Joyous-Calcification — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.01K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.3%

Resolved

395

Trades

826

lifetime

Volume

$38.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 10-16 18:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% -$4,009

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 16:00 UTC	2	$2.5K	2,479	2,445	+34	Up	+$662	03-25 16:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 11:30 UTC	5	$2.5K	3,217	2,230	+986	Down	+$441	03-25 11:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 11:00 UTC	5	$2.3K	2,340	2,157	+183	Up	+$352	03-25 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	7	$1.4K	2,612	1,700	+912	Down	+$383	05-25 16:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 19:30 UTC	9	$1.1K	1,039	1,024	+15	Up	+$162	02-17 19:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 08:30 UTC	3	$919	1,526	1,431	+95	Up	+$602	04-21 08:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 17:45 UTC	1	$900	3,068	0	+3,068	Down	-$900	03-25 17:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 17:30 UTC	7	$889	723	703	+20	Up	+$309	02-06 17:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 11:15 UTC	5	$687	3,941	0	+3,941	Up	-$687	04-21 11:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 10:15 UTC	3	$673	3,707	707	+3,000	Down	+$268	09-27 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	7	$638	1,245	1,245	+0	Down	+$240	05-25 20:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 18:00 UTC	10	$593	1,059	1,051	+8	Down	+$97	02-09 18:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 16:30 UTC	9	$579	938	735	+203	Down	+$43	03-25 16:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 08:00 UTC	1	$501	1,567	0	+1,567	Up	-$501	02-26 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$457	3,104	0	+3,104	Down	-$457	05-30 18:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 17:45 UTC	12	$457	775	651	+124	Down	+$15	02-09 17:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 15:00 UTC	7	$449	529	216	+313	Down	-$53	02-25 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 15:15 UTC	7	$446	458	452	+6	Up	+$31	02-25 15:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 17:45 UTC	7	$436	3,453	0	+3,453	Down	-$436	02-06 17:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 17:30 UTC	5	$408	422	417	+5	Up	+$158	02-25 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	3	$405	1,164	867	+297	Up	+$102	05-26 20:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 17:00 UTC	4	$400	1,411	0	+1,411	Down	-$400	03-25 17:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 18:30 UTC	4	$388	372	282	+90	Up	+$29	02-09 18:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 21:15 UTC	4	$379	413	408	+5	Down	+$51	02-25 21:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 17:15 UTC	7	$366	295	291	+4	Up	+$78	02-25 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	5	$365	839	839	+0	Up	+$127	05-26 16:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 07:45 UTC	3	$360	984	0	+984	Down	-$360	02-26 07:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 18:15 UTC	8	$360	828	88	+741	Up	-$275	02-25 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$351	324	324	+0	Up	+$291	05-25 20:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 10:30 UTC	2	$300	1,827	0	+1,827	Down	-$300	09-27 10:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 18:48:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	90	3¢	$3	0xa827e7…
10-16 18:43:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8,962	1¢	$92	0x184eaf…
10-16 18:43:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2,243	3¢	$60	0x0d69f4…
10-16 18:39:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0xfd2cdc…
10-16 18:38:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:35 UTC	Up	SELL	84	61¢	$51	0xe62218…
10-16 18:36:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	84	39¢	$33	0xd3cf6f…
09-27 10:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1,075	9¢	$100	0x8a8002…
09-27 10:31:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	752	27¢	$200	0xa1be53…
09-27 10:26:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0xdc38a8…
09-27 10:24:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	432	7¢	$30	0xd644dc…
09-27 10:23:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 10:20 UTC	Up	SELL	169	59¢	$100	0xd1c0a6…
09-27 10:22:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	169	26¢	$44	0x285009…
09-27 10:19:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3,000	1¢	$30	0x7e81c9…
09-27 10:17:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 10:15 UTC	Down	SELL	707	67¢	$470	0xa0eb07…
09-27 10:16:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	707	24¢	$172	0xaf7f28…
09-27 10:08:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	232	22¢	$50	0x1f2744…
09-27 10:02:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	279	36¢	$100	0xb5817d…
09-27 10:00:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25,000	0¢	$25	0x76b7df…
06-22 19:33:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	311	21¢	$66	0xef5b3c…
06-22 19:26:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	329	3¢	$10	0xd1f509…
06-22 19:25:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x40611b…
06-22 19:25:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x164201…
05-30 18:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3,104	15¢	$457	0xad72c9…
05-30 18:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	122	24¢	$29	0x6e1bd0…
05-30 18:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	796	21¢	$165	0x4f7e74…
05-30 18:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1,718	5¢	$93	0x1d080d…
05-30 18:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1,188	8¢	$98	0x6e3568…
05-30 18:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	336	11¢	$36	0xcd58d9…
