Lumpy-Curse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

452

lifetime

Volume

$16.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-29 17:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

72% 0% $-8

Politics

21% 0% $-4

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	51	$1.8K	1,928	1,928	+0	open	—	04-23 23:23
will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	52	$1.0K	1,182	1,129	+53	open	—	06-23 16:25
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$1.0K	617	617	+0	open	—	04-07 10:22
will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	27	$731	707	707	+0	open	—	06-25 14:44
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	7	$492	700	700	+0	open	—	04-12 01:28
will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	15	$430	500	500	+0	open	—	04-12 23:44
will fidesz kdnp win 70 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	4	$416	600	600	+0	open	—	04-12 01:37
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	5	$407	475	475	+0	open	—	05-10 21:20
will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	17	$407	353	353	+0	open	—	06-29 00:44
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	9	$397	338	338	+0	open	—	05-23 15:44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$397	231	231	+0	open	—	04-08 10:03
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?	9	$397	378	378	+0	open	—	05-05 17:33
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	4	$395	396	396	+0	open	—	05-05 11:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$365	237	237	+0	open	—	04-09 11:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	2	$365	284	284	+0	open	—	04-09 11:22
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?	8	$360	334	334	+0	open	—	04-21 17:46
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	5	$341	909	909	+0	open	—	04-08 17:43
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$319	200	200	+0	open	—	04-11 23:55
will fideszkdnp finish with the second most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	10	$297	930	930	+0	open	—	04-12 11:53
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	5	$280	415	415	+0	Yes	$-5	04-12 20:53
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	8	$270	227	227	+0	open	—	05-21 20:30
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	8	$268	388	388	+0	open	—	04-23 23:16
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 in May?	6	$264	325	325	+0	open	—	05-18 11:23
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $78 in May?	6	$254	160	368	-208	open	—	05-12 18:12
will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	10	$237	500	500	+0	open	—	04-11 08:58
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	5	$228	244	244	+0	open	—	05-15 16:16
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	5	$219	300	300	+0	open	—	04-12 17:44
Eric Swalwell arrested by May 31?	6	$212	798	798	+0	open	—	04-15 22:38
will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	6	$204	226	213	+13	open	—	06-11 11:46
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	5	$201	208	208	+0	open	—	05-06 12:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 17:02:22	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x57317c…
06-29 13:58:01	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xceea94…
06-29 13:52:35	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	Yes	SELL	90	35¢	$31	0xe6e5ea…
06-29 12:59:10	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	SELL	39	66¢	$26	0xe9b328…
06-29 03:22:13	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	Yes	BUY	90	34¢	$31	0x2b573a…
06-29 03:05:11	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	BUY	49	65¢	$32	0x6ce946…
06-29 00:44:47	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x864361…
06-29 00:32:14	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xd4e441…
06-29 00:32:10	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	SELL	49	66¢	$32	0x57c90d…
06-28 23:55:41	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	BUY	44	69¢	$30	0x24b9ae…
06-28 23:30:34	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	BUY	45	69¢	$31	0x8bcbef…
06-28 22:56:10	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	SELL	45	69¢	$31	0xe7165c…
06-28 22:49:43	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	BUY	45	72¢	$32	0x5cd577…
06-28 22:23:14	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	SELL	49	62¢	$30	0x8136f5…
06-28 20:07:26	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	BUY	49	63¢	$31	0xb0b8d5…
06-28 16:53:32	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	SELL	62	51¢	$32	0x1068e4…
06-27 09:49:49	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	BUY	62	52¢	$32	0xf98d63…
06-26 21:14:20	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	SELL	70	37¢	$26	0x388162…
06-26 18:41:28	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	BUY	70	37¢	$26	0xac402f…
06-26 02:53:32	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	SELL	18	62¢	$11	0x98c109…
06-26 02:53:04	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xbb286a…
06-25 23:17:34	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x4a54f2…
06-25 23:16:31	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xda6325…
06-25 14:44:01	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	161	31¢	$50	0x9af6ab…
06-25 10:08:43	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	133	78¢	$104	0x93e93c…
06-25 04:31:43	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	115	40¢	$46	0xda794e…
06-25 03:50:13	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	28	39¢	$11	0xbf5270…
06-24 19:54:44	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	11	60¢	$6	0x0c9ef8…
06-24 19:40:16	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	115	39¢	$45	0xf8704a…
06-24 16:22:13	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	11	60¢	$6	0xed87ab…
06-24 15:48:52	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0xa164cc…
06-24 13:03:10	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	63	66¢	$42	0x7ea6c0…
