Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$207

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

34.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$34

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 10-26 17:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

57% 32% -$116

Other

43% 50% -$93

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	+500	$8	3¢	$14	+$6	10-26 12:22
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	+200	$19	6¢	$12	-$7	10-26 11:24
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	+500	$13	1¢	$5	-$8	10-26 11:29
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	+1,000	$1	0¢	$2	+$0	10-26 11:24
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	+1,000	$1	0¢	$1	+$0	10-26 11:24
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	+200	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-26 11:24
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	+100	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-26 12:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	2	$258	138	138	+0	No	-$1	03-03 04:44
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	1	$104	121	0	+121	No	-$104	06-21 00:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	7	$102	72,715	0	+72,715	Yes	-$102	03-03 21:52
Will Erling Haaland attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	4	$85	100	0	+100	open	—	10-26 12:39
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$73	119	57	+62	Yes	+$35	03-03 21:44
minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	2	$73	45	45	+0	No	+$11	03-02 07:52
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	2	$47	28	28	+0	No	+$7	03-02 21:39
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	2	$45	28	28	+0	No	+$2	03-03 21:46
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$38	100	0	+100	open	—	10-26 11:30
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$37	100	0	+100	open	—	10-26 11:34
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	5	$37	1,199	200	+999	open	—	10-26 17:58
Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	1	$25	88	0	+88	open	—	10-26 11:13
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	1	$20	23	0	+23	No	+$3	03-03 04:47
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$19	200	0	+200	open	—	10-26 11:24
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$16	68	0	+68	open	—	10-26 12:52
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$13	500	0	+500	open	—	10-26 11:29
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$10	200	0	+200	open	—	10-26 11:25
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	1	$10	40	0	+40	Yes	-$10	03-03 04:48
us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999	1	$10	1,250	0	+1,250	No	-$10	03-03 04:50
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	1	$10	15	0	+15	No	+$5	03-03 04:48
will trump say ice or border patrol during meetings with chancellor merz	1	$10	19	0	+19	No	-$10	03-03 04:45
will trump say drone during meetings with chancellor merz	1	$10	15	0	+15	No	-$10	03-03 04:46
will trump say romania this week february 1	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	01-25 11:04
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$8	500	0	+500	open	—	10-26 12:22
will trump visit greenland by march 31	1	$6	52	0	+52	No	-$6	01-25 11:02
trump deploys active duty troops to minnesota by jan 31 472	1	$5	40	0	+40	No	-$5	01-25 10:59
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$5	83	0	+83	No	-$5	03-03 04:50
will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by jan 31	1	$4	118	0	+118	No	-$4	01-25 10:59
will the us invade iran by march 31	1	$3	35	0	+35	No	-$3	03-03 15:48
will trump say greenland during meetings with chancellor merz	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	-$2	03-03 04:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 17:58:26	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	868	2¢	$17	0xba9711…
10-26 16:40:20	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x34b346…
10-26 12:52:35	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	39	24¢	$9	0xa9ca9e…
10-26 12:52:23	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	29	24¢	$7	0x5a0ebb…
10-26 12:48:45	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xe4bfb0…
10-26 12:48:45	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	94	1¢	$1	0x64f33c…
10-26 12:39:08	Will Erling Haaland attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x54a951…
10-26 12:39:08	Will Erling Haaland attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x4816b4…
10-26 12:39:08	Will Erling Haaland attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x2ee939…
10-26 12:32:30	Will Erling Haaland attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x092cc6…
10-26 12:22:54	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$8	0x88dd74…
10-26 11:34:18	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x3b13bc…
10-26 11:34:06	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xb70ebf…
10-26 11:30:26	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	54	38¢	$21	0x8bb05b…
10-26 11:30:26	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x785723…
10-26 11:29:14	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	470	3¢	$12	0x5b84b5…
10-26 11:28:15	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x74107c…
10-26 11:25:38	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x673377…
10-26 11:25:38	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x005bce…
10-26 11:25:26	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xa8c10f…
10-26 11:24:57	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x83e0ba…
10-26 11:24:41	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6df016…
10-26 11:24:29	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xaec4a9…
10-26 11:24:14	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	197	10¢	$19	0x4f6c66…
10-26 11:23:20	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x9029e3…
10-26 11:18:44	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x45ec5e…
10-26 11:18:14	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$15	0xe49ce6…
10-26 11:13:41	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	88	28¢	$25	0x8345a1…
06-21 00:02:16	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	121	86¢	$104	0x00d53d…
03-03 21:52:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0x060fb7…
03-03 21:49:21	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xe26280…
03-03 21:48:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	5,500	0¢	$11	0x562923…
03-03 21:46:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	SELL	28	85¢	$24	0x8b5f5c…
03-03 21:44:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	11,715	0¢	$23	0xf4a7e2…
03-03 21:44:15	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	57	41¢	$23	0x5324bb…
03-03 15:48:25	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	35	9¢	$3	0x5fb049…
03-03 11:13:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	23,000	0¢	$23	0x62b69a…
03-03 04:51:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb68d9f…
03-03 04:50:41	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x92e3ff…
03-03 04:50:33	us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999	Yes	BUY	1,250	1¢	$10	0x98a8cc…
03-03 04:49:31	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x27c2cd…
03-03 04:48:15	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xb54020…
03-03 04:48:07	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x705948…
03-03 04:47:53	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x8d8b8b…
03-03 04:46:11	will trump say greenland during meetings with chancellor merz	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb9b5dc…
03-03 04:46:03	will trump say drone during meetings with chancellor merz	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x9440d0…
03-03 04:45:43	will trump say ice or border patrol during meetings with chancellor merz	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xd46a01…
03-03 04:44:45	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	No	SELL	138	93¢	$128	0x4157d0…
03-02 21:41:01	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	No	BUY	138	94¢	$130	0x07f6b7…
03-02 21:39:51	trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0xb7f0f6…
03-02 21:39:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	28	78¢	$22	0xc194da…
03-02 21:38:23	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x4362d8…
03-02 07:59:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xee8d36…
03-02 07:53:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xd9540a…
03-02 07:52:57	minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	No	SELL	45	94¢	$42	0x915d3b…
01-25 11:04:36	will trump say romania this week february 1	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x723d8b…
01-25 11:02:12	will trump visit greenland by march 31	Yes	BUY	52	12¢	$6	0x6a459b…
01-25 11:01:26	trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x6a402f…
01-25 10:59:22	trump deploys active duty troops to minnesota by jan 31 472	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x5ccc38…
01-25 10:59:04	will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by jan 31	Yes	BUY	118	3¢	$4	0xca905a…
01-25 10:57:50	minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	No	BUY	45	69¢	$31	0xf3a6be…