Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$470

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

88.1%

Resolved

642

Trades

1,023

lifetime

Volume

$39.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$238

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-02

last 10-27 04:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Other

57% 94% -$428

Crypto

29% 94% -$57

Politics

13% 96% +$9

Tech

1% 100% +$5

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	No		+139	$137	100¢	$139	+$1	10-23 23:05
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+101	$99	98¢	$99	+$0	10-27 04:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?	5	$494	270	270	+0	Yes	-$40	09-14 02:56
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 7?	27	$374	200	200	+0	No	-$22	09-07 10:52
Will anyone say "Bank" 5+ times during President Curtis E7 S1?	5	$345	200	200	+0	No	-$41	09-07 00:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026?	6	$335	181	181	+0	No	-$20	10-15 13:54
will ethereum dip to 2650 on september 27 2026	4	$321	178	177	+0	Yes	-$23	09-28 00:47
Will Patricia Mair win the next Salzgitter mayoral election?	2	$298	301	0	+301	No	+$3	09-13 21:05
will bitcoin dip to 80k on september 19 2026	2	$287	154	154	+0	No	-$19	09-20 02:55
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on September 10?	2	$269	272	0	+272	Yes	+$3	09-10 17:46
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 105-109 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	2	$267	270	0	+270	No	+$3	09-13 23:35
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 23%?	1	$251	253	0	+253	Under	+$3	09-06 21:31
will bitcoin dip to 76k august 24 30 2026	2	$244	170	86	+84	No	-$8	08-30 23:43
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 10?	1	$228	235	0	+235	Yes	+$7	09-10 17:48
nflx up or down on september 25 2026	2	$224	124	124	+0	Down	-$19	09-25 19:15
Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	1	$220	225	0	+225	Yes	+$5	09-07 19:16
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 6?	3	$219	224	0	+224	No	+$4	09-06 11:16
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 8?	4	$207	157	59	+99	Yes	-$6	10-08 16:51
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 9?	4	$204	206	0	+206	No	+$2	09-09 04:42
Spread: Brentford FC (-3.5)	1	$201	205	0	+205	Chelsea FC	+$4	09-18 18:02
Exact Score: Brentford FC 3 - 0 Chelsea FC?	1	$201	205	0	+205	Yes	-$201	09-18 18:02
will bitcoin dip to 78k on september 7 2026	1	$198	200	0	+200	No	+$2	09-08 01:12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 8?	4	$198	200	0	+200	No	+$2	09-08 05:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on September 6?	1	$196	200	0	+200	No	+$4	09-07 01:41
spy closes above 765 on september 4 2026	1	$196	200	0	+200	Yes	+$4	09-04 18:34
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on September 8?	1	$192	200	0	+200	Down	+$8	09-08 18:50
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$190	192	0	+192	Yes	+$2	09-30 11:33
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on September 29?	1	$190	191	0	+191	Down	+$2	09-29 20:05
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on September 25?	10	$185	100	100	+0	No	-$11	09-25 10:32
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in September?	2	$184	186	0	+186	No	+$2	10-14 01:18
Will Andrey Gyurov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	3	$183	118	118	+0	Yes	-$47	10-25 15:14
will ethereum dip to 2600 on september 28 2026	1	$182	186	0	+186	No	+$4	09-29 00:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 04:03:15	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0x195b8d…
10-26 10:59:42	Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0x515b9c…
10-26 10:59:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd21014…
10-25 15:30:05	Will David West win the 2026 Richmond Hill mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x0ca1e6…
10-25 15:29:54	Will David West win the 2026 Richmond Hill mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xbe689a…
10-25 15:29:54	Will David West win the 2026 Richmond Hill mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x5ea07e…
10-25 15:14:08	Will Andrey Gyurov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	SELL	34	58¢	$20	0x57b19e…
10-25 15:14:08	Will Andrey Gyurov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	SELL	83	58¢	$48	0x17db3d…
10-25 02:06:05	Will Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x42dc17…
10-24 13:12:35	Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	No	BUY	81	98¢	$80	0x1bc8a5…
10-24 04:02:45	Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$36	0xfb0092…
10-24 04:02:42	Will Andrey Gyurov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Yes	BUY	118	98¢	$115	0x5dad4f…
10-24 00:25:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xed4e81…
10-23 23:05:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 26?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0xef576e…
10-23 23:05:11	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	No	BUY	139	99¢	$137	0x2c2382…
10-23 04:48:36	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x89bddf…
10-22 17:09:47	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x90b655…
10-22 16:26:20	Will Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x69fc43…
10-22 13:01:23	Will Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x94220a…
10-22 12:59:09	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x949a57…
10-22 08:47:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x5c6fca…
10-22 06:09:16	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 40.0 on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	87	97¢	$84	0x85cdc2…
10-22 05:15:57	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1c8925…
10-22 05:01:03	Will Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x13555a…
10-21 22:45:20	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x230481…
10-21 20:54:59	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $72.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x97c0ec…
10-21 19:34:48	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $72.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x88e3ab…
10-21 18:49:23	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa8f43c…
10-21 18:32:17	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf5cc55…
10-21 17:35:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9633dd…
10-21 12:20:09	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb49523…
10-21 11:03:05	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.0 on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x46c210…
10-21 10:37:27	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.0 on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x679c3d…
