Scholarly-Conflict — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$76

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.0%

Resolved

263

Trades

659

lifetime

Volume

$1.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-08 09:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 63% +$74

Other

15% 48% +$15

Sports

1% 67% -$10

Politics

1% 0% -$3

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-08).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	6	$180	111	111	+0	Yes	+$23	04-12 22:06
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	5	$45	75	75	+0	No	$0	04-12 22:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 17:45 UTC	8	$38	33	33	+0	Up	+$2	01-20 17:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 15:00 UTC	10	$33	30	30	+0	Up	+$1	01-15 15:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 22:45 UTC	3	$31	55	50	+5	Down	+$24	01-03 22:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 21:30 UTC	10	$24	25	25	+0	Down	+$2	01-04 21:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 09:30 UTC	6	$23	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	01-14 09:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 22:30 UTC	8	$21	23	23	+0	Down	+$1	01-09 22:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 23:00 UTC	6	$20	17	16	+0	Up	+$2	01-09 23:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 18:00 UTC	4	$19	17	16	+0	Down	+$1	01-15 18:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 21:15 UTC	8	$19	17	17	+0	Down	$0	01-11 21:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 17:15 UTC	4	$18	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	01-20 17:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 15:15 UTC	8	$18	19	18	+0	Down	-$3	01-15 15:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 22:45 UTC	4	$18	13	12	+0	Up	+$2	01-09 22:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 07:35 UTC	2	$18	13	13	+0	Down	+$8	03-06 07:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 17:00 UTC	8	$17	23	23	+0	Down	+$3	01-04 17:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 22:15 UTC	8	$17	14	13	+0	Up	-$1	01-10 22:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 18:00 UTC	6	$16	16	16	+0	Up	+$0	01-20 18:11
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 2pm et	4	$16	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	03-15 19:02
bitcoin up or down march 11 5am et	2	$16	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	03-11 11:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 10:15 UTC	2	$16	12	12	+0	Up	+$0	01-13 10:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 22:15 UTC	4	$16	15	15	+0	Up	$0	01-11 22:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 20:00 UTC	5	$15	15	10	+5	Up	$0	01-04 20:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 14:30 UTC	6	$15	15	15	+0	Up	+$1	01-21 14:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 20:45 UTC	6	$15	17	17	+0	Up	+$3	01-04 20:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 20:45 UTC	6	$15	12	11	+0	Up	+$1	03-25 20:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 00:00 UTC	6	$15	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	01-11 00:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 10:00 UTC	2	$15	23	23	+0	Down	+$2	01-13 10:12
bitcoin up or down march 11 7am et	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	03-11 12:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 19:15 UTC	4	$14	17	17	+0	Down	+$2	01-15 19:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 09:23:00	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	68	16¢	$11	0x7cf469…
06-02 11:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x2e646b…
06-02 08:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x526431…
06-02 08:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0xb0f28f…
06-02 08:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xbe18f1…
06-02 08:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x4f3341…
06-02 08:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x777d4e…
04-26 18:43:54	Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x04c142…
04-25 21:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x0ca093…
04-24 21:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x87a0d6…
04-24 21:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x54430a…
04-24 18:15:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x2e43c6…
04-24 16:28:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 16:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x0ce029…
04-24 16:16:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xaa31bb…
04-13 08:37:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xa6e71a…
04-12 22:06:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xee4d67…
04-12 22:06:23	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	81	99¢	$80	0xe97365…
04-11 18:41:03	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	29	71¢	$21	0xf3d3b3…
04-11 18:40:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	74	28¢	$21	0x7a3de9…
04-11 13:57:49	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	38	29¢	$11	0x6e32d4…
04-11 13:57:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	15	71¢	$11	0xbc40d0…
04-11 13:24:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	36	29¢	$10	0x8706f0…
04-11 13:24:41	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	15	71¢	$10	0x3d64d2…
04-11 09:49:33	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	80	71¢	$57	0x7757f7…
04-10 16:30:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9843e0…
04-08 17:05:39	bitcoin up or down april 8 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x801b73…
04-08 16:42:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 16:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0xb76b1e…
04-08 16:31:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xfaa622…
04-07 23:15:25	bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 7pm et	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x3cf404…
04-07 23:15:07	bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xad4268…
04-07 23:14:59	bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8d99a5…
04-07 22:20:33	bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 6pm et	Down	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x0ca6ae…
04-07 22:19:19	bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x92815d…
04-07 22:18:49	bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 5pm et	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x745a14…
04-07 21:00:21	bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x32304c…
04-07 21:00:13	bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6f84f3…
04-07 20:38:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xaec3ba…
04-07 20:38:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xa6fbf8…
04-07 20:38:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x167c8b…
04-07 16:43:27	bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0fd937…
04-07 15:04:01	bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9ea812…
04-07 12:17:09	bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x30fc08…
04-06 21:35:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x83298c…
04-05 23:18:51	bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf64b1e…
04-04 22:49:31	bitcoin up or down april 4 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb25d03…
04-04 22:31:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x42b0e4…
04-04 11:00:51	bitcoin up or down april 4 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x2c9456…
04-02 23:03:39	bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x536467…
04-02 21:15:33	bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 5pm et	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0x9f8006…
04-02 21:11:25	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x06b78d…
04-02 21:09:45	bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8199ab…
03-30 08:41:18	bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0xab5e8f…
03-30 07:25:12	bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x96c1b9…
03-30 06:36:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x4d943f…
03-29 22:17:40	bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 5pm et	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7e3780…
03-29 21:01:32	bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x612400…
03-29 14:16:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x00b61a…
03-29 14:09:32	bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	9	62¢	$6	0xfedfa8…
03-29 14:03:02	bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5a489d…
03-29 12:05:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0x42f02e…
03-29 12:00:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xf81e72…
03-29 12:00:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc69ffb…
03-29 11:45:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x9090cf…
03-28 18:49:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x43d358…
03-28 13:01:59	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x5ec600…
03-28 12:50:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xada37c…
03-28 12:50:33	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xa17fef…
03-26 11:34:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x38177a…
03-26 09:05:15	bitcoin up or down march 26 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xdf8b77…
03-26 07:30:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x8bf098…
03-25 21:01:37	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x69e050…
03-25 20:52:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 20:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x6cd5a6…
03-25 20:49:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9cfb26…
03-25 20:49:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 20:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x3210a5…
03-25 20:48:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6f28a9…
03-25 20:48:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0x85019b…
03-25 20:47:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x20a2b8…
03-25 20:41:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 20:40 UTC	Up	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x8be1f8…
03-25 20:40:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x46713a…
03-25 20:31:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x31a5c8…
03-25 20:30:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf476b9…
03-25 20:27:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 20:25 UTC	Down	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0xddecc1…
03-25 20:26:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x8739b9…
03-25 09:33:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1c648f…
03-25 09:19:13	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xf5aa33…
03-24 21:28:41	bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 5pm et	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x58c224…
03-24 21:27:53	bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xcbff49…
03-24 09:46:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x375cfc…
03-24 09:44:57	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe97850…
03-24 09:41:13	bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x3f5ae3…
03-24 09:02:47	bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2c7314…
03-23 20:47:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x3bf3d9…
03-23 17:01:57	bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x87fc08…
03-23 09:25:23	bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x9ab768…
03-23 09:01:09	bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xfc186f…
03-23 09:00:47	bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x682310…
03-23 07:13:03	bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xad1cb6…
03-21 20:55:17	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 4pm et	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x1d7941…
03-21 20:53:19	ufc mov ler 2026 03 21	Movsar Evloev	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x79c0e5…
03-21 20:22:59	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x852477…