Stimulating-Pastoralist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

371

Trades

787

lifetime

Volume

$9.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-20 12:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Other

71% 77% +$1

Crypto

20% 83% +$0

Politics

6% 79% +$0

Sports

4% 35% $0

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No		+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	10-20 12:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 24?	9	$83	42	42	+0	No	+$0	08-24 10:06
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on August 8?	8	$83	42	42	+0	No	+$0	08-07 22:43
Will DeVante Hill be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?	3	$83	41	41	+0	No	+$0	08-06 09:45
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 11?	5	$60	30	30	-0	No	+$0	08-11 13:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 21?	4	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-20 08:31
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-28 22:59
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C or below on July 29?	4	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-28 12:18
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-28 16:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 24?	2	$55	28	28	+0	Yes	$0	08-24 03:49
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 22?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-21 18:52
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C or below on July 25?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-24 22:21
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on July 30?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-29 08:38
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C or below on July 18?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-17 18:38
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	2	$53	26	26	+0	Yes	+$0	07-27 09:57
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	3	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	09-01 05:20
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on August 10?	3	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	08-10 20:04
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 9?	5	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	08-09 15:12
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 21?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-21 11:53
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 9?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	$0	08-09 09:21
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or higher on August 25?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:10
xrp above 1pt3 on july 25 2026	5	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-25 13:54
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 98m?	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-26 13:51
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 99°F or below on July 21?	4	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	07-21 13:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	08-29 22:24
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 29?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	07-29 19:54
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 21?	4	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	07-21 14:07
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 8?	7	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	08-08 08:31
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 1?	3	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	09-01 13:44
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than -0.5%?	2	$47	26	22	+4	No	$0	07-28 22:37
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 100°F or higher on July 18?	3	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	07-17 21:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 12:18:56	Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x446eeb…
09-23 04:45:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd328fc…
09-22 20:17:16	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54b47a…
09-22 18:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4f8045…
09-22 16:21:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x49316b…
09-22 09:11:51	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on September 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe5abc7…
09-22 05:07:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on September 22?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x140e0a…
09-22 04:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on September 22?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0xb2a2cd…
09-22 01:23:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x052640…
09-21 09:38:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1cbb95…
09-21 07:53:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6bbb0…
09-21 04:06:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9f3a1f…
09-20 19:44:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9d5188…
09-20 17:13:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x84905d…
09-20 08:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on September 20?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x48b9ce…
09-20 07:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd13109…
09-19 14:24:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 19?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0a4020…
09-18 06:05:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 18?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4af2f6…
09-17 20:56:13	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x140d66…
09-17 12:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or higher on September 18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x88df3e…
09-17 09:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6fd2ec…
09-17 06:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 17?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x83e5ac…
09-16 19:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on September 17?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x650f1b…
09-14 18:39:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbf6d27…
09-14 12:42:19	Will "Beef" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3280d8…
09-14 11:47:46	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x0633d5…
09-13 20:30:01	Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Detroit Lions in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x369c2f…
09-13 14:02:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 13?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x399d0f…
09-13 05:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 13?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xdfa9c8…
09-12 04:50:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or higher on September 12?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4dcbf3…
09-07 12:58:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 7?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xf0e4aa…
09-07 05:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 7?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2746fe…
09-07 05:36:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 7?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x60da69…
09-07 05:35:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 7?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc92e0d…
09-07 05:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 7?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf64bde…
09-07 02:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 7?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x971364…
09-07 02:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on September 7?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xbdc9b0…
09-06 22:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 7?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcc998f…
09-06 20:53:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on September 7?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0902e3…
09-06 12:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x645c4e…
09-05 22:50:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 5?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9027b1…
09-05 07:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on September 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0a4d59…
09-05 06:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x91227a…
09-05 02:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x19cf57…
09-05 02:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 85°F or below on September 5?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$19	0xd44be6…
09-04 22:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd19c12…
09-04 20:52:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 85°F or below on September 5?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x792d53…
09-04 02:51:04	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd25832…
09-03 10:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 3?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2626ef…
09-02 15:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 2?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc5b832…
09-02 07:46:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53d91e…
09-01 22:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 2?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2ece8e…
09-01 13:44:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 1?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x879745…
09-01 13:23:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 1?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x4f38a6…
09-01 08:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 1?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xdd04d9…
09-01 06:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 1?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe8991a…
09-01 05:20:42	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x167779…
09-01 04:49:16	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x96007e…
09-01 04:24:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa60a51…
09-01 03:36:51	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xbccafb…
09-01 01:10:34	Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfce41a…
08-31 21:45:03	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc8aa09…
08-31 05:20:45	Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdee497…
08-31 04:19:10	Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x60612d…
08-31 01:35:34	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x907f55…
08-31 00:24:04	Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb8d2fb…
08-30 23:49:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on August 31?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x198574…
08-30 22:10:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa3031d…
08-30 16:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on August 31?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xed6b23…
08-30 12:58:54	ethereum above 2600 on august 30 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6071a…
08-29 22:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xf1c879…
08-29 22:29:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on August 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb92e18…
08-29 22:27:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 30?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0fb100…
08-29 22:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x499424…
08-29 22:14:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5a0261…
08-29 20:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe821e6…
08-29 17:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on August 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0736dd…
08-29 08:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa64d6e…
08-28 22:59:43	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x1d20da…
08-28 14:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 29?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xca85ac…
08-28 14:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 29?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe5ec3a…
08-28 13:46:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x80e5c5…
08-28 13:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 29?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x96a6ac…
08-28 13:32:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 29?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x37f7ae…
08-28 13:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or higher on August 28?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x56644f…
08-28 12:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 29?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xec8bc2…
08-28 00:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or higher on August 28?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x842eab…
08-27 11:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 27?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x5dcb6b…
08-27 05:44:10	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C or below on August 27?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x6a02d0…
08-27 02:25:31	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x481bd1…
08-26 22:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1d55ef…
08-26 20:56:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x8290e0…
08-26 16:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7d64ed…
08-26 10:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 26?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x374106…
08-25 15:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or higher on August 25?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xf9cf02…
08-25 10:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7ee03d…
08-25 08:43:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 25?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x910463…
08-25 07:30:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 25?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x3a10d7…
08-25 06:14:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 25?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe289be…
08-25 04:52:28	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x04b963…