Hearty-Caboose — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.3%

Resolved

Trades

781

lifetime

Volume

$2.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 05-10 13:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

41% — —

Crypto

38% 47% $-8

Politics

20% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	5	$91	142	142	+0	open	—	03-08 07:51
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	11	$85	304	304	+0	open	—	03-03 08:17
will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	4	$71	51	51	+0	open	—	02-26 22:03
spx opens up or down on march 11 2026	8	$71	200	200	+0	open	—	03-11 13:16
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	3	$70	200	200	+0	open	—	03-07 19:27
will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	2	$65	100	100	+0	open	—	02-27 13:14
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 30 in february	3	$64	200	200	+0	open	—	02-28 01:37
will the us invade iran by march 31	3	$62	200	200	+0	open	—	03-08 08:54
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	3	$59	100	100	+0	open	—	03-04 12:29
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	2	$54	100	100	+0	open	—	03-22 11:38
will pumpfun be accused of insider trading	9	$53	274	274	+0	open	—	02-25 10:42
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	3	$49	200	200	+0	open	—	03-06 10:46
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	7	$47	129	129	+0	open	—	03-01 03:24
Iran leadership change by March 13?	2	$44	200	200	+0	open	—	03-09 04:44
donald trump of truth social posts february 27 march 6 120 139	4	$42	65	65	+0	open	—	03-03 06:13
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	3	$29	31	30	+1	open	—	04-15 20:48
spx opens up or down on march 10 2026	5	$27	200	200	+0	open	—	03-10 13:03
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	6	$27	45	65	-20	open	—	02-22 04:54
btc updown 5m 1774527600	2	$27	16	16	+0	open	—	03-26 12:23
btc updown 5m 1774528500	8	$23	28	28	+0	open	—	03-26 12:40
epl che mun 2026 04 18 mun	2	$21	17	17	+0	open	—	04-18 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	6	$20	34	34	+0	Down	$-8	05-10 08:34
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	4	$20	57	0	+57	open	—	04-26 17:36
btc updown 5m 1776341700	3	$18	15	15	+1	open	—	04-16 12:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$18	13	13	+0	Up	+$8	05-10 10:24
ucl ben rma 2026 02 17 rma	4	$17	13	13	+0	open	—	02-17 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	6	$17	32	32	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 11:24
will axiom be accused of insider trading	3	$17	58	58	+0	open	—	02-25 20:35
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	2	$16	19	18	+0	open	—	04-23 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	5	$16	42	26	+16	Up	$-6	05-10 13:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 13:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe41cc5…
05-10 13:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	17	26¢	$4	0xd1a4ab…
05-10 13:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x500ebd…
05-10 13:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xfb3757…
05-10 13:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x20c5e4…
05-10 13:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x83d589…
05-10 13:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	21	21¢	$4	0x8374bf…
05-10 13:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x004195…
05-10 10:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x73be6f…
05-10 10:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x7b5b3c…
05-10 10:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x4a601e…
05-10 10:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf3d057…
05-10 08:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2e8043…
05-10 08:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6a2536…
05-10 08:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	17	11¢	$2	0xf0820c…
05-10 08:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe521ef…
05-10 08:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x7c360c…
05-10 08:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	17	27¢	$5	0xa88e35…
05-10 08:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x8fcb26…
05-10 08:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x5d4bde…
05-10 08:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0xf91f36…
05-10 08:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2673be…
05-10 08:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2a3234…
05-09 15:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0x4f564e…
05-09 15:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	12¢	$2	0x5450a6…
05-09 11:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$2	0x4c5ae2…
05-09 11:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0eeba3…
05-09 11:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	11	53¢	$6	0xced390…
05-09 11:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x31e65b…
05-09 11:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	21	13¢	$3	0x2380f2…
05-09 11:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x87922c…
05-09 11:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x7e2211…
05-09 11:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2d2b4d…
05-09 11:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0x37ae4c…
05-09 11:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x07d08c…
05-09 11:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1bb2bf…
05-09 11:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0a2c09…
05-09 11:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xbbd638…
05-09 11:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdc8076…
05-09 11:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x1f9a55…
05-09 11:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x88a41b…
05-09 11:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1d5acd…
05-09 11:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x02f2c5…
05-09 11:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1ed0cf…
05-09 11:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x5cd1b9…
05-09 01:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0xe21e19…
05-09 01:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x411acd…
05-09 01:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0xab5f33…
05-09 01:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x6e0e3d…
05-09 01:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	23	20¢	$5	0xbc3c08…
05-09 01:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x82cd49…
05-09 01:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa5e759…
05-09 01:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x762e02…
05-09 01:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x57d75d…
05-01 13:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6844c1…
05-01 13:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x17d4f1…
04-29 23:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x11686a…
04-29 23:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x70183e…
04-29 23:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x90e2dc…
04-29 23:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf5b040…
04-29 23:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd7227c…
04-29 23:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x0f64a9…
04-29 23:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x47a6f0…
04-29 23:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xc0781f…
04-29 23:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x93a68e…
04-29 23:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1a5f81…
04-29 23:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4771e3…
04-26 17:36:46	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x2a10e5…
04-26 00:24:30	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf0bf2f…
04-26 00:24:02	Will CA Osasuna vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xed4a1b…
04-26 00:23:34	Will Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xde0411…
04-26 00:22:56	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xdbd631…
04-26 00:21:50	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x3bcd35…
04-26 00:21:32	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x45e43d…
04-25 11:14:20	Will Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4e3525…
04-25 11:13:58	Will Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xac2233…
04-25 11:13:46	Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x2d1dde…
04-25 11:13:20	Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x24c3c2…
04-25 11:12:44	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xa12b1b…
04-23 15:10:40	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 rea	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7f3427…
04-23 15:09:30	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	SELL	18	42¢	$8	0xbd9a5d…
04-23 15:09:20	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	SELL	13	37¢	$5	0x8c9147…
04-23 15:09:10	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	SELL	14	34¢	$5	0xbd5001…
04-23 15:07:00	btc updown 5m 1776956700	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x3ef20d…
04-23 15:05:48	btc updown 5m 1776956700	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x3f9d43…
04-23 15:02:48	btc updown 5m 1776956400	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x287d03…
04-23 15:01:22	btc updown 5m 1776956400	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x9e0950…
04-23 15:00:46	btc updown 5m 1776956400	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x5edea8…
04-22 20:38:06	btc updown 5m 1776890100	Down	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xe1c5d3…
04-22 20:34:00	btc updown 5m 1776889800	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x724a1c…
04-22 20:27:52	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0xed2139…
04-22 20:26:02	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xf18ffe…
04-22 20:24:36	lal bet rea 2026 04 24 rea	Yes	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x837078…
04-22 20:23:48	lal ovi vil 2026 04 23 vil	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x48b159…
04-21 00:20:08	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x085cb2…
04-19 18:20:06	epl cry wes 2026 04 20 cry	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4b8d07…
04-19 18:19:40	fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 nan	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x36f2b1…
04-19 18:19:28	fl1 psg lyo 2026 04 19 lyo	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc9a778…
04-19 18:18:12	lal bil osa 2026 04 21 osa	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xbda0a4…
04-19 18:17:12	lal mal val 2026 04 21 mal	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x9ce57e…