Reckless-Zipper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.32K

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

65.5%

Resolved

156

Trades

670

lifetime

Volume

$174.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$260

Open exposure

$347

1 position

First seen

2026-03-25

last 10-26 18:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

74% 89% -$1,353

Politics

24% 83% -$68

Crypto

2% 95% +$102

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% 75% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No		+375	$341	92¢	$347	+$6	10-26 18:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	24	$39.7K	23,046	23,046	+0	No	-$78	05-29 17:04
cricipl roy luc 2026 04 15	122	$19.1K	27,342	27,342	+0	Royal Challengers Bangalore	-$1,686	04-15 15:43
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans	5	$9.1K	9,160	0	+9,160	Gujarat Titans	+$42	05-09 17:28
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	1	$9.0K	9,036	0	+9,036	Gujarat Titans	+$9	04-30 17:20
cricipl sun luc 2026 04 05	2	$9.0K	9,000	0	+9,000	Lucknow Super Giants	+$9	04-05 13:40
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	5	$8.9K	8,895	0	+8,895	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	+$12	05-26 17:18
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	6	$8.8K	9,035	0	+9,035	Yes	+$190	04-23 16:59
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	1	$8.6K	8,660	0	+8,660	Gujarat Titans	+$35	05-12 17:18
cricipl che pun 2026 04 03	14	$8.3K	8,430	0	+8,430	Punjab Kings	+$84	04-03 18:02
cricipl raj mum 2026 04 07	1	$7.0K	7,000	0	+7,000	Rajasthan Royals	+$14	04-07 18:46
cricipl del mum 2026 04 04	23	$5.9K	5,968	0	+5,968	Delhi Capitals	+$29	04-04 13:26
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals	8	$4.2K	2,120	2,120	+0	Rajasthan Royals	+$29	05-27 17:26
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	1	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$8	05-18 18:01
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	5	$3.9K	3,859	239	+3,620	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$11	05-22 17:42
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings	10	$3.2K	3,252	0	+3,252	Punjab Kings	+$20	05-23 17:23
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?	4	$2.4K	2,400	0	+2,400	Yes	+$10	05-24 16:49
cricipl che kol 2026 04 14	12	$2.4K	2,245	2,245	+0	Chennai Super Kings	+$22	04-14 16:13
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	8	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$3	05-12 16:56
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings	17	$1.2K	640	640	+0	Lucknow Super Giants	+$21	05-15 17:40
cricipl kol sun 2026 04 02	8	$1.2K	1,300	0	+1,300	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$88	04-02 17:28
cricipl pun sun 2026 04 11	1	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	Punjab Kings	+$12	04-11 13:36
will city protocol launch a token by june 30 2026	24	$966	490	490	+0	No	+$5	07-01 08:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	3	$964	500	500	+0	No	+$2	06-03 16:12
cricipl roy che 2026 04 05	2	$883	910	0	+910	Royal Challengers Bangalore	+$27	04-05 16:29
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians	4	$773	800	0	+800	Kolkata Knight Riders	+$27	05-20 18:21
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$763	770	0	+770	No	+$7	04-01 13:46
will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 12 2026 20260601225410818	11	$760	400	400	+0	No	+$6	06-12 10:53
Will Loopscale launch a token by March 31, 2026?	4	$728	588	143	+444	No	+$2	03-31 17:47
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	10	$668	440	440	+0	Chennai Super Kings	-$134	05-10 14:03
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	15	$544	300	264	+36	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	+$5	05-31 17:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 18:56:02	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	375	91¢	$341	0x2c658f…
10-15 17:28:56	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	Yes	BUY	233	99¢	$230	0xb884bb…
10-12 19:40:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	230	100¢	$229	0x23894b…
10-07 10:16:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	Yes	BUY	230	98¢	$226	0x4fb3b1…
10-07 09:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xf0a3bb…
10-07 09:38:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xb6321c…
10-07 09:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe45488…
10-06 14:02:17	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	SELL	199	100¢	$199	0xf2ff3d…
10-06 13:54:51	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x390fed…
10-06 06:15:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	226	98¢	$221	0x47d459…
10-06 06:13:30	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0x11aa0b…
10-06 06:12:57	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x255aaa…
10-06 06:12:19	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd9b102…
10-06 06:08:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xba9274…
10-06 06:08:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x0d3cf9…
10-06 06:08:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd4b001…
10-06 06:08:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbc267a…
10-06 06:07:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x41d697…
10-06 06:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3ea356…
10-01 05:28:47	Will KAST launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	212	100¢	$212	0x07a9f4…
10-01 05:27:24	Will GTE launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf2db4f…
09-21 05:05:19	Will KAST launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	212	98¢	$208	0xcbe728…
09-18 22:19:06	Will GTE launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$100	0x51dda5…
09-08 17:16:06	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	36	85¢	$31	0xf60db4…
09-07 07:57:13	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0xf17b17…
09-06 11:35:00	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	79¢	$20	0x4b2cd2…
09-06 10:06:13	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x916ef6…
09-06 08:50:55	Will GTE launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0xa75501…
09-03 06:03:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe7c105…
09-03 06:01:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa559ff…
