Vague-Outrun — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$208

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

1,294

Trades

2,730

lifetime

Volume

$5.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-30

last 09-21 16:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 46% -$167

Other

17% 64% -$56

Tech

0% 100% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 66k on july 11 2026	69	$184	113	113	+0	No	+$9	07-07 08:11
bitcoin above 66k on july 10 2026	25	$152	99	99	+0	No	+$1	07-07 08:08
bitcoin above 66k on july 21 2026	16	$102	77	74	+3	Yes	+$45	07-21 15:07
bitcoin above 68k on july 12 2026	14	$91	48	48	+0	No	+$1	07-07 08:07
bitcoin above 60k on july 9 2026	19	$75	251	251	+0	Yes	-$2	07-07 08:08
bitcoin above 66k on july 12 2026	14	$75	77	77	+0	No	+$0	07-07 08:08
bitcoin above 60k on july 10 2026	15	$57	141	141	+0	Yes	-$1	07-07 08:08
bitcoin above 68k on july 11 2026	9	$44	23	23	+0	No	+$0	07-07 08:07
bitcoin above 58k on july 20 2026	19	$37	192	0	+192	Yes	-$29	07-15 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$34	24	24	+0	Up	+$13	05-31 17:15
bitcoin above 58k on july 21 2026	7	$34	199	0	+199	Yes	-$10	07-15 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$33	24	24	+0	Up	+$14	06-01 10:30
bitcoin above 60k on july 14 2026	5	$32	74	0	+74	Yes	+$2	07-09 12:45
bitcoin above 66k on july 13 2026	9	$31	67	0	+67	No	-$3	07-08 22:45
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 08:25 UTC	1	$30	30	0	+30	Up	+$0	06-23 08:29
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 08:25 UTC	1	$30	30	0	+30	Down	-$30	06-23 08:29
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 06:30 UTC	1	$29	29	0	+29	Up	+$0	06-23 06:34
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 08:25 UTC	1	$29	29	0	+29	Down	+$0	06-23 08:28
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 08:15 UTC	1	$29	29	0	+29	Down	+$1	06-23 08:18
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 06:30 UTC	1	$29	29	0	+29	Up	+$1	06-23 06:33
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 06:25 UTC	1	$29	29	0	+29	Up	+$1	06-23 06:29
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 06:25 UTC	1	$29	29	0	+29	Up	+$0	06-23 06:29
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$28	29	0	+29	Down	+$1	06-23 08:24
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$28	30	0	+30	Down	+$1	06-23 08:24
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 06:20 UTC	1	$28	28	0	+28	Down	+$0	06-23 06:23
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 05:30 UTC	1	$28	28	0	+28	Down	+$0	06-23 05:34
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 15:35 UTC	1	$28	28	0	+28	Down	+$0	06-22 15:39
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 16:00 UTC	1	$28	28	0	+28	Down	+$0	06-22 16:04
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 06:05 UTC	1	$28	28	0	+28	Down	+$0	06-23 06:09
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 22:30 UTC	1	$28	28	0	+28	Down	+$0	06-22 22:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 16:13:20	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 19°C on September 22?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x16d031…
08-30 19:01:21	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 19°C on August 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfe9f25…
08-30 19:01:21	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 18°C on August 31?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x9b5812…
08-30 18:28:46	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 19°C on August 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x73379b…
08-30 18:28:45	Will the lowest temperature in Jinan be 18°C on August 31?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xf81995…
08-22 16:28:40	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 23?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x9ea70a…
08-19 10:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 19?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x78e146…
08-19 10:54:40	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 19?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xf753ea…
08-19 05:41:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 19?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe5e41a…
08-19 05:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 19?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x4dd0b5…
08-19 03:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 19?	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xd8a373…
08-19 02:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x7376f9…
08-16 07:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 16?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x9a82eb…
08-16 07:19:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 16?	No	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0xc733b8…
08-09 06:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x40f07f…
08-09 06:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x9f5b7a…
08-09 05:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 9?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xc761ae…
08-09 05:55:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x6168b3…
08-06 03:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 6?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xf8e5d0…
08-06 02:45:14	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 6?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x5d6875…
08-06 02:30:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x979358…
08-06 02:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x47201c…
08-05 05:59:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 5?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc0cf25…
08-05 05:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 5?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x4d5953…
08-05 03:47:02	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 5?	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x55cb59…
08-05 03:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 5?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x3db3b2…
08-04 05:20:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 4?	No	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xc4f8fc…
08-04 04:20:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 4?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xe04c5b…
07-27 06:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xe925f5…
07-27 06:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x2ab0ae…
07-27 06:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x582545…
07-27 06:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xedc9fe…
07-27 06:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xe4c347…
07-27 06:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x9bc574…
07-27 06:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	7	78¢	$6	0xf28629…
07-27 06:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x42f259…
07-27 04:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 27?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2e9896…
07-27 04:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 27?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0x5f8a44…
07-27 03:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 27?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa8538a…
07-27 03:51:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 27?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa498bb…
07-27 03:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 27?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc99328…
07-27 03:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 27?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0xae6d65…
07-26 09:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xc6514c…
07-26 07:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x769fea…
07-26 06:45:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x17bf39…
07-26 06:18:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x671cb1…
07-26 06:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x28f4f4…
07-26 06:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x78607e…
07-26 05:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xab4a1b…
07-25 08:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb1b04e…
07-25 07:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xa6c932…
07-25 06:23:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xc31714…
07-25 06:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb68b08…
07-25 06:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xf74c8d…
07-25 05:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xee678b…
07-25 03:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 25?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x9f68d9…
07-25 03:19:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xb97e72…
07-24 08:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 24?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x42995e…
07-24 06:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x8f187d…
07-24 06:33:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xeacd42…
07-24 06:32:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x3358af…
07-24 06:30:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4992f4…
07-24 06:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x6bafb6…
07-24 05:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 24?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$10	0x426b93…
07-24 03:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x87f1f4…
07-23 07:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x9ad14f…
07-23 06:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x113a22…
07-23 06:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x887ade…
07-23 06:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xb1a357…
07-23 06:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x5f4b8b…
07-23 05:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x490bfa…
07-23 05:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xd8ce49…
07-22 08:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 22?	No	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x36915b…
07-22 08:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 22?	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x83b8cd…
07-22 06:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0x20483c…
07-22 06:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xe0e6cb…
07-22 06:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x63cdf0…
07-22 05:14:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4e71b7…
07-22 05:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x37a873…
07-22 05:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x939c11…
07-22 03:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 22?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf2dcbc…
07-21 15:07:42	bitcoin above 66k on july 21 2026	Yes	SELL	74	99¢	$74	0x80bd37…
07-21 06:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc5b3fa…
07-21 06:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xaf66dc…
07-21 06:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x631140…
07-21 06:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0xa95747…
07-21 06:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0xf82296…
07-21 05:20:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc5ae30…
07-21 05:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xd5d023…
07-21 05:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xc0ccde…
07-20 10:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x29d6f8…
07-20 10:04:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 20?	No	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x71d768…
07-20 10:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 20?	No	BUY	213	4¢	$8	0x4b4ddf…
07-20 09:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 20?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x52c4a9…
07-20 08:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0x74a576…
07-20 08:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xdc7f5a…
07-20 07:39:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 20?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x786290…
07-20 06:36:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x647cb6…
07-20 06:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x94b7dd…
07-20 05:31:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x0de4c2…