Thick-Framework — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.01K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.7%

Resolved

163

Trades

396

lifetime

Volume

$59.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$149

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 12:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

62% 38% -$1,127

Sports

32% 30% -$5,397

Crypto

4% 53% -$385

Politics

2% 0% -$105

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	4	$3.4K	4,123	4,123	+0	Yes	-$51	06-02 13:02
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$2.3K	2,106	2,106	+0	Yes	-$144	05-30 19:05
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$2.1K	4,816	6,721	-1,905	No	+$261	06-26 00:39
will south africa win the 2026 icc mens t20 world cup	8	$2.0K	3,745	3,745	+0	No	-$101	03-02 19:36
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	5	$1.9K	1,340	1,340	+0	Matteo Arnaldi	+$698	06-01 21:21
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	2	$1.7K	2,361	2,361	+0	No	-$756	06-26 03:00
lal bil elc 2026 02 20 draw	2	$1.4K	1,513	1,513	+0	No	+$501	02-20 21:41
crsou paa mi 2026 01 02	4	$1.4K	1,550	1,550	+0	Paarl Royals	+$133	01-02 18:17
will senegal win the caf africa cup of nations morocco 2025	6	$1.3K	1,043	1,043	+0	Yes	+$742	01-18 22:01
will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	10	$1.3K	3,965	3,965	+0	No	+$30	04-09 21:59
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	5	$1.1K	923	923	+0	Yes	+$429	04-28 20:57
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	1	$1.1K	1,901	0	+1,901	Golden Knights	-$1,140	06-02 13:05
atp alcaraz rublev 2026 02 20	3	$1.1K	603	603	+0	Alcaraz	+$84	02-20 18:46
lol bw su 2026 02 20	2	$1.1K	942	942	+0	Bushido Wildcats	-$125	02-20 19:27
val tl1 gm 2026 03 02	4	$1.0K	969	969	+0	Gentle Mates	-$264	03-02 22:48
atp fils mensik 2026 02 20	3	$972	802	802	+0	Fils	+$18	02-20 19:30
lal bil elc 2026 02 20 bil	2	$964	868	868	+0	Yes	-$26	02-20 20:43
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$895	2,632	2,632	+0	No	-$105	01-26 06:00
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$885	1,676	3,665	-1,988	Yes	-$1,684	05-28 04:37
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$843	3,055	3,055	+0	No	+$37	06-26 00:39
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$818	737	737	+0	No	-$170	05-30 17:31
nhl det nsh 2026 03 02	2	$790	475	475	+0	Red Wings	+$159	03-02 21:47
lol t1a dkc 2026 01 26	2	$755	498	498	+0	T1 Academy	-$34	01-26 08:28
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	7	$754	5,003	5,003	+0	No	-$264	04-12 18:53
nhl buf nj 2026 02 25	4	$688	871	488	+383	Sabres	+$184	02-25 20:16
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$634	888	888	+0	Yes	+$145	04-12 22:57
sea laz com 2026 01 19 com	2	$622	498	498	+0	Yes	+$274	01-19 20:34
will india win the 2026 icc mens t20 world cup	2	$606	713	713	+0	Yes	-$20	02-16 18:20
sea pis bol 2026 03 02 bol	2	$584	649	649	+0	Yes	-$52	03-02 18:30
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	2	$582	909	909	+0	No	-$18	04-28 21:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 12:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xe4b158…
10-30 12:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xa3395b…
10-30 12:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x0509cf…
10-30 12:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd046d4…
10-30 12:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x8f1244…
10-30 12:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x4e2d94…
10-30 12:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xb7e21a…
10-30 12:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x64e528…
10-30 12:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x5ee05d…
10-30 12:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x234caf…
10-30 12:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xc19ecc…
10-30 12:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	182	99¢	$180	0x646d97…
10-30 12:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x874587…
10-30 12:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xc0adf2…
10-30 12:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x04886e…
10-30 12:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x1b358e…
10-30 12:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x504b6f…
10-30 12:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xea1287…
10-30 12:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xaa78b2…
10-30 12:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	117	99¢	$116	0x655c11…
10-30 12:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x633852…
10-30 12:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x3614c3…
10-30 12:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x022a14…
10-30 12:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xed2c94…
10-30 12:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x8ddd7b…
10-30 12:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xe81d4a…
10-30 12:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xa1da63…
10-30 12:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x9873d5…
10-30 12:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x403b0d…
10-30 12:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xfee2b0…
10-30 12:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x6f7ac0…
10-30 12:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x7bd846…
10-30 12:04:48	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu	Xinran Sun	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x35be91…
10-30 11:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x3ef42d…
