Natural-Optimisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,745

lifetime

Volume

$17.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 06-18 05:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 82% +$1

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1772383800	10	$155	278	0	+278	open	—	03-01 16:53
btc updown 5m 1772798100	5	$116	171	0	+171	open	—	03-06 11:58
eth updown 15m 1781703000	5	$87	122	0	+122	open	—	06-17 13:37
btc updown 15m 1772196300	3	$83	108	0	+108	open	—	02-27 12:51
btc updown 5m 1772140500	3	$73	140	0	+140	open	—	02-26 21:13
eth updown 15m 1772325900	1	$70	77	0	+77	open	—	03-01 00:53
btc updown 5m 1772908500	1	$62	101	0	+101	open	—	03-07 18:36
sol updown 15m 1771809300	2	$61	97	0	+97	open	—	02-23 01:23
btc updown 5m 1772806800	1	$60	88	0	+88	open	—	03-06 14:24
btc updown 5m 1772347200	2	$59	110	0	+110	open	—	03-01 06:43
btc updown 5m 1772837400	1	$58	95	0	+95	open	—	03-06 22:51
btc updown 5m 1772043900	1	$55	57	0	+57	open	—	02-25 18:27
btc updown 15m 1771809300	2	$54	106	0	+106	open	—	02-23 01:22
btc updown 5m 1772826600	1	$53	76	0	+76	open	—	03-06 19:52
btc updown 5m 1772797800	1	$53	75	0	+75	open	—	03-06 11:52
btc updown 5m 1772840400	1	$52	73	0	+73	open	—	03-06 23:43
btc updown 5m 1772856000	1	$49	76	0	+76	open	—	03-07 04:03
btc updown 5m 1772842800	1	$49	76	0	+76	open	—	03-07 00:21
btc updown 5m 1772836500	1	$48	75	0	+75	open	—	03-06 22:37
btc updown 5m 1772244000	1	$48	81	0	+81	open	—	02-28 02:01
btc updown 5m 1772928600	1	$48	72	0	+72	open	—	03-08 00:14
btc updown 5m 1772856300	1	$47	67	0	+67	open	—	03-07 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$47	52	52	+0	open	—	05-14 18:19
btc updown 5m 1772930100	1	$47	74	0	+74	open	—	03-08 00:36
btc updown 5m 1772853900	1	$47	76	0	+76	open	—	03-07 03:27
btc updown 5m 1772818800	1	$45	66	0	+66	open	—	03-06 17:41
btc updown 5m 1772252700	1	$43	63	0	+63	open	—	02-28 04:29
btc updown 5m 1772326200	1	$43	44	0	+44	open	—	03-01 00:53
eth updown 15m 1772186400	3	$41	75	0	+75	open	—	02-27 10:08
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	1	$41	66	0	+66	open	—	04-25 10:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 05:24:52	btc updown 5m 1781760000	Up	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x40fdd7…
06-18 05:23:35	btc updown 5m 1781760000	Up	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0xc3c96d…
06-18 05:17:26	btc updown 5m 1781759700	Up	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0xced2e4…
06-18 04:38:34	btc updown 5m 1781757300	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x40d71c…
06-17 18:54:16	btc updown 5m 1781722200	Up	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xd2a1e0…
06-17 18:51:37	btc updown 5m 1781722200	Up	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xbf0aba…
06-17 18:18:40	btc updown 5m 1781720100	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x6adb9f…
06-17 18:16:46	btc updown 5m 1781720100	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xcd7649…
06-17 15:22:10	btc updown 5m 1781709600	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x616e52…
06-17 15:21:26	btc updown 5m 1781709600	Up	BUY	17	74¢	$12	0xed0fc9…
06-17 15:17:04	btc updown 5m 1781709300	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x156f9d…
06-17 15:16:52	btc updown 5m 1781709300	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xb49907…
06-17 15:16:44	btc updown 5m 1781709300	Up	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xe637e9…
06-17 13:37:23	eth updown 15m 1781703000	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x5060bf…
06-17 13:36:49	eth updown 15m 1781703000	Up	BUY	24	74¢	$17	0xf8dcee…
06-17 13:36:38	eth updown 15m 1781703000	Up	BUY	27	71¢	$19	0x0e6872…
06-17 13:36:28	eth updown 15m 1781703000	Up	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x9536bd…
06-17 13:35:49	eth updown 15m 1781703000	Up	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x46d794…
06-16 17:58:20	btc updown 5m 1781632500	Down	BUY	22	65¢	$15	0xc749ad…
06-16 12:26:30	btc updown 5m 1781612700	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x08282d…
06-15 12:58:19	eth updown 15m 1781527500	Up	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x6e4db3…
06-15 00:43:30	btc updown 5m 1781484000	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x160456…
05-23 18:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x04795e…
05-21 19:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0x62867f…
05-21 02:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x3156f2…
05-20 21:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x280a6b…
05-20 21:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0xb1c43b…
05-20 14:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x79f72d…
05-20 03:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x1db1ef…
05-20 01:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$11	0x42c6d4…
05-19 16:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xac6a98…
05-19 16:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x7127ea…
