Second-Pagoda — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.5%

Resolved

Trades

119

lifetime

Volume

$1.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 05-17 12:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 27% $-19

Other

45% 60% +$8

Sports

3% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5	3	$181	101	101	+0	Under	+$21	05-12 20:40
btc updown 5m 1772983200	4	$83	48	48	+0	open	—	03-08 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$80	105	0	+105	Down	+$25	05-09 09:59
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	9	$60	49	49	+0	open	—	05-15 14:34
efa man2 ars 2026 03 07 ars	2	$52	27	27	+0	open	—	03-07 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$43	45	45	+0	Down	+$23	05-09 09:49
lal bar ray 2026 03 22 bar	1	$35	43	0	+43	open	—	03-22 09:59
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 208.5	1	$35	65	0	+65	open	—	05-15 21:53
btc updown 5m 1772987700	3	$32	31	16	+15	open	—	03-08 16:39
lal osa mal 2026 03 06 mal	2	$29	35	0	+35	open	—	03-07 14:28
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5	2	$28	26	26	+0	Under	+$8	05-13 20:53
lal bar sev 2026 03 15 bar	1	$27	35	0	+35	open	—	03-15 12:18
cbb ri duq 2026 03 12	2	$26	14	14	+0	open	—	03-12 23:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$26	44	44	+0	Up	+$10	05-09 10:04
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	2	$22	31	31	+0	No	+$0	05-13 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$20	61	0	+61	Up	$-20	05-10 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$20	63	0	+63	Down	$-20	05-10 09:34
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	11	$18	18	18	+0	open	—	05-15 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$18	50	47	+3	open	—	04-26 09:29
lal mad get 2026 03 14 mad	1	$16	27	0	+27	open	—	03-14 09:38
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score	1	$15	29	0	+29	No	$-15	05-13 09:22
lal lev gir 2026 03 07 gir	1	$15	79	0	+79	open	—	03-07 16:37
btc updown 5m 1772968200	3	$14	19	4	+15	open	—	03-08 11:14
cbb mtnst loutch 2026 03 12	1	$14	16	0	+16	open	—	03-12 23:28
btc updown 5m 1772920200	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-07 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$10	125	0	+125	Down	$-10	05-09 09:44
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Henri Squire vs Cristian Garin	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-16 10:40
ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 liv1	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	03-08 16:45
lal lev gir 2026 03 07 draw	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	03-07 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$10	22	0	+22	Down	$-10	05-10 09:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 12:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x29924a…
05-17 12:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	202	5¢	$10	0x8b1238…
05-16 10:40:31	Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Henri Squire vs Cristian Garin	Cristian Garin	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x57a313…
05-15 21:53:51	Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 208.5	Over	BUY	65	54¢	$35	0x323ba4…
05-15 14:40:05	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe48b12…
05-15 14:39:14	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x910001…
05-15 14:38:32	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x8137fa…
05-15 14:38:09	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x987d2e…
05-15 14:37:45	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x183990…
05-15 14:36:54	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x119cea…
05-15 14:36:52	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0xa657e2…
05-15 14:36:52	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x982536…
05-15 14:36:52	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x411814…
05-15 14:36:47	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x6efdc7…
05-15 14:36:02	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xe93bc1…
05-15 14:34:48	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xb7303d…
05-15 14:34:48	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x981039…
05-15 14:34:48	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0x11b614…
05-15 14:34:46	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$7	0xd7ac43…
05-15 14:34:45	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xf18465…
05-15 14:34:43	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0xc1cb37…
05-15 14:34:38	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0xd357b1…
05-15 14:34:38	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xc24076…
05-15 14:32:11	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	49	58¢	$28	0xb22ffb…
05-15 14:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x7c0fbd…
05-15 14:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x11d442…
05-15 11:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x9eed78…
05-15 11:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xaa1e4b…
05-15 06:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xe16655…
05-13 21:13:55	Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x332bfb…
05-13 20:53:44	Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	26	71¢	$18	0x6ee797…
05-13 19:24:01	Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x27597b…
05-13 09:22:08	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x8edf23…
05-13 08:35:17	Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	31	37¢	$11	0x169d57…
05-13 04:24:40	Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0x9a9f13…
05-12 20:40:07	Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x4399e3…
05-12 20:23:51	Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x74ecc8…
