Agitated-Permafrost — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$187

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.4%

Resolved

272

Trades

10,929

lifetime

Volume

$123.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 06-01 05:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 66% $-187

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 770 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774473900	4	$1.9K	983	979	+5	open	—	03-25 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	14	$1.5K	787	787	+0	open	—	05-19 02:25
btc updown 5m 1774409700	11	$1.4K	724	709	+15	open	—	03-25 03:40
btc updown 5m 1774524600	20	$1.4K	872	738	+134	open	—	03-26 11:35
btc updown 5m 1774524900	21	$1.4K	871	726	+145	open	—	03-26 11:40
btc updown 5m 1774406400	9	$1.3K	1,129	835	+294	open	—	03-25 02:45
btc updown 5m 1774403100	7	$1.3K	707	699	+7	open	—	03-25 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	20	$1.2K	650	650	+0	open	—	05-19 02:30
btc updown 5m 1774496100	22	$1.2K	681	624	+58	open	—	03-26 03:40
btc updown 5m 1774407900	19	$1.2K	742	619	+123	open	—	03-25 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	16	$1.2K	737	737	+0	open	—	05-18 06:50
btc updown 5m 1774476600	28	$1.0K	598	529	+69	open	—	03-25 22:15
btc updown 5m 1774499100	13	$959	523	488	+35	open	—	03-26 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	7	$918	1,085	1,085	+0	open	—	05-18 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	8	$895	1,270	1,270	+0	open	—	05-18 06:40
btc updown 5m 1774503300	19	$889	917	59	+858	open	—	03-26 05:39
btc updown 5m 1774524300	25	$885	487	485	+3	open	—	03-26 11:30
btc updown 5m 1774515900	17	$885	1,814	455	+1,359	open	—	03-26 09:10
btc updown 5m 1774409400	7	$820	443	422	+20	open	—	03-25 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	14	$783	543	543	+0	open	—	05-18 06:35
btc updown 5m 1774498500	15	$740	612	433	+179	open	—	03-26 04:21
btc updown 5m 1774500300	14	$733	494	318	+177	open	—	03-26 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	15	$702	365	365	+0	open	—	05-19 04:55
btc updown 5m 1774482900	20	$684	397	372	+25	open	—	03-26 00:00
btc updown 5m 1774342200	5	$674	487	443	+44	open	—	03-24 08:55
btc updown 5m 1774500900	9	$653	413	342	+71	open	—	03-26 05:00
btc updown 5m 1774404000	8	$641	362	337	+25	open	—	03-25 02:05
btc updown 5m 1774498200	7	$638	356	327	+29	open	—	03-26 04:15
btc updown 5m 1774508700	19	$638	940	311	+629	open	—	03-26 07:10
btc updown 5m 1774497600	8	$634	339	321	+18	open	—	03-26 04:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 05:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4ec8ae…
06-01 05:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x189fdd…
06-01 05:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x6537fc…
06-01 05:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcd61ab…
06-01 05:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x0c1deb…
06-01 05:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe9657f…
06-01 05:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xe34bf7…
06-01 05:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xabf6c7…
06-01 04:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x252a65…
06-01 04:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x894285…
06-01 04:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x18b8f2…
06-01 04:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xcc3fa6…
06-01 04:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7a8954…
06-01 04:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2fd207…
06-01 04:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x237b45…
06-01 04:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd74fe2…
06-01 04:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x676f5c…
06-01 04:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xae174a…
06-01 03:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3cbe27…
06-01 03:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4dd668…
06-01 03:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xced155…
06-01 03:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9bf126…
06-01 03:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x3e67e9…
06-01 03:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x308956…
06-01 03:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8d1970…
06-01 03:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x54e618…
06-01 03:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xc2220d…
05-29 02:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x10ed80…
05-29 02:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc6a8cf…
05-29 02:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6fa9f4…
05-29 02:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2411ba…
05-29 02:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4a86da…
05-29 02:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x66d6ba…
05-29 02:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x371071…
05-29 02:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf0aad5…
05-29 02:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x28164a…
05-29 01:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x01191a…
05-29 01:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x0a7e08…
05-29 01:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x54d2f4…
05-29 01:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xfc1532…
05-29 01:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe74356…
05-29 01:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x08bb8c…
05-28 08:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xff66dd…
05-28 08:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x28d863…
05-28 08:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x0c02ea…
05-28 08:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb4ed2c…
05-28 08:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x12f0ea…
05-28 08:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5282cf…
05-28 08:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xe29471…
05-28 08:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x68eda2…
05-28 08:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x57eaf3…
05-28 08:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x488857…
05-28 08:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x433b82…
05-28 08:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4e7222…
05-28 08:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd80f78…
05-28 08:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x71597a…
05-28 08:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x6bf2bb…
05-28 08:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3568bd…
05-28 08:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xde81fb…
05-28 08:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xab3e98…
05-28 08:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xb750c7…
05-28 08:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf7d9df…
05-28 08:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xa4e532…
05-28 08:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x90cc6f…
05-28 08:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf2ba8a…
05-28 08:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa430da…
05-28 08:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9d15cc…
05-28 08:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x768c13…
05-28 08:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0b3b3d…
05-28 08:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xa479e4…
05-28 08:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xda7ebe…
05-28 08:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x49af99…
05-28 08:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xc7dd69…
05-28 08:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xddcc4e…
05-28 08:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3eb36f…
05-28 08:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf8305b…
05-28 08:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x50a956…
05-28 08:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8df21f…
05-28 08:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5136e1…
05-28 08:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x38404b…
05-28 08:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x88b2a8…
05-28 08:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xe47ddf…
05-28 08:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xbad3d3…
05-28 08:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9b8dde…
05-28 08:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x84b414…
05-28 08:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xcb38a6…
05-28 08:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd7ee75…
05-28 07:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa815f3…
05-28 07:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc6f80c…
05-28 07:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x2c7fab…
05-28 07:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x81a04a…
05-28 07:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xdf3694…
05-28 07:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbb2b59…
05-28 07:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x53a7ae…
05-28 07:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa10ab7…
05-28 07:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xb16e63…
05-28 07:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5bda8c…
05-28 07:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x32a777…
05-28 07:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x265c34…
05-28 07:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x78cde3…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	998	$367.3K	62,598	05-28 06:19
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	998	$317.8K	48,109	05-28 06:19
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	997	$274.8K	86,784	05-28 06:19
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	996	$336.3K	93,485	05-28 06:19
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	980	$2.19K	5,563	05-28 06:20
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	972	$669.9K	28,726	05-28 06:21
Altruistic-Trust 0xd9a0…dbca	972	$2.05K	5,018	05-26 08:14
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	951	$152.9K	19,152	05-28 06:19