Ancient-Carol — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$524

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

76.6%

Resolved

10,264

Trades

20,153

lifetime

Volume

$76.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$40

1 position

First seen

2026-02-04

last 10-31 10:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 167 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 79% -$748

Sports

3% 69% +$257

Other

1% 76% -$39

Tech

0% 60% +$9

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$5

Politics

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 166 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	—	+40	$40	100¢	$40	+$0	10-31 11:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	3	$1.3K	784	784	+0	Seahawks	+$242	02-09 03:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 09:00 UTC	10	$830	853	843	+11	Up	-$44	02-07 09:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 07:30 UTC	11	$829	828	817	+11	Up	-$66	02-07 07:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 05:00 UTC	84	$507	362	358	+4	Up	+$19	02-27 05:04
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 05:45 UTC	14	$357	270	267	+3	Up	+$4	02-07 06:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 08:00 UTC	10	$282	230	227	+3	Up	-$7	02-07 08:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 09:15 UTC	2	$209	179	176	+3	Down	+$12	02-07 09:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 08:30 UTC	4	$201	290	7	+284	Down	-$197	02-07 08:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 07:00 UTC	12	$196	252	249	+3	Down	-$2	02-11 07:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 06:00 UTC	10	$169	192	189	+3	Down	+$12	02-11 06:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 07:45 UTC	6	$164	118	83	+35	Down	+$11	02-07 07:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 07:30 UTC	12	$159	184	179	+5	Up	-$2	02-11 07:38
bitcoin up or down february 9 12am et	6	$154	87	87	+0	Up	+$2	02-09 05:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 07:15 UTC	8	$150	155	152	+2	Up	-$10	02-11 07:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 11:45 UTC	74	$143	92	91	+1	Down	-$2	03-28 11:47
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 06:00 UTC	10	$140	116	108	+8	Up	-$5	02-07 06:15
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 23:30 UTC	1	$135	137	0	+137	Up	+$1	02-08 23:44
bitcoin up or down february 5 3pm et	9	$120	88	87	+0	Down	+$2	02-05 20:34
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 05:30 UTC	5	$102	94	93	+1	Up	-$3	02-07 05:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 06:30 UTC	16	$102	92	91	+1	Down	+$3	02-11 06:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 21:25 UTC	18	$101	96	113	-18	Down	+$9	02-25 21:28
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 06:30 UTC	7	$99	109	107	+2	Up	-$3	02-07 06:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 07:45 UTC	8	$96	100	99	+2	Down	+$5	02-09 07:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 05:30 UTC	10	$94	91	90	+1	Down	-$9	02-09 05:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 07:30 UTC	6	$87	86	85	+1	Down	+$4	02-09 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	8	$81	78	78	+0	Down	-$3	09-25 03:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 15:15 UTC	5	$79	81	80	+1	Up	+$0	02-10 15:20
bitcoin up or down february 5 1pm et	9	$78	60	60	+0	Up	+$2	02-05 18:50
bitcoin up or down february 6 5pm et	4	$78	44	44	+0	Up	+$2	02-06 22:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 05:15 UTC	8	$77	50	49	+0	Up	+$3	02-09 05:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 11:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x6b72b4…
10-31 10:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x75fe71…
10-31 10:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x284637…
10-31 09:03:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x6a9180…
10-31 08:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0xf864e6…
10-31 08:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xd5de03…
10-31 08:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x247194…
10-31 07:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xaaf234…
10-31 07:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x6f8260…
10-31 07:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xfedc98…
10-31 06:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x5163c9…
10-31 05:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x25b8fc…
10-31 05:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xeee4f1…
10-31 03:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x5aec6d…
10-31 02:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x7351a7…
10-31 02:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xe2f410…
10-31 01:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x3676e0…
10-31 01:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xd8486c…
10-31 01:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x32061b…
10-31 01:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xdbdfec…
10-31 01:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xcd98cb…
10-31 01:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x73c271…
10-31 00:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xbc0aaa…
10-31 00:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x9d549a…
10-31 00:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xc52914…
10-30 23:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd9c4a1…
10-30 22:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xe70932…
10-30 21:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xb8ad35…
10-30 21:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xf1dbb6…
10-30 21:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x05e3e0…
10-30 21:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x94152b…
10-30 21:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xb09882…
10-30 20:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xace756…
10-30 20:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x8eafd6…
10-30 19:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xe60a73…
10-30 19:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xa8168d…
10-30 19:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xdda395…
10-30 19:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x23982a…
10-30 19:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xeb8adf…
10-30 19:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x023e4b…
10-30 18:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x24c585…
10-30 18:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe4c102…
10-30 18:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x06b400…
10-30 18:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x056d59…
10-30 18:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xb5371f…
10-30 18:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xa8c20e…
10-30 17:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x288771…
10-30 17:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x401818…
10-30 17:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x857c0f…
10-30 17:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x9c316e…
10-30 16:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xc35734…
10-30 16:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xa29e09…
10-30 16:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xcd6186…
10-30 16:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x540a3c…
10-30 16:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x6098d5…
10-30 16:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x9febef…
10-30 16:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf8933b…
10-30 15:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xcfb04f…
10-30 15:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc7f9f4…
10-30 15:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x3326fe…
10-30 15:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x3eae3c…
10-30 14:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x02204a…
10-30 14:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x4125e2…
10-30 14:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0x44b408…
10-30 13:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x62677c…
10-30 13:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xc5f1aa…
10-30 13:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xdf37f3…
10-30 13:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xc169a8…
10-30 12:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x4272a2…
10-30 12:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x3b84a9…
10-30 12:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x33dce2…
10-30 12:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x557604…
10-30 11:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd20527…
10-30 11:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x678b37…
10-30 11:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x4900c6…
10-30 10:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x74112f…
10-30 10:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x0f8041…
10-30 10:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa2c194…
10-30 10:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x86a785…
10-30 10:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xbc37b9…
10-30 09:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x856a4b…
10-30 08:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xee2dd0…
10-30 08:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xe591ba…
10-30 08:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x15b244…
10-30 08:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xe64941…
10-30 08:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x7c35b5…
10-30 08:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x8cfb6d…
10-30 08:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xf7ac01…
10-30 07:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xb68021…
10-30 07:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x3d9081…
10-30 07:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x61ce0e…
10-30 06:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xb31a7d…
10-30 06:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xd920f7…
10-30 06:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xbdbd6b…
10-30 06:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xe73f40…
10-30 05:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x525969…
10-30 05:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x0d5438…
10-30 05:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xee53b9…
10-30 05:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xa73fdb…
10-30 05:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x408020…