05-19 15:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$7	0x446441…
05-19 15:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xb18aaf…
05-19 14:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	73¢	$8	0x085098…
05-19 14:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	77¢	$9	0x9e8ea1…
05-19 14:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x221b7d…
05-19 13:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x59b758…
05-19 06:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x728b7a…
05-19 05:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	31	75¢	$23	0x00cca1…
05-18 14:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	22	75¢	$17	0x153f5e…
05-18 12:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x14ac87…
05-18 12:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x56e688…
05-18 07:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xea556d…
05-18 06:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x069e8f…
05-18 02:04:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x4ddf07…
05-17 23:52:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$8	0x4685e4…
05-17 20:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0xe6691e…
05-17 17:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x28b182…
05-17 17:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xce6c97…
05-17 03:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x790f51…
05-16 18:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	28	73¢	$20	0x9ede32…
05-16 17:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x3f70d4…
05-16 15:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0x8a1e50…
05-16 14:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xd41047…
05-16 14:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0xba1a74…
05-16 08:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0xba1fdc…
05-16 08:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x36f03c…
05-16 07:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x12d452…
05-16 06:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	76¢	$14	0x5d745c…
05-16 02:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x8ba9f9…
05-15 17:34:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xb22958…
05-15 07:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	43	3¢	$1	0x51ab66…
05-15 07:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	43	75¢	$32	0x0dc3f6…
05-14 18:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	52	8¢	$4	0xe85564…
05-14 18:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	52	84¢	$43	0x8f54c9…
05-14 14:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	39	69¢	$27	0x6c0a14…
05-14 01:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0xa245be…
05-13 04:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x47b52b…
05-11 17:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	23	73¢	$16	0x191b10…
05-11 09:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xc402d1…
05-10 15:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x7993c6…
05-10 11:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xdc76b6…
05-08 01:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xa9e02a…
05-07 05:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xecc2be…
05-07 01:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x754ada…
05-06 16:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x3c2a94…
05-06 13:04:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xbbfab1…
05-04 02:34:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xa50247…
05-01 22:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xa48f56…
05-01 01:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xb5a12c…
04-30 23:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x71ebe1…
04-30 01:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x8b4872…
04-28 08:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0xf05be6…
04-28 07:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	72¢	$27	0x9c471d…
04-28 01:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x12bb19…
04-28 01:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	79¢	$13	0xa921df…
04-28 00:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x96bf3b…
04-28 00:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x821a91…
04-27 22:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	31	73¢	$22	0xc6ba3c…
04-27 22:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xa29b57…
04-27 16:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0x7dcd7e…
04-27 14:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x8890c9…
04-27 13:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	28	73¢	$20	0xed22ae…
04-27 07:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x7af320…
04-27 06:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0xaf6f9b…
04-27 05:54:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0xf38f4a…
04-26 22:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x109c92…
04-26 01:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x890893…
04-25 20:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x475bdf…