0x48d422…
05-05 01:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	615	16¢	$100	0x8b0869…
05-05 01:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0x06fa8d…
05-05 01:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3,826	4¢	$145	0xbd5bd4…
05-05 01:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	247	4¢	$10	0x35fef0…
05-05 01:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3,579	3¢	$90	0x215354…
05-05 01:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0xcd9918…
05-05 01:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x3cfdb1…
05-05 01:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb12ff7…
05-05 01:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0xf6edd9…
05-05 01:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb32b8a…
05-05 01:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x5d1953…
05-05 01:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x69aa0d…
05-05 01:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x552844…
05-04 21:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	233	65¢	$150	0xc78375…
05-04 21:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x4fbfe1…
05-04 21:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x5e80c6…
05-04 21:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x1b5938…
05-04 21:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xd85610…
05-04 21:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	146	3¢	$5	0xbd2a5d…
04-17 00:08:40	btc updown 5m 1776384300	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5a5676…
04-17 00:08:20	btc updown 5m 1776384300	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2c2330…
04-16 23:05:38	btc updown 15m 1776380400	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xb17f9d…
04-13 04:17:57	btc updown 5m 1776053700	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xc49e4b…
04-13 03:13:57	btc updown 5m 1776049800	Down	BUY	140	29¢	$40	0xd7fd1e…
04-13 00:56:57	btc updown 5m 1776041700	Down	BUY	44	86¢	$38	0x077a93…
04-13 00:54:47	btc updown 5m 1776041400	Down	SELL	174	2¢	$4	0xc96d35…
04-13 00:54:17	btc updown 5m 1776041400	Down	SELL	108	16¢	$17	0xd7b0f9…
04-13 00:52:41	btc updown 5m 1776041400	Down	BUY	291	55¢	$160	0x7eeb1c…
04-13 00:46:23	btc updown 5m 1776041100	Down	BUY	142	70¢	$100	0x9b6a28…
04-13 00:44:43	btc updown 5m 1776040800	Down	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x50999d…
04-13 00:42:33	btc updown 5m 1776040800	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe91bb9…
04-13 00:40:33	btc updown 5m 1776040500	Down	SELL	173	99¢	$171	0x1c66cb…
04-13 00:36:39	btc updown 5m 1776040500	Down	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x590f94…
04-13 00:32:27	btc updown 5m 1776040200	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xc30dfe…
04-13 00:31:47	btc updown 5m 1776040200	Up	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xd84c0b…
04-13 00:31:13	btc updown 5m 1776040200	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xa48497…
04-13 00:28:31	btc updown 5m 1776039900	Down	BUY	199	8¢	$15	0xb8fff1…
04-13 00:19:23	btc updown 5m 1776039300	Down	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xcefa89…
04-13 00:17:51	btc updown 5m 1776039300	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x7434f7…
04-13 00:15:05	btc updown 5m 1776039000	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x01b763…
04-13 00:12:45	btc updown 5m 1776039000	Down	SELL	217	81¢	$176	0xc5b4cb…
04-13 00:10:39	btc updown 5m 1776039000	Down	BUY	226	44¢	$100	0xecda55…
04-12 23:58:45	btc updown 5m 1776038100	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xdcfbc6…
04-12 23:58:33	btc updown 5m 1776038100	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa1fb6b…
04-12 23:55:15	btc updown 5m 1776038100	Down	BUY	237	42¢	$100	0x0926c3…
04-12 23:54:27	btc updown 5m 1776037800	Up	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x57413b…
04-12 23:50:43	btc updown 5m 1776037800	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x60cff5…
04-12 23:49:41	btc updown 5m 1776037500	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x17aa5d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	61	$23.4K	6,690	05-08 13:08
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	61	$23.1K	4,073	05-08 13:08
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	61	$20.7K	3,288	05-08 13:08
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	61	$18.1K	5,805	05-08 13:08
Altruistic-Grief 0xa280…3343	61	$17.0K	2,988	05-08 13:07
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	60	$146.4K	4,892	05-08 13:08
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	60	$35.6K	2,827	05-08 13:05
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	60	$29.0K	1,306	05-08 13:09