Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$102

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$116

Open exposure

$347

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-25 21:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Politics

50% 100% +$65

Other

34% 100% +$26

Tech

13% 100% +$10

Crypto

2% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes		+348	$331	100¢	$347	+$16	10-25 21:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	1	$331	348	+348	open	—	10-25 21:58
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	1	$322	331	+331	Yes	+$9	08-28 06:39
iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	1	$281	322	+322	No	+$42	08-16 13:11
over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	8	$269	280	+280	No	+$11	07-25 06:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$262	262	+262	No	+$0	07-05 14:05
Will Ferran Torres be in Spain's Starting 11?	1	$262	262	+262	Yes	+$0	06-15 15:31
iran closes its airspace by june 8	1	$262	262	+262	Yes	+$0	06-08 08:46
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$256	257	+257	Yes	+$1	05-25 04:47
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	1	$256	262	+262	No	+$5	06-05 08:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$247	256	+256	No	+$9	05-22 04:50
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	2	$245	247	+247	No	+$2	05-13 03:46
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	2	$242	245	+245	No	+$3	04-30 03:53
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	2	$136	136	+136	Yes	+$0	07-15 03:56
over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	2	$131	133	+133	Yes	+$3	07-17 11:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$120	122	+122	Yes	+$2	04-05 13:05
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$110	111	+111	Yes	+$1	03-12 03:04
will trump say jesus this week march 8	1	$110	110	+110	Yes	+$0	03-11 13:10
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	1	$109	109	+109	Yes	+$0	03-01 11:11
iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	2	$81	83	+83	Yes	+$2	07-15 03:56
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$63	70	+70	Yes	+$7	01-05 02:07
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$60	60	+60	No	+$0	04-05 13:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$60	60	+60	No	+$0	04-05 13:06
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	1	$54	55	+55	No	+$1	01-29 16:15
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	1	$54	54	+54	No	+$0	01-29 16:15
iran successfully targets shipping on july 13	1	$45	48	+48	No	+$2	07-15 03:54
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$38	38	+38	No	+$0	01-05 02:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 21:58:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	348	95¢	$331	0xdbd324…
08-28 06:39:24	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	331	97¢	$322	0x78b820…
08-16 13:11:27	iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	No	BUY	322	87¢	$281	0xfbc56d…
07-25 06:09:31	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0xd02853…
07-25 05:34:43	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x2ff224…
07-25 05:34:36	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xb50748…
07-25 05:27:10	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0xe4f551…
07-25 05:26:57	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x749b3c…
07-25 05:23:16	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x9f530b…
07-25 05:23:07	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x18527f…
07-25 05:23:00	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xcb7cce…
07-17 11:00:45	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x26ac0b…
07-17 10:48:25	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	33	98¢	$33	0x63fd0c…
07-15 03:56:25	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xe769a5…
07-15 03:56:14	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x9bed4a…
07-15 03:55:50	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$90	0xcc5d34…
07-15 03:54:46	iran successfully targets shipping on july 13	No	BUY	48	95¢	$45	0x6820bb…
07-15 03:54:22	iran successfully targets shipping on july 12	Yes	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x9b837c…
07-05 14:05:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	262	100¢	$262	0xd90a31…
06-15 15:31:30	Will Ferran Torres be in Spain's Starting 11?	Yes	BUY	262	100¢	$262	0x5ab2a6…
06-08 08:46:21	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	262	100¢	$262	0x1dca02…
06-05 08:58:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	262	98¢	$256	0x7d2b3f…
05-25 04:47:24	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	257	100¢	$256	0xda0847…
05-22 04:50:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	256	97¢	$247	0x22b61c…
05-13 03:46:17	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	No	BUY	164	99¢	$162	0xbbb526…
05-13 02:07:10	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	No	BUY	83	99¢	$83	0xa1e6e1…
04-30 03:53:32	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x4704f8…
04-30 03:53:22	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0xa15129…
04-05 13:49:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x724d17…
04-05 13:06:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x3bfae2…
04-05 13:05:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	122	98¢	$120	0x8aa1f5…
03-12 03:04:55	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xc292d8…
03-11 13:10:55	will trump say jesus this week march 8	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x0bd065…
03-01 11:11:51	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x3719b9…
01-29 16:15:48	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xa7c81e…
01-29 16:15:36	will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xa78d3e…
01-05 02:07:03	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	70	90¢	$63	0xae4ce6…
01-05 02:06:49	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x748f48…