05-12 19:03:40	Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	101	79¢	$80	0x0fef7e…
05-12 18:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf6b2f9…
05-12 18:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xf9f693…
05-10 09:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xd04f1b…
05-10 09:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	63	32¢	$20	0x39611e…
05-10 09:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x7a9417…
05-09 11:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xa1f1bd…
05-09 10:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	17	16¢	$3	0xcb96a9…
05-09 10:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x04bdf7…
05-09 10:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	44	40¢	$18	0xe9a86b…
05-09 10:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	44	18¢	$8	0x935d2c…
05-09 09:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	105	76¢	$80	0x1d6792…
05-09 09:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	45	74¢	$33	0xfefee3…
05-09 09:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x831f50…
05-09 09:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x066c3e…
05-01 16:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0xa05268…
05-01 16:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x626a1c…
05-01 15:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6f85a0…
04-26 09:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	47	27¢	$13	0xffdfae…
04-26 09:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x3e8eb9…
04-19 08:47:44	highest temperature in munich on april 19 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0xd13ea3…
04-19 08:47:14	highest temperature in munich on april 19 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x4ad7dd…
04-18 09:48:52	btc updown 5m 1776505500	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x981f02…
04-06 09:45:13	btc updown 5m 1775468700	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x378bd2…
04-06 09:42:43	btc updown 5m 1775468400	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa9fec5…
04-03 18:23:01	btc updown 5m 1775240400	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xebc712…
03-22 09:59:09	lal bar ray 2026 03 22 bar	Yes	BUY	43	81¢	$35	0x95db66…
03-15 12:18:35	lal bar sev 2026 03 15 bar	Yes	BUY	35	77¢	$27	0x9163a3…
03-14 09:38:17	lal mad get 2026 03 14 mad	Yes	BUY	27	60¢	$16	0xba7c7c…
03-12 23:28:33	cbb mtnst loutch 2026 03 12	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0x02f920…
03-12 23:27:31	cbb ri duq 2026 03 12	Duquesne Dukes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x866ee8…
03-12 22:40:51	cbb ri duq 2026 03 12	Duquesne Dukes	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x0abb53…
03-08 16:51:41	btc updown 5m 1772988600	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x36e9c8…
03-08 16:51:11	btc updown 5m 1772988600	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0x403ccd…
03-08 16:49:11	efa lee nor 2026 03 07 draw	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xe628ed…
03-08 16:45:57	ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 liv1	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x5347e8…
03-08 16:43:03	ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	Yes	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0xcf05a9…
03-08 16:39:23	btc updown 5m 1772987700	Down	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x575d18…
03-08 16:37:29	btc updown 5m 1772987700	Down	SELL	16	72¢	$12	0x9ef323…
03-08 16:36:45	btc updown 5m 1772987700	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xd757f1…
03-08 16:33:29	btc updown 5m 1772987400	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x640b8a…
03-08 15:59:05	btc updown 5m 1772985300	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf2702b…
03-08 15:54:55	btc updown 5m 1772985000	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x50fea5…
03-08 15:47:03	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xc4e9f5…
03-08 15:39:33	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x437228…
03-08 15:39:15	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x95ed71…
03-08 15:26:43	btc updown 5m 1772983200	Down	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0x559749…
03-08 15:24:45	btc updown 5m 1772983200	Up	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x466fae…
03-08 15:23:45	btc updown 5m 1772983200	Down	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x3a1c38…
03-08 15:21:53	btc updown 5m 1772983200	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x768abc…
03-08 11:54:29	btc updown 5m 1772970600	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3229c4…
03-08 11:52:31	btc updown 5m 1772970600	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x26dcbc…
03-08 11:51:19	btc updown 5m 1772970600	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9840ec…
03-08 11:43:43	btc updown 5m 1772970000	Up	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0x833a95…
03-08 11:42:13	btc updown 5m 1772970000	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x81ef6d…
03-08 11:38:45	btc updown 5m 1772969700	Up	SELL	10	25¢	$3	0x9f21c5…
03-08 11:37:03	btc updown 5m 1772969700	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf3d6a9…
03-08 11:14:37	btc updown 5m 1772968200	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xae0f23…
03-08 11:14:13	btc updown 5m 1772968200	Up	SELL	4	67¢	$2	0x66d2cc…
03-08 11:13:41	btc updown 5m 1772968200	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x0e247f…
03-08 10:59:31	btc updown 5m 1772967300	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xa9e5da…
03-07 21:55:21	btc updown 5m 1772920200	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xba229f…
03-07 21:54:59	btc updown 5m 1772920200	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4de602…