Parched-Mangle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.8%

Resolved

2,708

Trades

3,689

lifetime

Volume

$96.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 10-30 18:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 187 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 94% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	14	$117	133	+133	Up	+$16	10-11 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$110	111	+111	Down	+$1	10-24 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$110	113	+113	Down	-$110	10-24 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$109	112	+112	Down	+$2	10-24 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$106	109	+109	Down	+$2	10-24 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$106	107	+107	Up	+$1	10-24 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$106	107	+107	Down	+$1	10-23 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$106	116	+116	Down	+$10	10-24 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$105	107	+107	Up	+$2	10-23 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$104	105	+105	Up	+$1	10-23 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$104	105	+105	Down	+$1	10-23 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$104	107	+107	Down	+$3	10-23 22:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$104	106	+106	Up	+$2	10-23 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	3	$103	104	+104	Up	+$1	10-23 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	3	$103	104	+104	Down	+$1	10-23 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$103	105	+105	Up	+$2	10-23 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$101	103	+103	Up	+$2	10-23 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$101	103	+103	Down	+$2	10-23 05:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:25 UTC	1	$101	105	+105	Down	+$4	10-23 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	3	$100	102	+102	Up	+$2	10-23 02:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 10:20 UTC	1	$98	99	+99	Down	-$98	08-04 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	4	$97	99	+99	Up	+$2	10-22 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$96	97	+97	Up	+$1	10-25 15:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:25 UTC	1	$96	101	+101	Down	+$5	10-17 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$95	97	+97	Up	+$2	10-25 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$95	98	+98	Down	+$3	10-22 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$95	99	+99	Up	+$4	10-22 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$95	96	+96	Down	+$1	10-25 14:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 19:40 UTC	1	$95	98	+98	Up	+$3	10-17 19:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 10:00 UTC	2	$95	101	+101	Down	+$6	08-04 10:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 18:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0xc246b9…
10-30 18:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x39d58f…
10-30 15:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	57	96¢	$54	0xfa84d8…
10-30 11:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	75	96¢	$72	0x9b343c…
10-30 10:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	74	96¢	$71	0x3821d7…
10-30 07:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	74	98¢	$72	0xe9e1ec…
10-30 03:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	73	96¢	$70	0x0f5965…
10-30 00:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	72	99¢	$72	0xdea9c3…
10-29 23:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	72	96¢	$69	0x3c32a1…
10-29 20:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x5bfbcb…
10-29 20:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x11d4e5…
10-29 20:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x11467c…
10-29 20:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x1049bd…
10-29 13:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	71	97¢	$69	0xd51f10…
10-29 13:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0xf8f8bf…
10-29 13:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xf20969…
10-29 13:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0xfd7045…
10-29 13:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x3ba4d1…
10-29 10:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0xbb37af…
10-29 08:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x924a9e…
10-29 08:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x641165…
10-29 07:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	69	99¢	$68	0x20317e…
10-29 04:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x7e4a33…
10-29 04:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb89eaa…
10-29 01:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0x6b6960…
10-29 00:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	68	99¢	$68	0x923c3a…
10-28 22:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0x287b83…
10-28 18:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	61	88¢	$54	0x1b7208…
10-28 18:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	41	88¢	$36	0x01ac97…
10-28 13:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0xa005c4…
10-28 13:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0x358dae…
10-28 13:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xa1b5cd…
10-28 11:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	90	98¢	$89	0xf02e85…
10-28 08:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	91	96¢	$88	0x3b20ae…
10-28 08:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	89	96¢	$85	0x2e3dbd…
10-28 08:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	87	95¢	$82	0xeb76a3…
10-28 02:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	87	98¢	$86	0xe02d04…
10-28 01:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	87	97¢	$84	0x6dde87…
10-27 22:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	86	98¢	$84	0x70cd09…
10-27 15:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	86	98¢	$84	0x624b84…
10-27 14:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	87	95¢	$82	0xb6a665…
10-27 13:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	84	96¢	$81	0x9c0b03…
10-27 06:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0xe9513d…
10-27 01:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0x482df5…
10-27 01:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x24f019…
10-27 01:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x020aed…
10-27 01:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	82	98¢	$81	0x9a8f12…
10-27 01:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	81	94¢	$77	0x12f18e…
10-26 22:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0x0ac2d6…
10-26 16:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	80	98¢	$79	0xc2f37f…
10-26 13:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	80	97¢	$78	0xc47057…
10-26 13:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	79	98¢	$77	0x147edf…
10-26 13:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xb40470…
10-26 11:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	79	98¢	$78	0x0bd9b3…
10-26 08:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	79	98¢	$77	0x601ecc…
10-26 07:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	78	96¢	$75	0x5dc9a4…
10-26 06:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0xc6a708…
10-25 23:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	77	98¢	$76	0x922567…
10-25 22:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	76	98¢	$75	0x5d6822…
10-25 22:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x1e0c62…
10-25 21:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	76	97¢	$74	0x31e96c…
10-25 19:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x845a00…
10-25 19:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x6d1c3d…
10-25 17:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	99	91¢	$90	0xe9dfc8…
10-25 16:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	98	96¢	$94	0x301b4f…
10-25 15:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0xd6bc2e…
10-25 15:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x951048…
10-25 14:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	97	98¢	$95	0x3b1cae…
10-25 14:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0xa09d54…
10-25 12:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	97	98¢	$95	0xbfc847…
10-25 11:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	96	98¢	$94	0xb40816…
10-25 09:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	96	98¢	$94	0x839296…
10-25 08:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	94	99¢	$94	0xac8ad8…
10-25 08:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	94	97¢	$91	0xa8f1bb…
10-25 02:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	94	92¢	$86	0xd567d1…
10-25 02:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	93	96¢	$89	0x6c6e50…
10-25 00:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0x35f4d5…
10-24 23:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	90	98¢	$89	0x25f287…
10-24 23:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0xb146f6…
10-24 23:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	91	90¢	$81	0x40d338…
10-24 22:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	88	97¢	$85	0x676877…
10-24 20:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	88	98¢	$86	0xd4c2b2…
10-24 19:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	86	95¢	$81	0x577dd6…
10-24 18:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	86	97¢	$83	0x956fb2…
10-24 14:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	86	93¢	$80	0x823f49…
10-24 14:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	113	97¢	$110	0x177881…
10-24 14:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xd093b8…
10-24 13:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	112	98¢	$109	0x390f13…
10-24 12:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	116	91¢	$106	0x8b7b77…
10-24 07:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	84	98¢	$83	0xf502ea…
10-24 07:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x1f6297…
10-24 06:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0x796ab3…
10-23 22:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0xe09004…
10-23 22:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	107	97¢	$104	0xb5ff66…
10-23 16:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	107	98¢	$105	0x47b413…
10-23 14:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x75661b…
10-23 14:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x0e1680…
10-23 13:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	106	98¢	$104	0xd2fea9…
10-23 11:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0xabfdb4…
10-23 11:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0xc982e4…