Confused-Factory — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$671

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.3%

Resolved

816

Trades

1,471

lifetime

Volume

$33.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 06-20 02:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 41% -$518

Other

11% 29% -$154

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-20).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1PM ET	6	$564	497	497	+0	Down	+$64	06-03 17:46
bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 12am et	4	$509	451	451	+0	Up	+$109	06-09 04:34
bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 1am et	13	$470	647	424	+224	Down	-$7	06-07 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12PM ET	9	$467	362	346	+16	Down	+$38	06-03 16:56
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?	2	$454	357	357	+0	Yes	+$254	06-16 03:08
bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 3pm et	11	$443	500	436	+64	Up	+$10	06-10 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	4	$432	435	435	+0	Up	+$32	05-26 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	7	$413	500	343	+157	Up	+$63	05-28 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	3	$373	474	217	+256	Up	-$27	05-26 03:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$367	682	182	+500	Down	-$33	05-28 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	6	$350	360	360	+0	Up	+$50	05-28 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	4	$346	213	213	+0	Down	+$46	05-27 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	5	$335	284	236	+48	Up	+$40	05-26 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$327	233	233	+0	Up	+$134	05-26 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	3	$326	772	233	+540	Up	-$74	05-28 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	3	$325	389	163	+226	Down	-$75	05-26 03:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	3	$309	366	303	+63	Down	+$59	05-28 19:09
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	3	$308	250	250	+0	Yes	+$188	06-16 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$304	246	246	+0	Up	+$104	05-23 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	5	$295	309	233	+76	Down	+$111	05-28 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	3	$291	172	172	+0	Up	+$51	05-26 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	3	$276	326	270	+57	Down	+$72	05-26 04:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	4	$274	214	214	+0	Up	+$114	05-26 03:50
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	2	$262	177	177	+0	Yes	+$92	06-19 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$260	161	161	+0	Up	+$60	05-28 18:45
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	2	$258	208	208	+0	Yes	+$158	06-15 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	3	$255	276	231	+45	Up	+$115	05-26 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	2	$230	135	135	+0	Down	+$30	05-28 03:36
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	2	$230	130	130	+0	Yes	+$30	06-18 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$224	126	126	+0	Down	+$24	05-23 03:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 02:16:04	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x822485…
06-20 01:57:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xbe5fe7…
06-20 01:41:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x07dd1d…
06-20 01:28:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 01:25 UTC	Up	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x2d6ce5…
06-20 01:26:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8741f2…
06-20 01:12:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x00b883…
06-20 00:46:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x377a98…
06-20 00:40:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x60b165…
06-20 00:40:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 00:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x1bcc12…
06-20 00:36:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x304245…
06-19 18:09:59	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xac9293…
06-19 17:45:40	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x97acca…
06-19 17:31:10	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x375c8e…
06-19 17:30:58	Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0x5d97c7…
06-19 15:55:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x282e3c…
06-19 15:54:17	Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	184	19¢	$35	0x41927b…
06-19 15:52:04	Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0xb5686d…
06-19 03:04:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-19 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x6982c6…
06-19 03:04:13	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	SELL	177	100¢	$177	0x6eb0b0…
06-19 01:28:02	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	177	48¢	$85	0x6468ec…
06-19 01:27:40	Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xec8fd3…
06-19 01:27:29	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x5ace81…
06-18 23:30:44	Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0xc9d9ca…
06-18 21:26:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2e8349…
06-18 21:20:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x76b52c…
06-18 21:18:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x15a86a…
06-18 21:17:28	Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x0714f0…
06-18 21:17:11	Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x494be1…
06-18 18:20:07	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x7f600f…
06-18 18:18:56	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0x28f248…
06-18 18:16:19	Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0xaf4cf3…
06-18 18:11:19	Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x3269e4…
06-18 16:23:16	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xe51159…
06-18 16:22:49	Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0xfdb579…