09-03 06:01:24	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc0ef82…
08-30 16:25:12	Will England win?	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x457980…
08-30 13:37:01	Will England win?	Yes	BUY	170	97¢	$165	0x39f35f…
08-30 12:22:58	Will England win?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x6c704e…
08-30 09:18:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x4cc2b9…
08-30 09:18:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe37ea8…
08-27 17:34:07	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 17:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd7572b…
08-27 17:33:46	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x34fef0…
08-27 17:33:36	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x12b8ae…
08-27 17:33:30	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd64a52…
08-27 17:28:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x93a518…
08-27 17:23:25	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x37523c…
08-27 17:13:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 17:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0xe105a3…
08-27 17:12:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe2dfca…
08-19 19:44:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 19:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5affca…
08-19 19:41:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf23ce0…
08-19 19:38:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x507336…
08-19 19:36:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x12708f…
08-17 09:33:51	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 09:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x8b1e15…
08-17 09:33:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x35d61d…
07-30 10:41:32	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 10:40 UTC	Down	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0xd2529b…
07-30 10:40:48	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xab41a0…
07-30 10:29:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x0e74b6…
07-30 10:23:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x19b042…
07-30 10:18:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2ce9f9…
07-30 10:17:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x79b08c…
07-30 09:54:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xf11f76…
07-30 09:54:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 09:50 UTC	Down	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0x80af77…
07-30 09:52:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x832f6b…
07-27 04:53:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6683ec…
07-27 04:48:42	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x243c6d…
07-27 04:47:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1948a1…
07-27 04:43:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x442987…
07-27 04:43:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb77338…
07-27 04:42:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x4f19a2…
07-24 04:14:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x767368…
07-24 04:14:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x289c68…
07-24 04:14:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x430be4…
07-24 04:14:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 04:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0xe2ec9f…
07-24 04:13:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x36f41d…
07-21 01:59:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xa91d33…
07-21 01:59:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xf5660f…
07-21 01:58:48	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x18edec…
07-21 01:58:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x0113b4…
07-18 05:25:00	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 05:20 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x898b5c…
07-18 05:24:58	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 05:20 UTC	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xdfda0a…
07-18 05:24:58	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 05:20 UTC	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xb5d9be…
07-18 05:24:58	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 05:20 UTC	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x58aa4d…
07-18 05:24:58	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 05:20 UTC	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x39547b…
07-18 05:24:58	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 05:20 UTC	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x356952…
07-18 05:24:19	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	37	16¢	$6	0x5345d3…
07-18 05:23:22	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xade69d…
07-18 05:23:18	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x9de025…
07-18 05:23:13	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0xaa4ca3…
07-18 05:23:10	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	26	92¢	$24	0x84515d…
07-18 05:21:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x31fa0e…
07-18 05:21:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3a2a31…
07-18 05:20:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd1b6fe…
07-18 05:20:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x93815b…
07-18 05:19:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd12cf3…
07-18 05:16:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x3aa627…
07-18 05:16:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8dfb42…
07-18 05:14:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 05:10 UTC	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xc5a207…
07-18 05:14:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xdbba4c…
07-18 04:39:57	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x4e93a7…
07-17 04:14:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	41	58¢	$24	0x84bcb4…
07-17 04:14:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 04:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x244101…
07-17 04:14:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3f31a9…
07-17 04:14:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 04:10 UTC	Up	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xaeeb6d…
07-17 04:13:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4dfb6f…