Wary-Tracking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved

104

Trades

292

lifetime

Volume

$1.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-14 21:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 55% +$15

Other

9% 29% $-31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 120 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$50	26	26	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 17:33
BNB Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	5	$49	65	65	+0	Up	$-19	05-10 15:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10AM ET	3	$39	30	30	+0	Up	+$11	05-10 14:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	6	$35	28	28	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 15:22
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	6	$35	33	33	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 15:05
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	3	$31	23	23	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 15:25
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	6	$27	25	17	+7	Up	$-0	05-10 15:06
BNB Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	5	$24	25	25	+0	Up	$-5	05-10 15:23
BNB Up or Down - May 10, 10AM ET	5	$24	29	29	+0	Up	$-5	05-10 14:55
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	4	$23	25	25	+0	Up	$-1	05-10 15:24
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$23	14	14	+0	Down	+$3	05-10 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$22	8	23	-15	Down	$-3	05-10 15:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$21	19	19	+0	Up	+$16	05-10 14:24
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	05-10 16:39
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10AM ET	2	$20	11	11	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$19	13	13	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 14:26
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10AM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	Up	+$5	05-10 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10AM ET	3	$16	13	13	+0	Up	$-4	05-10 14:53
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	7	$15	25	0	+25	Up	$-15	05-10 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$15	20	20	+0	Up	+$9	05-10 14:24
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	3	$14	14	14	+0	Down	$-0	05-10 15:24
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	3	$13	38	38	+0	Up	$-11	05-10 15:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 01:43
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-14 13:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$12	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 14:26
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	3	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-14 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-13 18:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-14 13:57
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	3	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-14 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$0	05-14 01:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 21:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0x4b840a…
05-14 21:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x092597…
05-14 21:24:01	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x07a4f1…
05-14 21:22:25	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0xdf5ccc…
05-14 21:21:29	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xf7d898…
05-14 21:15:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xfd9c1d…
05-14 21:13:05	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xc652c0…
05-14 21:08:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xd0e654…
05-14 21:06:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x01609d…
05-14 21:03:01	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x43c43c…
05-14 21:02:25	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0f8468…
05-14 17:10:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0xab8deb…
05-14 17:07:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0xf66ea0…
05-14 17:06:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x2f8379…
05-14 17:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x31d2f3…
05-14 17:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xde4b3b…
05-14 17:04:16	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x8afa08…
05-14 17:03:46	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x784b8e…
05-14 16:53:27	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x776857…
05-14 16:53:21	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0dd0a2…
05-14 16:51:42	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xc166e5…
05-14 16:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0xbea0c4…
05-14 16:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0xfe56f1…
05-14 16:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x77abb5…
05-14 14:06:58	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0xfd10d4…
05-14 14:05:16	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x567bca…
05-14 14:05:14	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x41ddce…
05-14 14:04:41	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xed78ef…
05-14 14:04:32	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xfa8ff5…
05-14 14:03:14	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x094751…
05-14 13:57:32	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x904a40…
05-14 13:57:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x71b67e…
05-14 13:56:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xb963c5…
05-14 13:36:55	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x39cc7d…
05-14 13:36:18	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xb922ff…
05-14 13:36:08	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0xe61a81…
05-14 13:35:29	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x0d12b1…
05-14 13:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0x8ccab7…
05-14 13:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb0d916…
05-14 13:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x238765…
05-14 13:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xc9a5f6…
05-14 13:18:48	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xcebbf2…
05-14 13:18:20	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x33d57f…
05-14 13:11:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	78¢	$6	0xc9d315…
05-14 13:11:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x1fa7d8…
05-14 02:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xc0a0ce…
05-14 02:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x8d6138…
05-14 01:43:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xb1cdd8…
05-14 01:42:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x0b11bf…
05-14 01:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x27cdf9…
05-14 01:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x90bc91…
05-13 23:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	56¢	$5	0x69842a…
05-13 23:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xed0121…
05-13 23:06:58	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0xaa9863…
05-13 23:06:28	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xed8a42…
05-13 19:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x9a6cf1…
05-13 19:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	77¢	$6	0x77c64a…
05-13 19:52:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x83b768…
05-13 19:52:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xd55df9…
05-13 19:50:51	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0x95d3fa…
05-13 19:50:19	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x8f6057…
05-13 19:49:11	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x9eac00…
05-13 19:48:43	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xddc2a1…
05-13 18:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x21e7e1…
05-13 18:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x8ae0bf…
05-13 18:07:32	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x32b2a7…
05-13 18:06:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0xca4d3a…
05-13 18:06:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x852ee4…
05-13 18:03:26	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x05a075…
05-13 18:02:56	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xf160b4…
05-13 18:02:49	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xb47205…
05-13 18:02:02	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x0cc620…
05-13 17:56:33	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xe8e5de…
05-13 17:55:47	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x26bd53…
05-13 17:53:41	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0x1e8bc9…
05-13 17:53:10	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xbbf52f…
05-13 17:39:03	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0x1bf0a4…
05-13 17:38:43	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x521390…
05-13 16:24:56	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x209417…
05-13 16:22:24	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x5abe02…
05-13 16:22:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xf2bebd…
05-13 16:21:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xcee17e…
05-13 16:17:12	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x7ac7df…
05-13 16:16:44	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x1c5789…
05-13 16:03:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xd332e3…
05-13 16:02:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x521d1c…
05-13 16:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xd202ad…
05-13 16:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x11b004…
05-13 15:54:36	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x6bb88c…
05-13 15:54:08	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xfb2328…
05-13 15:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x0e7a95…
05-13 15:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x27ab99…
05-13 15:34:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x67bf09…
05-13 15:33:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x7c8226…
05-13 15:33:46	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xeadcb2…
05-13 15:33:15	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x423da5…
05-13 15:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x154adc…
05-13 15:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x2971ee…
05-13 15:19:55	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xd5894d…
05-13 15:19:25	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x332c17…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	100	$9.59K	1,162	05-14 21:27
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	98	$21.8K	1,859	05-14 21:27
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	98	$2.51K	643	05-14 21:28
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	95	$9.27K	1,391	05-14 21:27
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	81	$64.9K	3,294	05-14 21:23
Weird-Peak 0x9f5f…a008	81	$14.7K	1,656	05-14 21:28
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	80	$49.6K	3,240	05-14 21:27
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	79	$15.7K	2,867	05-14 21:15