Vivid-Croup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

321

Trades

322

lifetime

Volume

$3.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-14 18:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 236 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$6

Politics

6% 91% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 15?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	$0	11-14 18:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$26	27	+27	No	-$26	05-15 05:07
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-02 15:09
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:55
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:39
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:04
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 02:00
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 14:18
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 02:11
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-26 10:29
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 25?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-25 15:18
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-24 09:11
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 23 2026 27c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:47
highest temperature in beijing on april 22 2026 24c	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-22 10:29
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$1	04-21 12:47
highest temperature in los angeles on april 20 2026 72 73f	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 01:30
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 20 2026 24c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 16:55
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 06:23
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 19 2026 24c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:24
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 08:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 22c	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	04-18 08:49
highest temperature in ankara on april 17 2026 21c	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	04-17 16:10
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:43
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 16 2026 31c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:09
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 04:22
highest temperature in tokyo on april 15 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 09:12
highest temperature in dallas on april 14 2026 82forhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 03:52
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 14 2026 31corhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-14 16:30
highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-14 05:44
highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-13 08:57
highest temperature in wellington on april 12 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-12 07:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 18:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on November 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x63b469…
11-13 07:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x987d4e…
11-12 08:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa740c3…
11-11 08:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa60328…
11-08 11:38:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on November 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1dd3ef…
11-07 10:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x293b42…
11-06 09:56:03	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x126311…
11-05 00:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb4f2a3…
11-04 12:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3137ce…
11-03 17:48:40	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb3344c…
11-03 09:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5d3e04…
11-02 08:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x940a43…
10-31 17:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa2fd8a…
10-31 04:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1d9a53…
10-30 08:24:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x256f7e…
10-29 15:22:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x85d676…
10-29 06:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf73a68…
10-28 04:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x23d40b…
10-27 06:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfbc705…
10-26 04:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa591d0…
10-25 12:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdf4317…
10-24 06:43:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xddc155…
10-22 10:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xadb15f…
10-20 04:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x689e9b…
10-19 06:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xef3aaf…
10-18 05:40:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xadd1a2…
10-17 07:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x157165…
10-16 01:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x37d501…
10-15 04:49:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x453ef4…
10-14 06:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbc5728…
10-13 13:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2be41d…
10-13 01:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xee5154…
10-12 01:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xea4f29…
10-11 01:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7618c9…
10-08 04:42:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xab4ccd…
10-07 08:44:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc7ac72…
10-06 14:57:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd2cfbb…
10-06 05:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd6f839…
10-04 07:49:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x08fe5c…
10-03 00:46:02	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6bfc2a…
10-02 07:15:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a30be…
10-02 03:07:56	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd04ed3…
10-01 05:45:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51d68e…
09-30 09:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42066b…
09-29 06:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x05c5d7…
09-28 03:01:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x683a26…
09-27 10:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeba2f7…
09-26 08:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88b5db…
09-25 01:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x395b42…
09-24 01:48:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d4620…
09-23 05:09:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf2688…
09-22 01:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41cc0e…
09-21 06:25:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29c68e…
09-20 02:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf7a750…
09-19 05:38:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb667e7…
09-18 09:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcca0df…
09-18 01:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b592b…
09-17 00:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xceaec2…
09-16 07:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x255ace…
09-15 23:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe3c065…
09-15 01:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0faa7d…
09-14 00:44:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x80090a…
09-13 12:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x06647c…
09-12 01:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7eda48…
09-11 01:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x255c12…
09-10 01:23:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26d8ce…
09-09 00:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50c6a8…
09-08 01:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x861188…
09-07 09:54:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x620250…
09-07 01:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd03569…
09-06 17:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeec8cc…
09-06 01:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2dbf6…
09-05 08:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbdd28a…
09-04 08:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34e03a…
09-03 01:04:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd5501f…
09-02 11:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e5c87…
09-01 01:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8db1e…
08-30 00:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x373ebc…
08-29 05:44:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed6cff…
08-28 01:22:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b282a…
08-27 01:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7fdf0a…
08-26 01:05:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x760fd7…
08-25 01:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34adf7…
08-24 07:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf7e7d…
08-23 00:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x762c3f…
08-22 01:18:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c8196…
08-21 01:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f58a3…
08-20 00:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad3989…
08-19 00:14:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2ada6…
08-18 00:09:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84e958…
08-17 05:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0b9ba…
08-16 01:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c7896…
08-15 01:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb8218b…
08-14 01:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba4d08…
08-13 00:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8b30f…
08-12 00:10:55	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xca5bb7…
08-11 00:11:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d35b3…
08-10 00:15:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef3813…
08-09 00:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd84605…
08-08 00:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0b39b…