Lumpy-Curse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

363

lifetime

Volume

$14.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-12 07:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

71% 0% $-8

Politics

21% 0% $-4

Crypto

6% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	51	$1.8K	1,928	1,928	+0	open	—	04-23 23:23
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$1.0K	617	617	+0	open	—	04-07 10:22
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	7	$492	700	700	+0	open	—	04-12 01:28
will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	15	$430	500	500	+0	open	—	04-12 23:44
will fidesz kdnp win 70 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	4	$416	600	600	+0	open	—	04-12 01:37
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	5	$407	475	475	+0	open	—	05-10 21:20
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	9	$397	338	338	+0	open	—	05-23 15:44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$397	231	231	+0	open	—	04-08 10:03
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?	9	$397	378	378	+0	open	—	05-05 17:33
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	4	$395	396	396	+0	open	—	05-05 11:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$365	237	237	+0	open	—	04-09 11:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	2	$365	284	284	+0	open	—	04-09 11:22
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?	8	$360	334	334	+0	open	—	04-21 17:46
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	5	$341	909	909	+0	open	—	04-08 17:43
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$319	200	200	+0	open	—	04-11 23:55
will fideszkdnp finish with the second most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	10	$297	930	930	+0	open	—	04-12 11:53
will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	13	$281	284	284	+0	open	—	06-12 13:42
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	5	$280	415	415	+0	Yes	$-5	04-12 20:53
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	8	$270	227	227	+0	open	—	05-21 20:30
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	8	$268	388	388	+0	open	—	04-23 23:16
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 in May?	6	$264	325	325	+0	open	—	05-18 11:23
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $78 in May?	6	$254	160	368	-208	open	—	05-12 18:12
will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	10	$237	500	500	+0	open	—	04-11 08:58
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	5	$228	244	244	+0	open	—	05-15 16:16
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	5	$219	300	300	+0	open	—	04-12 17:44
Eric Swalwell arrested by May 31?	6	$212	798	798	+0	open	—	04-15 22:38
will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	6	$204	226	213	+13	open	—	06-11 11:46
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	5	$201	208	208	+0	open	—	05-06 12:26
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	10	$189	100	100	+0	open	—	04-13 02:42
will tisza win at least 120 seats	2	$185	225	225	+0	open	—	04-12 11:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 13:42:30	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	75	49¢	$37	0xb68367…
06-12 07:49:42	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	75	48¢	$36	0xfdb395…
06-11 21:15:27	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	31	42¢	$13	0x6ed9c9…
06-11 20:44:07	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	45	44¢	$20	0xee9ae0…
06-11 19:50:34	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	76	42¢	$32	0x4f9783…
06-11 17:29:03	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	SELL	64	48¢	$31	0x6ea972…
06-11 14:14:15	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	64	50¢	$32	0x7359c1…
06-11 13:54:16	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	52	50¢	$26	0x5bee4b…
06-11 13:52:12	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x8381fe…
06-11 13:31:43	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	No	BUY	64	48¢	$31	0xd55927…
06-11 11:46:34	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	SELL	60	40¢	$24	0xba9b23…
06-11 05:27:12	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	BUY	60	66¢	$40	0x5c576f…
06-11 00:41:27	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	SELL	58	58¢	$34	0xe4ab69…
06-10 13:27:21	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	95	36¢	$34	0xbff3e8…
06-10 12:18:15	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	95	40¢	$38	0x0776e6…
06-10 05:52:27	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	BUY	71	49¢	$35	0x3413b2…
06-09 18:38:06	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	59	58¢	$34	0xc42679…
06-09 14:17:12	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	63	49¢	$31	0x36fd3d…
06-09 13:37:40	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	49	48¢	$24	0x748d7b…
06-09 13:33:18	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xccbd38…
06-09 09:31:10	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	63	48¢	$30	0x56d1e7…
06-08 11:39:51	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x5fc1da…
06-08 11:39:39	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	49¢	$25	0xf28622…
06-08 11:32:42	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	SELL	36	41¢	$15	0x3f6a08…
06-08 10:59:52	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x401411…
06-08 08:06:07	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x8a7604…
06-08 06:03:34	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	BUY	27	39¢	$11	0xb3f7f7…
06-06 14:59:55	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500	No	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x4932ef…
06-05 21:12:03	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500	No	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x0007f9…
06-03 13:45:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	SELL	134	31¢	$41	0x961471…
06-03 12:59:17	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	44¢	$30	0x2ea8b4…
06-03 06:44:35	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x9a0804…