05-29 21:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x145fb4…
05-29 21:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1,613	5¢	$84	0xdb4d4f…
05-29 21:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	547	8¢	$46	0xbfcdb7…
05-29 20:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0x32945d…
05-29 20:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	150	6¢	$9	0xb85017…
05-29 20:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	173	11¢	$19	0x5d47a0…
05-29 20:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	192	12¢	$23	0x9a438c…
05-29 20:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	287	45¢	$129	0xd8fadb…
05-29 20:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	92	20¢	$18	0x2ba6cb…
05-29 20:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	195	20¢	$39	0x70caef…
05-29 20:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	41	34¢	$14	0x65301e…
05-29 20:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	110	23¢	$26	0x8c2bd3…
05-29 20:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	110	10¢	$11	0xf11bd5…
05-29 20:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	366	40¢	$147	0x9a8d46…
05-29 20:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	366	13¢	$46	0xf8eaa8…
05-29 20:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	107	18¢	$19	0x52259f…
05-29 20:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x521a54…
05-29 20:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x11c0f6…
05-29 20:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0x722ec2…
05-29 20:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0x3a76b8…
05-29 20:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x62caab…
05-29 20:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xc29a28…
05-29 20:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x77664c…
05-29 20:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd9961c…
05-26 20:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x94989c…
05-26 20:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1,555	12¢	$184	0x52869d…
05-26 20:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	297	14¢	$42	0x180091…
05-26 20:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	867	29¢	$253	0xe3f866…
05-26 20:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	867	13¢	$110	0xf1f057…
05-26 20:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x86433b…
05-26 19:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	414	12¢	$50	0xa4d326…
05-26 19:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	927	12¢	$109	0x1e0122…
05-26 19:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	235	7¢	$17	0xee3d13…
05-26 19:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	421	11¢	$47	0xf127d4…
05-26 19:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	271	21¢	$57	0xb59a0c…
05-26 19:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	290	9¢	$26	0x3f0812…
05-26 19:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	167	20¢	$34	0x145748…
05-26 19:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	975	16¢	$154	0xa69cd0…
05-26 19:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1,129	6¢	$73	0x8f5b12…
05-26 19:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	484	8¢	$39	0x00f4da…
05-26 18:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x3a3892…
05-26 18:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	65	52¢	$34	0xee956f…
05-26 18:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x0d5fb9…
05-26 18:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	128	39¢	$50	0x901d9c…
05-26 18:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	128	24¢	$30	0x3f7912…
05-26 17:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	380	15¢	$57	0x853491…
05-26 17:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xa03b9b…
05-26 17:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0x093f23…
05-26 16:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	839	29¢	$246	0xa284e9…
05-26 16:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0xe4f7cc…
05-26 16:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	104	26¢	$27	0x46e70b…
05-26 16:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x4bad4d…
05-26 16:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x7f8b55…
05-26 16:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	401	42¢	$168	0x517071…
05-26 16:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x8771ca…
05-26 16:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x4dfa06…
05-26 16:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	204	10¢	$20	0xfec5ba…
05-26 11:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	129	1¢	$1	0x5b6a54…
05-26 11:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1,717	5¢	$83	0x0eb2ba…
05-26 11:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	150	6¢	$9	0x8ef36c…
05-26 11:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	110	15¢	$17	0x7a6dec…
05-26 11:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	350	11¢	$39	0x96fff9…
05-26 10:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	756	22¢	$168	0x549883…
05-26 10:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	544	10¢	$55	0x776257…
05-26 10:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	212	16¢	$34	0x18e9c1…
05-26 10:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	67	11¢	$7	0x9d92c8…
05-26 10:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	167	24¢	$40	0xf19b9f…
05-26 10:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	431	35¢	$151	0x2c648f…
05-26 10:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	431	18¢	$78	0xbe7d8b…
05-26 10:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	667	3¢	$20	0xed524e…
05-26 10:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	888	12¢	$105	0x5e6262…
05-26 10:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	429	7¢	$30	0x79ba93…