Dismal-Stupidity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$61

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.0%

Resolved

Trades

208

lifetime

Volume

$1.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 05-17 15:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 50% $-61

Other

14% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$123	96	96	+0	Up	+$23	05-08 04:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	4	$118	140	71	+69	Down	+$6	05-08 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$116	86	86	+0	Up	+$16	05-08 04:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$111	67	67	+0	Up	+$11	05-08 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$70	136	0	+136	Up	$-70	05-08 04:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$67	74	74	+0	open	—	05-16 17:49
btc updown 5m 1776236400	3	$56	63	60	+3	open	—	04-15 07:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	4	$45	44	44	+0	open	—	05-16 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$43	55	30	+25	open	—	05-16 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$41	60	37	+23	open	—	05-16 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$35	52	52	+0	open	—	05-17 03:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$26	17	17	+0	open	—	05-17 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$25	83	0	+83	Up	$-25	05-08 03:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	4	$25	21	21	+0	open	—	05-16 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	05-16 17:38
btc updown 5m 1776236100	4	$20	52	49	+3	open	—	04-15 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$20	53	0	+53	Up	$-20	05-08 03:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$19	12	12	+0	open	—	05-17 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$18	14	14	+0	open	—	05-17 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$18	14	10	+5	open	—	05-16 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	3	$16	43	10	+33	open	—	05-16 17:28
btc updown 5m 1776236700	3	$16	68	0	+68	open	—	04-15 07:09
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on April 25?	5	$15	77	76	+1	open	—	04-25 04:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$15	96	0	+96	open	—	05-17 15:08
nba uta lal 2026 04 12	1	$15	188	0	+188	open	—	04-11 14:11
btc updown 5m 1776355500	1	$11	24	0	+24	open	—	04-16 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$11	24	0	+24	open	—	05-16 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-16 18:23
highest temperature in milan on april 24 2026 26c	2	$10	208	0	+208	open	—	04-24 16:33
highest temperature in madrid on april 24 2026 23c	2	$10	71	0	+71	open	—	04-24 16:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 15:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	96	16¢	$15	0x4c1a7f…
05-17 03:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0x08be14…
05-17 03:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x608c8d…
05-17 03:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	52	19¢	$10	0x1aef9e…
05-17 03:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x8db2e1…
05-17 02:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x1858e9…
05-17 02:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x802c7a…
05-17 02:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x14c0e4…
05-17 02:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x50997e…
05-16 18:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x50e6aa…
05-16 18:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xbf9d8b…
05-16 18:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xb349a7…
05-16 18:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x7a54ea…
05-16 17:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xdc123a…
05-16 17:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	45	80¢	$35	0x0f1f78…
05-16 17:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x040e4d…
05-16 17:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	29	22¢	$6	0x5d2370…
05-16 17:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x34f5f6…
05-16 17:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x4d8af0…
05-16 17:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xaa9aef…
05-16 17:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	29	39¢	$11	0x5483b1…
05-16 17:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0x38df23…
05-16 17:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0xa94c53…
05-16 17:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x2ed069…
05-16 17:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x154368…
05-16 17:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	86¢	$8	0x959c1c…
05-16 17:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x642294…
05-16 17:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x760396…
05-16 17:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0xa34da7…
05-16 17:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x62e645…
05-16 17:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	12	47¢	$6	0xbec8e4…
05-16 17:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x56c89d…
05-16 17:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x025702…
05-16 17:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xbba7f7…
05-16 17:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x134cfe…
05-16 17:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	37	29¢	$11	0xbb4753…
05-16 17:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xd3e713…
05-16 17:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x8c42b7…
05-16 17:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	30	72¢	$21	0xe35031…
05-16 17:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x2200d1…
05-08 04:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	58	34¢	$20	0xd8fba8…
05-08 04:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xc2f57f…
05-08 04:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	67	91¢	$61	0x805adc…
05-08 04:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x77d5d3…
05-08 04:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	96	76¢	$73	0x16321c…
05-08 04:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xa0bf80…
05-08 04:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	86	76¢	$66	0x2f03ea…
05-08 04:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xa3cdf8…
05-08 03:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4aae4b…
05-08 03:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xf57e77…
05-08 03:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	71	87¢	$62	0xfd83f9…
05-08 03:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x420edc…
05-08 03:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xd0fcbc…
05-08 03:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x34b786…
05-05 15:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb2329a…
04-28 05:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x7ff3d0…
04-28 04:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	94	1¢	$1	0x9b9812…
04-28 03:42:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xcb7934…
04-28 03:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	18	14¢	$2	0xd32d08…
04-27 16:18:50	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x05cd5e…
04-27 14:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 27?	Yes	SELL	36	1¢	$0	0xf42a7c…
04-27 14:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	35	1¢	$0	0x0896ac…
04-27 14:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x697f11…
04-27 14:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0xc9241f…
04-27 14:43:38	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0xd93964…
04-27 13:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0xaaf5f7…
04-27 11:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0xbdc1a4…
04-27 07:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	73	2¢	$2	0x352fee…
04-27 04:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xd52b27…
04-27 04:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x6b3ffc…
04-27 04:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x1148a8…
04-27 03:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xa94c9f…
04-27 03:03:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xd27a43…
04-27 03:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	54	6¢	$3	0x271fbc…
04-27 01:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x39548e…
04-26 18:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x4b17a2…
04-26 18:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xd88c29…
04-26 18:03:20	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0xd1e828…
04-26 18:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x6a4209…
04-26 15:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x1f7617…
04-26 15:49:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x1c9bed…
04-26 13:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0x0eb266…
04-26 13:17:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xee4a32…
04-26 13:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xf7a13c…
04-26 13:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x3b5951…
04-26 13:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xe4d37b…
04-26 12:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xa8207b…
04-26 12:34:02	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xdcdbed…
04-26 12:34:00	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	77	5¢	$4	0xa71060…
04-26 12:33:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$3	0x9b02b5…
04-26 12:09:32	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x4f19de…
04-26 12:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	SELL	123	3¢	$4	0xcfbaa3…
04-26 12:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xf52075…
04-26 12:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x98bc17…
04-26 12:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x12c66a…
04-26 12:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$1	0x549372…
04-26 12:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x4bf3b1…
04-26 12:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x05dd25…
04-26 11:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x90c581…
04-26 11:56:14	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x832fc0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f	61	$976	1,101	04-28 10:06
Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376	58	$2.66K	1,533	04-28 10:26
Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e	54	$8.17K	1,549	04-28 07:54
Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572	54	$750	851	04-28 10:06
Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621	53	$521	608	04-28 10:06
Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6	52	$2.92K	518	04-27 17:00
Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5	52	$1.20K	650	04-28 10:00
Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa	52	$599	703	04-28 10:06