06-03 05:47:11	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xec804a…
06-03 05:47:09	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0x7bf05c…
06-03 04:10:21	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x2949c3…
06-01 23:23:08	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	48	61¢	$29	0x4f40af…
06-01 23:15:52	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	SELL	87	35¢	$30	0x8ee9f3…
06-01 23:15:52	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x8ee9f3…
06-01 23:07:25	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	BUY	87	35¢	$30	0x1b8bd8…
05-28 21:43:22	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	42	70¢	$29	0xad847d…
05-28 20:09:33	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xe1c83f…
05-28 02:42:33	Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?	No	SELL	39	88¢	$34	0x48649f…
05-28 00:05:20	Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?	No	BUY	39	89¢	$34	0x11d39f…
05-27 15:05:23	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	SELL	51	71¢	$36	0x33ce0e…
05-27 11:59:35	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	BUY	51	81¢	$41	0x4b64c7…
05-27 01:49:50	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	35¢	$17	0x4b1cae…
05-27 01:06:36	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$17	0x82f42c…
05-26 00:26:11	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	No	SELL	51	48¢	$24	0xbaa102…
05-26 00:26:00	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	Yes	SELL	61	46¢	$28	0x727f34…
05-25 23:21:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3a3f51…
05-25 22:21:26	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	No	BUY	17	49¢	$9	0xc09427…
05-25 22:21:21	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	No	BUY	23	49¢	$11	0x6a253f…
05-25 21:57:41	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	Yes	BUY	47	49¢	$23	0x239800…
05-25 21:14:58	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x31cb6e…
05-25 16:02:14	Will AutoZone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	72	50¢	$36	0x0edd9c…
05-25 15:35:31	Will AutoZone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd4abb2…
05-25 14:50:52	Will AutoZone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xa601f5…
05-25 13:45:21	Will AutoZone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xe5d955…
05-25 13:43:47	Will AutoZone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$3	0x6bfa93…
05-25 13:13:09	Will AutoZone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	63	64¢	$40	0xc0837e…
05-25 12:04:23	Will AutoZone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xdf84e0…
05-25 11:49:50	Will AutoZone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	25	35¢	$9	0x2fb1df…
05-25 09:25:22	Will AutoZone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xd27b44…
05-25 08:56:03	Will AutoZone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb8ef91…
05-25 04:54:17	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	181	9¢	$16	0xa24617…
05-25 04:36:51	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	181	11¢	$20	0xdd0135…
05-24 21:17:48	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	98	37¢	$36	0x61b926…
05-24 21:08:30	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	63	37¢	$23	0x263ab5…
05-24 20:51:09	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	35	37¢	$13	0xbb09bd…
05-24 19:04:38	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	40	38¢	$15	0x7ff644…
05-24 14:46:44	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0xebaab8…
05-24 14:45:52	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0xf45d92…
05-24 14:44:33	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xfd2751…
05-24 14:41:41	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	78	37¢	$29	0x03e370…
05-24 14:39:13	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xcb3a39…
05-24 14:37:33	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2fa14b…
05-24 13:38:43	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	19	38¢	$7	0x0dab7d…
05-24 13:37:07	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0xf14c20…
05-24 13:28:08	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0x738da8…
05-24 13:13:12	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x339aa9…
05-24 12:19:25	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	86	20¢	$17	0xadd318…
05-24 12:16:19	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	51	20¢	$10	0x4c5f59…
05-24 02:35:53	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	137	24¢	$33	0xf17a06…
05-23 19:11:49	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	128	23¢	$29	0xcee9a4…
05-23 17:55:33	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	128	25¢	$32	0x47d187…
05-23 15:44:51	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	No	SELL	51	83¢	$42	0x381ec4…
05-23 14:55:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	No	BUY	51	84¢	$43	0x9b53e6…
05-23 14:49:26	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	No	SELL	65	84¢	$55	0xb262fa…
05-23 14:49:14	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	108	14¢	$15	0x994816…
05-23 06:22:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	108	23¢	$25	0xcb5204…
05-23 04:23:59	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x360a05…
05-23 00:10:02	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	SELL	150	18¢	$27	0xdcf5fe…
05-22 19:59:47	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0xd473c4…
05-22 19:51:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	SELL	108	70¢	$75	0xdb23e2…
05-22 19:43:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	55	71¢	$39	0x9db653…
05-22 19:02:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0x8ea3d7…
05-22 14:04:35	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	No	SELL	114	69¢	$78	0xa9dc39…
05-22 13:24:38	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	No	BUY	58	78¢	$45	0x251ff7…
05-22 13:11:09	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	No	BUY	56	78¢	$44	0x019a3c…
05-22 12:28:29	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	No	SELL	62	72¢	$45	0xca7e5a…