Realized P&L
-$24
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
67.2%
Resolved
74
Trades
585
lifetime
Volume
$544
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$22
16 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 10-26 21:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
53% 74% -$24
Crypto
26% 62% -$5
Politics
20% 33% +$4
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +5 $4 84¢ $4 +$0 10-26 23:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +4 $3 87¢ $3 $0 10-21 07:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +3 $2 75¢ $2 $0 10-26 18:26
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2 $2 82¢ $2 $0 10-26 21:00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 10-26 19:43
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +3 $2 67¢ $2 $0 10-21 07:49
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 10-26 13:09
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +1 $1 66¢ $1 $0 10-26 19:51
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 $0 10-24 02:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 10-18 23:11
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? No +2 $1 46¢ $1 $0 10-24 05:55
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +1 $0 94¢ $1 +$0 10-24 22:00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +1 -$1 96¢ $1 +$1 10-25 04:56
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1 $0 66¢ $0 $0 10-26 21:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $0 36¢ $0 $0 09-22 05:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +1 $0 11¢ $0 +$0 10-23 22:09