Hot-Trunk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.6%

Resolved

165

Trades

2,205

lifetime

Volume

$2.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 06-02 14:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 19% $-49

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 576 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 10 9pm et	2	$65	46	46	+0	open	—	03-11 02:09
btc updown 15m 1771111800	6	$47	41	40	+1	open	—	02-14 23:43
bitcoin up or down march 10 2am et	3	$29	72	0	+72	open	—	03-10 06:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$28	60	60	+0	Down	+$22	05-11 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	3	$24	40	40	+0	open	—	05-15 06:59
bitcoin up or down march 9 6pm et	2	$22	56	0	+56	open	—	03-09 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	10	$22	40	40	+0	Down	+$17	05-10 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	5	$18	60	30	+30	Down	+$11	05-10 00:25
bitcoin up or down march 10 7pm et	3	$18	45	0	+45	open	—	03-10 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$18	40	40	+0	Up	+$13	05-10 00:34
bitcoin up or down on february 28	4	$18	20	20	+0	open	—	02-28 02:35
btc updown 15m 1775057400	4	$17	56	0	+56	open	—	04-01 15:40
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	2	$17	49	49	+0	open	—	06-02 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$16	320	0	+320	open	—	05-17 07:10
bitcoin up or down march 13 11pm et	1	$16	40	0	+40	open	—	03-14 03:01
btc updown 15m 1769663700	2	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	01-29 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	3	$15	40	40	+0	Down	+$10	05-10 05:04
bitcoin up or down march 5 4pm et	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	03-05 23:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	10	$13	40	40	+0	open	—	05-15 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	8	$12	40	20	+20	Up	+$8	05-12 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	8	$12	240	0	+240	open	—	05-17 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	3	$10	200	0	+200	open	—	05-17 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$10	200	0	+200	open	—	05-17 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$10	200	0	+200	open	—	05-16 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$10	200	0	+200	open	—	05-16 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$10	28	0	+28	open	—	05-15 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	3	$10	200	0	+200	open	—	05-17 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	7	$10	200	0	+200	open	—	05-17 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	7	$10	200	0	+200	open	—	05-17 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	4	$10	200	0	+200	open	—	05-17 12:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 14:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x0f660e…
06-02 14:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x619335…
06-02 14:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0f12af…
06-02 14:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x0985f8…
06-02 08:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x67dac2…
06-02 08:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x844b1e…
06-02 08:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdfe964…
06-02 08:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x206ab9…
06-02 07:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe74c49…
06-02 07:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xb9b98d…
06-02 07:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x389e57…
06-02 07:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xa821d6…
06-02 07:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x18f882…
06-02 07:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xd4b849…
06-02 07:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x83b75e…
06-02 07:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x57526a…
06-02 07:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x18f5b1…
06-02 07:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xeb070e…
06-02 07:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x8c26d1…
06-02 07:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x36cea8…
06-02 07:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x0deb6a…
06-02 07:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x10d773…
06-02 06:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xc24eb1…
06-02 06:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0x7c9a5c…
06-02 06:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0x7a6c71…
06-02 06:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x5bcda9…
06-02 06:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x0e3723…
06-02 06:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xf83b0b…
06-02 06:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xb27484…
06-02 06:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x8ba29e…
06-02 06:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x36c4dd…
06-02 06:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x0f44db…
06-02 06:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x96541f…
06-02 06:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0xbf1a5d…
06-02 06:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x53d8fd…
06-02 06:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x03aee9…
06-02 06:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x9fb03a…
06-02 06:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x4c9856…
06-02 06:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x7c977b…
06-02 06:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x3f8c3b…
06-02 05:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xe6428f…
06-02 05:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x553c78…
06-02 05:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0xed4e5e…
06-02 05:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x71615a…
06-02 05:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x50eed2…
06-02 05:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xf6dc08…
06-02 05:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xbda205…
06-02 05:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x814542…
06-02 05:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x7cf1d6…
06-02 05:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x53cd6b…
06-02 05:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x1fa549…
06-02 05:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x7b9458…
06-02 05:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x47ace2…
06-02 05:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x14296e…
06-02 05:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x3ef486…
06-02 05:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xe443c1…
06-02 05:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xd2bf31…
06-02 05:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x2a6634…
06-02 05:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x201cd7…
06-02 05:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x8d0708…
06-02 05:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x35f3af…
06-02 04:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xec57c0…
06-02 04:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x29c97d…
06-02 04:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x1decb4…
06-02 04:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x7e85a2…
06-02 04:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x041ad3…
06-02 04:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xaf2ae9…
06-02 04:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x955d23…
06-02 04:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x1f2c9f…
06-02 04:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x0b8397…
06-02 04:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x0db69d…
06-02 04:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x5018e7…
06-02 04:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xf15663…
06-02 04:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x6b4505…
06-02 04:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x9721fa…
06-02 04:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x3b41e4…
06-02 03:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x844868…
06-02 03:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0xe4e866…
06-02 03:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x38e42b…
06-02 03:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xf0b9bc…
06-02 03:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xb57d7c…
06-02 03:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x1f90ff…
06-02 03:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x6cfabc…
06-02 03:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xcb82d0…
06-02 03:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xa4e2cd…
06-02 03:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xef4f85…
06-02 03:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xb9f593…
06-02 03:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x75a7f1…
06-02 03:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x43cbd0…
06-02 03:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x39719d…
06-02 03:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x00488f…
06-02 03:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x40a991…
06-02 03:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x1eaecc…
06-02 02:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x7bdb01…
06-02 02:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x73c8d0…
06-02 02:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x196a3c…
06-02 02:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x1119d9…
06-02 02:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xb70194…
06-02 02:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xb5dc4a…
06-02 02:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x4b75f1…