Ancient-Carol — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$549

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved

10,239

Trades

20,127

lifetime

Volume

$75.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$26

1 position

First seen

2026-02-04

last 10-30 21:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 166 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 79% -$773

Sports

3% 69% +$257

Other

1% 76% -$39

Tech

0% 60% +$9

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$5

Politics

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 166 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	—	+26	$25	99¢	$26	+$1	10-30 22:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	3	$1.3K	784	784	+0	Seahawks	+$242	02-09 03:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 09:00 UTC	10	$830	853	843	+11	Up	-$44	02-07 09:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 07:30 UTC	11	$829	828	817	+11	Up	-$66	02-07 07:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 05:00 UTC	84	$507	362	358	+4	Up	+$19	02-27 05:04
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 05:45 UTC	14	$357	270	267	+3	Up	+$4	02-07 06:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 08:00 UTC	10	$282	230	227	+3	Up	-$7	02-07 08:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 09:15 UTC	2	$209	179	176	+3	Down	+$12	02-07 09:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 08:30 UTC	4	$201	290	7	+284	Down	-$197	02-07 08:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 07:00 UTC	12	$196	252	249	+3	Down	-$2	02-11 07:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 06:00 UTC	10	$169	192	189	+3	Down	+$12	02-11 06:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 07:45 UTC	6	$164	118	83	+35	Down	+$11	02-07 07:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 07:30 UTC	12	$159	184	179	+5	Up	-$2	02-11 07:38
bitcoin up or down february 9 12am et	6	$154	87	87	+0	Up	+$2	02-09 05:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 07:15 UTC	8	$150	155	152	+2	Up	-$10	02-11 07:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 11:45 UTC	74	$143	92	91	+1	Down	-$2	03-28 11:47
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 06:00 UTC	10	$140	116	108	+8	Up	-$5	02-07 06:15
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 23:30 UTC	1	$135	137	0	+137	Up	+$1	02-08 23:44
bitcoin up or down february 5 3pm et	9	$120	88	87	+0	Down	+$2	02-05 20:34
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 05:30 UTC	5	$102	94	93	+1	Up	-$3	02-07 05:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 06:30 UTC	16	$102	92	91	+1	Down	+$3	02-11 06:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 21:25 UTC	18	$101	96	113	-18	Down	+$9	02-25 21:28
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 06:30 UTC	7	$99	109	107	+2	Up	-$3	02-07 06:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 07:45 UTC	8	$96	100	99	+2	Down	+$5	02-09 07:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 05:30 UTC	10	$94	91	90	+1	Down	-$9	02-09 05:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 07:30 UTC	6	$87	86	85	+1	Down	+$4	02-09 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	8	$81	78	78	+0	Down	-$3	09-25 03:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 15:15 UTC	5	$79	81	80	+1	Up	+$0	02-10 15:20
bitcoin up or down february 5 1pm et	9	$78	60	60	+0	Up	+$2	02-05 18:50
bitcoin up or down february 6 5pm et	4	$78	44	44	+0	Up	+$2	02-06 22:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 05:15 UTC	8	$77	50	49	+0	Up	+$3	02-09 05:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 22:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xe70932…
10-30 21:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xb8ad35…
10-30 21:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xf1dbb6…
10-30 21:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x05e3e0…
10-30 21:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x94152b…
10-30 21:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xb09882…
10-30 20:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xace756…
10-30 20:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x8eafd6…
10-30 19:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xe60a73…
10-30 19:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xa8168d…
10-30 19:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xdda395…
10-30 19:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x23982a…
10-30 19:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xeb8adf…
10-30 19:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x023e4b…
10-30 18:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x24c585…
10-30 18:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe4c102…
10-30 18:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x06b400…
10-30 18:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x056d59…
10-30 18:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xb5371f…
10-30 18:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xa8c20e…
10-30 17:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x288771…
10-30 17:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x401818…
10-30 17:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x857c0f…
10-30 17:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x9c316e…
10-30 16:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xc35734…
10-30 16:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xa29e09…
10-30 16:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xcd6186…
10-30 16:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x540a3c…
10-30 16:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x6098d5…
10-30 16:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x9febef…
10-30 16:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf8933b…
10-30 15:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xcfb04f…
10-30 15:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc7f9f4…
10-30 15:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x3326fe…
10-30 15:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x3eae3c…
10-30 14:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x02204a…
10-30 14:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x4125e2…
10-30 14:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0x44b408…
10-30 13:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x62677c…
10-30 13:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xc5f1aa…
10-30 13:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xdf37f3…
10-30 13:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xc169a8…
10-30 12:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x4272a2…
10-30 12:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x3b84a9…
10-30 12:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x33dce2…
10-30 12:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x557604…
10-30 11:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd20527…
10-30 11:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x678b37…
10-30 11:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x4900c6…
10-30 10:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x74112f…
10-30 10:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x0f8041…
10-30 10:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa2c194…
10-30 10:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x86a785…
10-30 10:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xbc37b9…
10-30 09:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x856a4b…
10-30 08:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xee2dd0…
10-30 08:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xe591ba…
10-30 08:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x15b244…
10-30 08:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xe64941…
10-30 08:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x7c35b5…
10-30 08:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x8cfb6d…
10-30 08:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xf7ac01…
10-30 07:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xb68021…
10-30 07:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x3d9081…
10-30 07:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x61ce0e…
10-30 06:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xb31a7d…
10-30 06:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xd920f7…
10-30 06:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xbdbd6b…
10-30 06:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xe73f40…
10-30 05:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x525969…
10-30 05:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x0d5438…
10-30 05:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xee53b9…
10-30 05:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xa73fdb…
10-30 05:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x408020…
10-30 04:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xe1f05b…
10-30 04:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x7f7b8c…
10-30 04:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xc30c48…
10-30 03:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xbe6fc3…
10-19 14:52:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe928ec…
10-19 14:42:29	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0add7a…
10-19 14:39:35	XRP Up or Down - October 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa29fb4…
10-18 13:09:02	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x66ad8f…
10-18 12:54:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1ae6d9…
10-18 12:49:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x25c004…
10-18 12:14:00	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x38f0f6…
10-18 12:09:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x5ef41f…
10-18 11:58:59	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xf07b5e…
10-18 11:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2dc031…
10-18 11:48:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0afea6…
10-18 11:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc67180…
10-18 10:59:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xf40cb6…
10-18 10:28:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x438c99…
10-18 10:04:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x678c18…
10-18 09:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xda57e1…
10-18 08:49:15	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x552a2f…
10-18 08:43:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x306475…
10-18 08:33:59	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x900fae…
10-18 08:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xe0866e…
10-18 08:04:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4518c5…
10-18 07:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfc159d…