06-24 12:37:43	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	18	35¢	$6	0x99f067…
06-24 12:05:52	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	46	35¢	$16	0xac0844…
06-23 23:22:59	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x04e7f7…
06-23 23:22:56	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	58	68¢	$39	0x987538…
06-23 20:27:22	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	59	31¢	$18	0x4a84e3…
06-23 19:09:26	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x4ee830…
06-23 16:25:07	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0xff4c23…
06-23 15:47:01	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	32	28¢	$9	0xbbaeb9…
06-23 15:44:53	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x3924e1…
06-23 15:44:19	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	SELL	33	74¢	$24	0x06a07b…
06-23 15:24:11	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	70	28¢	$20	0x2334c0…
06-23 14:04:40	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	SELL	30	74¢	$22	0x1d270a…
06-23 13:37:26	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0xb52666…
06-23 13:34:43	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	BUY	37	57¢	$21	0x3a2e00…
06-23 13:30:38	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x571fb3…
06-23 09:54:20	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	112	41¢	$46	0x1df5ab…
06-23 04:57:02	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	96	15¢	$14	0x6411f2…
06-23 03:49:29	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x0fab01…
06-23 02:01:05	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	60	15¢	$9	0xe526a4…
06-22 13:30:43	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	166	15¢	$25	0x4dea36…
06-21 17:01:22	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	89	36¢	$32	0x0e565d…
06-21 07:34:17	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	89	36¢	$32	0x702499…
06-20 12:17:23	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	66	66¢	$44	0x755c55…
06-20 03:15:26	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	66	66¢	$44	0x785f84…
06-19 13:19:13	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	106	66¢	$70	0xfaaf00…
06-19 12:57:29	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	56	67¢	$38	0x7b7757…
06-19 09:38:01	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x7980ce…
06-17 22:06:13	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	14	55¢	$8	0x13abcd…
06-17 22:06:04	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	32	43¢	$14	0x2a24c8…
06-17 21:46:16	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	32	43¢	$14	0xc67666…
06-17 19:34:43	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0xa9a88f…
06-17 17:06:02	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x3ba252…
06-17 11:19:16	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x0be2d0…
06-17 04:14:11	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	SELL	52	86¢	$45	0x895e1e…
06-17 03:09:37	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	BUY	52	86¢	$45	0x4258ac…
06-16 23:34:37	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	SELL	51	86¢	$44	0x9a5808…
06-16 19:14:02	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	BUY	51	87¢	$44	0x42e303…
06-16 18:57:23	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	SELL	52	88¢	$46	0x752542…
06-16 15:49:14	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0x6f2b07…
06-16 14:33:58	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	107	11¢	$12	0x39b293…
06-16 10:33:45	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	125	12¢	$15	0xf5b6d5…
06-16 04:59:54	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	BUY	52	87¢	$45	0xdb3245…
06-15 14:08:58	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x9eb2ac…
06-15 04:31:12	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	107	26¢	$28	0xf69d29…
06-13 15:23:19	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0xf980d0…
06-13 14:56:19	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	SELL	54	59¢	$32	0x170bc0…
06-12 19:59:00	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	77	43¢	$33	0xaf98f0…
06-12 16:27:18	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	27	46¢	$12	0x9d3f6f…
06-12 15:48:31	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x74f9c7…
06-12 15:48:30	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x358a1b…
06-12 15:48:28	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	36	48¢	$18	0xd96820…
06-12 15:40:57	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x8b14a3…
06-12 15:38:45	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x5d67b9…
06-12 15:38:43	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xa5913a…
06-12 15:24:43	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	65	47¢	$31	0x1b448c…
06-12 15:04:09	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	83	48¢	$40	0x5dab15…
06-12 13:42:30	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	75	49¢	$37	0xb68367…
06-12 07:49:42	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	75	48¢	$36	0xfdb395…
06-11 21:15:27	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	31	42¢	$13	0x6ed9c9…
06-11 20:44:07	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	45	44¢	$20	0xee9ae0…
06-11 19:50:34	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	76	42¢	$32	0x4f9783…
06-11 17:29:03	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	64	48¢	$31	0x6ea972…
06-11 14:14:15	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	64	50¢	$32	0x7359c1…
06-11 13:54:16	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	52	50¢	$26	0x5bee4b…
06-11 13:52:12	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x8381fe…
06-11 13:31:43	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	BUY	64	48¢	$31	0xd55927…
06-11 11:46:34	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	SELL	60	40¢	$24	0xba9b23…
06-11 05:27:12	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	BUY	60	66¢	$40	0x5c576f…