Dismal-Stupidity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$407

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.6%

Resolved

229

Trades

559

lifetime

Volume

$5.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 07-28 14:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 49% -$255

Other

20% 21% -$137

Sports

0% 0% -$15

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-28).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:35 UTC	2	$567	378	378	+0	Up	+$181	07-27 14:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:05 UTC	3	$553	476	392	+84	Up	+$11	07-27 14:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 07:55 UTC	3	$359	245	245	+0	Up	+$92	07-16 07:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 16:50 UTC	2	$220	128	128	+0	Down	+$20	07-27 16:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:30 UTC	1	$200	387	0	+387	Down	-$200	07-27 14:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 17:00 UTC	2	$170	133	133	+0	Down	-$30	07-27 17:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:45 UTC	2	$136	98	98	+0	Up	+$36	07-27 14:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 16:45 UTC	2	$124	204	204	+0	Up	-$76	07-27 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 08:10 UTC	2	$123	148	148	+0	Down	-$40	07-16 08:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$123	96	96	+0	Up	+$23	05-08 04:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	4	$118	140	71	+69	Down	+$6	05-08 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$116	86	86	+0	Up	+$16	05-08 04:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$111	67	67	+0	Up	+$11	05-08 04:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 15:20 UTC	5	$82	78	78	+0	Down	+$2	07-13 15:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 16:55 UTC	2	$78	58	58	+0	Up	+$28	07-27 16:57
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 14?	10	$71	57	57	+0	Yes	-$1	07-14 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$70	136	0	+136	Up	-$70	05-08 04:27
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 15?	7	$67	47	47	+0	Yes	+$27	07-16 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$67	74	74	+0	Up	+$17	05-16 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 07:00 UTC	3	$56	63	60	+3	Up	+$19	04-15 07:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:25 UTC	2	$51	88	88	+0	Down	-$39	07-27 14:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 07:45 UTC	1	$50	91	0	+91	Up	+$41	07-16 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	4	$45	44	44	+0	Down	+$7	05-16 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$43	55	30	+25	Up	-$1	05-16 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$41	60	37	+23	Up	-$19	05-16 17:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 08:15 UTC	1	$39	70	0	+70	Down	-$39	07-16 08:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$35	52	52	+0	Up	-$15	05-17 03:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 14:45 UTC	1	$33	68	0	+68	Up	-$33	06-18 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 18:05 UTC	2	$33	24	24	+0	Down	+$9	06-15 18:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:20 UTC	1	$30	67	0	+67	Down	-$30	07-27 14:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 14:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	19	44¢	$8	0xfddd9a…
07-28 07:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	16	41¢	$6	0x226550…
07-28 07:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x122cc2…
07-28 07:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	15	21¢	$3	0x4e09c6…
07-28 07:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	18	12¢	$2	0x59855c…
07-28 07:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	18	41¢	$7	0x1e70b1…
07-28 07:21:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3c81ac…
07-28 07:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	16	23¢	$4	0xc72f06…
07-28 07:20:40	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	16	48¢	$8	0xdf3484…
07-28 07:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0x6c3fc5…
07-28 02:39:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x8451dc…
07-28 02:39:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 28?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x4ea047…
07-28 01:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2dde75…
07-28 01:22:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0xe7f576…
07-28 00:53:04	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0x679081…
07-28 00:51:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xbd6c74…
07-28 00:51:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa64846…
07-28 00:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x40d368…
07-28 00:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x02468c…
07-28 00:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0xb0d020…
07-28 00:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x366b1c…
07-28 00:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xfda21c…
07-28 00:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x920cb2…
07-28 00:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x7e13b6…
07-28 00:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xcc6c7e…
07-28 00:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x04cc3e…
07-28 00:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xbc5ff7…
07-28 00:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xbbdc7b…
07-28 00:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x276091…
07-28 00:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x8f725d…
07-28 00:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6be0fe…
07-28 00:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xa6d64d…
07-28 00:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x30702f…
07-28 00:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x261907…
07-28 00:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xea4752…
07-28 00:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xc275c2…
07-28 00:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0xb9adf7…
07-28 00:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x38f721…
07-28 00:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x16c5b6…
07-28 00:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x767ffb…
07-28 00:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x8b3f03…
07-28 00:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xdb489b…
07-28 00:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x6df179…
07-27 17:02:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 17:00 UTC	Up	SELL	133	53¢	$70	0xaea84b…
07-27 17:00:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x2dddcf…
07-27 16:57:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 16:55 UTC	Up	SELL	58	91¢	$53	0x20bbcc…
07-27 16:55:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x103055…
07-27 16:53:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 16:50 UTC	Down	SELL	128	94¢	$120	0x6aa8bf…
07-27 16:50:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xcb01a5…
07-27 16:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	204	12¢	$24	0x451eeb…
07-27 16:47:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xe2e3c1…
07-27 16:42:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x666afe…
07-27 16:35:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xdbd4d2…
07-27 16:28:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x1cbbea…
07-27 16:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xdcbc08…
07-27 14:59:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:55 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf6bc29…
07-27 14:57:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x8dbae9…
07-27 14:53:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x3b60d2…
07-27 14:46:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	98	88¢	$86	0xd6350e…
07-27 14:43:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x09f80e…
07-27 14:42:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xba2cb5…
07-27 14:40:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:35 UTC	Up	SELL	378	99¢	$374	0x50db76…
07-27 14:31:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	378	51¢	$193	0x4a3a0c…
07-27 14:28:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	387	52¢	$200	0x8ed717…
07-27 14:28:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:25 UTC	Up	SELL	88	7¢	$6	0xd95417…
07-27 14:23:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	88	51¢	$45	0x20c570…
07-27 14:20:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x126dbc…
07-27 14:11:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x84831c…
07-27 14:08:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	84	85¢	$71	0xd8cac8…
07-27 14:06:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:05 UTC	Down	SELL	392	72¢	$282	0x952a79…
07-27 14:04:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0x9b1789…
07-16 18:48:53	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xa9cd51…
07-16 16:45:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	17	15¢	$3	0x94adfe…
07-16 11:29:41	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	16	17¢	$3	0x83d277…
07-16 11:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0x2a2855…
07-16 08:34:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x32cdf2…
07-16 08:34:26	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x904ce3…
07-16 08:11:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	70	55¢	$39	0xfe1247…
07-16 08:11:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 08:10 UTC	Up	SELL	148	28¢	$42	0x765437…
07-16 08:09:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	148	55¢	$82	0xdf2b9a…
07-16 07:57:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 07:55 UTC	Up	SELL	245	92¢	$225	0x87ca61…
07-16 07:54:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	175	55¢	$96	0x52c6e8…
07-16 07:52:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	70	53¢	$37	0xb65e4e…
07-16 07:43:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x35cf50…
07-16 03:17:41	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x2a3579…
07-16 03:17:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xfb422d…
07-16 03:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xc284c6…
07-16 03:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0xaf86f1…
07-16 02:59:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x9194d8…
07-16 02:57:29	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x1c1d86…
07-16 02:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x48c93b…
07-16 02:10:53	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	3	17¢	$1	0x41686e…
07-16 01:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0x853dea…
07-16 01:28:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x33a983…
07-16 01:28:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x06bc1c…
07-16 01:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x96c04a…
07-16 01:20:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x528809…
07-16 01:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xd051fe…
07-16 01:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x28ae0d…
07-16 01:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xcac3e6…