10-21 10:28:21	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.0 on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x405b39…
10-21 09:54:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xbdfc7d…
10-21 09:54:18	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7b31fb…
10-21 09:48:41	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.0 on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	98¢	$122	0xcbc609…
10-20 15:46:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3c6e9e…
10-20 15:14:53	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on October 20?	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xba7899…
10-20 15:14:17	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x56805f…
10-20 15:06:03	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 20?	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x8d6b90…
10-20 06:38:01	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xdce15d…
10-20 05:07:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x281a7a…
10-19 18:07:27	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%?	No	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0xf9d1eb…
10-19 18:07:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x975479…
10-18 19:46:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $74,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	145	99¢	$143	0xc05e5a…
10-18 18:05:18	Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0x33f5bb…
10-18 17:11:27	Will "Ice Age: Collision Course" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	129	99¢	$128	0xa7aa9b…
10-18 09:42:27	Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x77aff9…
10-18 09:08:00	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9bcc82…
10-18 06:22:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd3401b…
10-18 06:05:14	Will the price of Solana be above $95 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x23f323…
10-18 05:18:41	Will any other model be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0xc4239f…
10-18 05:18:41	Will any other model be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x3024e6…
10-18 04:16:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $74,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8b9f3b…
10-18 04:11:00	Will "Ice Age: Collision Course" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x004c97…
10-18 02:04:24	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	98¢	$36	0x9f8e0f…
10-17 23:43:00	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	146	98¢	$144	0x7c5447…
10-17 16:42:23	Will any other model be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0xcf1ec9…
10-16 18:03:51	will bitcoin dip to 78k on october 16 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x544d78…
10-16 16:23:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 19?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x73221d…
10-16 13:08:28	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	138	99¢	$137	0xfb3fd8…
10-16 12:38:34	trump approval rating at least 37pt4 on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x1bba27…
10-15 18:03:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x63665b…
10-15 16:08:37	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on October 16?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x374775…
10-15 13:59:50	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $268 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb819c4…
10-15 13:54:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026?	No	SELL	13	87¢	$11	0xe404d4…
10-15 13:54:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026?	No	SELL	68	87¢	$59	0x82c51f…
10-15 13:54:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026?	No	SELL	60	87¢	$52	0x33a90b…
10-15 13:54:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x2cd784…
10-15 13:54:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x25f520…
10-15 11:53:59	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0xff7be2…
10-15 11:53:59	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	81¢	$36	0x883ae7…
10-15 11:53:59	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0x4bb824…
10-15 07:39:01	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	Yes	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0xe9fc22…
10-15 06:03:55	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on October 16?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcb2839…
10-14 23:04:34	xrp above 1pt2 on october 16 2026	Yes	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xc37579…
10-14 17:31:07	trump approval rating at least 37pt0 on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x746510…
10-14 17:29:54	trump approval rating at least 37pt0 on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0x7a1886…
10-14 16:35:58	trump approval rating at least 37pt0 on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xabb16d…
10-14 15:43:22	trump approval rating at least 37pt0 on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0xc5c1e4…
10-14 14:11:27	xrp above 1pt2 on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x76e88a…
10-14 12:50:24	bitcoin above 76k on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa610e5…
10-14 01:46:38	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x16167f…
10-14 01:27:41	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0x994c95…
10-14 01:18:22	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in September?	No	BUY	171	99¢	$170	0xc0df7d…
10-14 01:00:34	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x9542ca…
10-14 00:51:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	181	98¢	$177	0x85b502…
10-14 00:40:13	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in September?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$14	0xcb1fa1…
10-14 00:38:40	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x72b4d4…
10-14 00:28:43	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xa12b16…
10-13 20:11:10	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdde538…
10-13 18:20:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x410b58…
10-13 06:50:50	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	87	98¢	$85	0x67539e…
10-13 05:02:20	Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 15?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3fd456…
10-13 00:08:56	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 13?	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xa48e31…
10-12 21:53:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf56e03…
10-12 12:45:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x3353d8…
10-12 08:38:39	Will Trump say "Transgender" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x6fd93a…
10-12 07:58:01	Will Trump say "Transgender" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0x67d506…