06-17 17:53:25	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 DR Congo?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xd9140c…
06-17 12:50:50	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x32091a…
06-17 12:50:28	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xfbf30c…
06-17 12:45:25	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	58	77¢	$45	0x3c57ff…
06-17 04:37:32	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	SELL	57	85¢	$49	0xb4bb49…
06-17 03:16:52	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x9f405d…
06-17 03:07:58	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0xaed791…
06-17 03:07:49	Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x621196…
06-17 00:23:44	Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	333	24¢	$80	0x8679a1…
06-17 00:23:11	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0xd5df24…
06-17 00:15:05	Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0xaaf1c4…
06-17 00:14:55	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0xf7036d…
06-16 22:47:35	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	121	54¢	$65	0x2b0b37…
06-16 22:44:56	Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 2 Norway?	Yes	SELL	250	13¢	$32	0x32a2cb…
06-16 22:44:08	Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway?	Yes	SELL	188	19¢	$36	0xbdbe49…
06-16 21:18:38	Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	77	80¢	$62	0x66d70a…
06-16 21:09:05	Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway?	Yes	BUY	188	8¢	$15	0xbf751b…
06-16 21:08:32	Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 2 Norway?	Yes	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0x1154c4…
06-16 21:08:08	Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 2 Norway?	Yes	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0xd17df5…
06-16 21:02:16	Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 3 Norway?	Yes	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0xf3d167…
06-16 20:58:52	Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	179	13¢	$23	0x2fa721…
06-16 20:56:16	Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	179	14¢	$25	0x090d13…
06-16 20:30:14	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x541176…
06-16 20:04:23	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0x5b15d9…
06-16 15:10:34	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x6e56c0…
06-16 15:05:49	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	577	13¢	$75	0xec2551…
06-16 15:05:16	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x6501ed…
06-16 03:08:54	Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	357	99¢	$354	0x4d0786…
06-16 00:19:22	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0xc4f691…
06-16 00:19:12	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xcf8f6d…
06-16 00:14:22	Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0x0d8919…
06-16 00:14:07	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0xb1c658…
06-16 00:09:39	Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	250	99¢	$248	0xbda913…
06-15 21:33:48	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0xefca35…
06-15 21:31:37	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xa52209…
06-15 21:31:25	Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0x7ae5d4…
06-15 21:30:34	Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0x0e3de7…
06-15 21:29:48	Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	208	100¢	$208	0x368e42…
06-15 18:11:43	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	34	64¢	$22	0xa2c89a…
06-15 18:10:27	Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0xd4cf2d…
06-15 18:09:39	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x582701…
06-11 00:01:28	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0x51f2c7…
06-10 23:20:24	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 7pm et	Up	SELL	70	58¢	$40	0x83817f…
06-10 23:08:36	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0xf8985c…
06-10 21:49:12	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 5pm et	Down	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0xcf948f…
06-10 21:36:10	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xc9b037…
06-10 20:37:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x8fdda7…
06-10 20:33:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	68	48¢	$32	0x22cd40…
06-10 20:32:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xd054fe…
06-10 20:26:12	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	55	46¢	$25	0x9ed173…
06-10 20:23:19	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 4pm et	Up	SELL	91	46¢	$42	0x426571…
06-10 20:13:31	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0x1a9dd9…
06-10 19:35:54	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xc7d590…
06-10 19:30:12	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 3pm et	Up	SELL	71	41¢	$29	0xe974e8…
06-10 19:29:42	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xb4faf3…
06-10 19:28:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 19:15 UTC	Up	SELL	14	69¢	$10	0xe84ab4…
06-10 19:26:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x0e9126…
06-10 19:26:06	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 3pm et	Up	SELL	79	38¢	$30	0x4fd060…
06-10 19:18:31	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	79	32¢	$25	0x1c7ecc…
06-10 19:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	77	72¢	$55	0xf9a0c1…
06-10 19:16:18	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 3pm et	Up	SELL	70	41¢	$29	0x454896…
06-10 19:15:09	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x80f9d2…
06-10 19:14:34	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	70	36¢	$25	0xf8fc67…
06-10 19:13:58	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	138	60¢	$83	0x74ceb6…
06-10 19:07:28	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	138	48¢	$66	0x38f511…
06-10 17:10:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x72be31…