10-30 11:37:12	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu	Xinran Sun	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x84baf3…
10-26 21:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	86	99¢	$85	0xe37d40…
10-26 20:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xccbab1…
10-26 20:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	39	65¢	$25	0x7fc5da…
10-26 20:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x428ace…
10-26 20:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xd3675c…
10-26 20:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x814e9f…
10-26 20:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x7a14ed…
10-26 20:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xa122b0…
10-26 20:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x3f35cd…
10-26 20:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xfacc39…
10-26 20:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x770ad6…
10-26 20:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x8c36d2…
10-26 20:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	162	100¢	$162	0x144b44…
10-26 20:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x54c856…
10-26 20:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xa7c177…
10-26 20:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x9dbf6e…
10-26 20:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x8d7a20…
10-26 20:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x1c9002…
10-26 20:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x124ab3…
10-26 20:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0xd69c46…
10-26 20:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xf9f0e4…
10-26 20:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xdc1a72…
10-26 20:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xc43a9d…
10-26 20:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xe896f2…
10-26 20:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x454a87…
10-26 20:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x63eec7…
10-26 20:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x8b2ee2…
10-26 20:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x63616b…
10-22 23:35:08	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,436	2¢	$22	0xe2662e…
08-22 19:32:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xbe8d8d…
08-22 19:31:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x986352…
08-22 19:31:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	315	32¢	$100	0xa1c979…
08-22 19:31:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x21206e…
08-22 19:29:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	300	33¢	$100	0x3bdb95…
08-22 19:24:15	Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0x3bf21c…
08-02 17:57:18	mlb stl tor 2026 08 02	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x84c2d1…
06-26 03:01:22	Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	2,256	20¢	$451	0x937e76…
06-26 03:00:44	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	SELL	2,361	20¢	$472	0x792850…
06-26 00:56:14	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	2,361	52¢	$1,228	0xbb2ade…
06-26 00:39:46	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4,647	2¢	$79	0x4a46a7…
06-26 00:39:43	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3,245	6¢	$182	0x584f5b…
06-26 00:39:37	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3,055	14¢	$440	0xafb4c7…
06-26 00:39:34	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3,072	19¢	$581	0xc23fe9…
06-23 01:11:46	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	404	13¢	$53	0xa811e1…
06-23 01:11:35	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,111	5¢	$60	0x4c7887…
06-23 01:07:11	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,072	20¢	$608	0xe6facc…
06-22 23:50:16	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,647	2¢	$93	0x31a08e…
06-22 23:49:29	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,652	13¢	$350	0xb215a4…
06-20 18:54:29	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,134	5¢	$111	0x0ef407…
06-15 18:03:57	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	Belgium	BUY	140	37¢	$52	0x99f173…
06-15 17:58:27	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 goals lamine yamal gte1	No	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0x5e8c19…
06-15 17:31:33	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 goals lamine yamal gte1	No	BUY	54	71¢	$38	0xcdc974…
06-15 17:30:46	Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5	Under	SELL	135	29¢	$39	0x3f794e…
06-15 17:26:30	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	135	26¢	$35	0x951023…
06-15 17:24:12	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	SELL	159	23¢	$37	0x45cd7b…
06-15 16:19:03	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	159	19¢	$30	0xcf4c7d…
06-15 16:17:34	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 3pt5	Spain	SELL	167	19¢	$32	0x795d88…
06-15 11:26:15	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 3pt5	Spain	BUY	167	34¢	$57	0xf1d71c…
06-11 00:27:45	Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	66	21¢	$14	0x3e42e3…
06-11 00:27:22	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0xb34907…
06-11 00:18:40	Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	215	21¢	$45	0x71a458…
06-05 17:16:33	Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	398	25¢	$101	0xb0bf98…
06-03 16:58:57	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	304	37¢	$114	0x143500…
06-03 15:16:52	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	669	69¢	$462	0x696562…
06-02 13:05:01	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	1,901	60¢	$1,140	0x96e9b3…