Active-Horseradish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

61.9%

Resolved

Trades

557

lifetime

Volume

$5.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 06-11 03:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 100% +$0

Sports

17% 0% $-0

Other

16% 100% +$0

Politics

8% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No		+17	$9	55¢	$9	+$1	06-04 20:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	24	$202	133	133	+0	open	—	03-20 03:03
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	15	$111	76	68	+8	open	—	03-19 12:23
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	13	$106	55	55	+0	open	—	03-19 19:55
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	15	$92	49	49	+0	open	—	03-16 04:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	10	$90	79	78	+0	Yes	+$0	02-19 16:42
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	10	$82	42	42	+0	open	—	02-19 11:59
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	8	$64	33	33	+0	open	—	03-11 01:27
GTA VI released before June 2026?	8	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	03-04 17:41
bun dor hei 2026 02 01 hei	5	$54	32	26	+6	open	—	02-01 16:24
lal rea ray 2026 02 01 ray	7	$53	41	41	+0	open	—	02-01 13:50
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$48	25	25	+0	No	$-0	03-18 21:58
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	6	$46	25	25	+0	No	+$0	03-03 05:01
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$46	24	24	+0	No	$-0	03-16 11:36
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	7	$42	30	30	+0	open	—	02-20 19:45
will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	3	$40	42	0	+42	open	—	03-14 20:46
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	6	$39	22	22	+0	open	—	02-10 01:55
bitcoin up or down march 5 12am et	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	03-05 05:59
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	5	$36	25	25	+0	open	—	02-27 20:56
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	5	$34	24	24	+0	open	—	02-14 08:02
bitcoin up or down march 5 10am et	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	03-05 15:57
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	4	$31	25	25	+0	open	—	01-29 16:19
bitcoin up or down march 6 6pm et	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	03-07 00:07
bitcoin up or down march 10 11am et	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	03-10 15:59
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	03-17 00:25
bitcoin up or down march 9 3am et	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	03-09 08:02
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	02-25 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET	2	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	06-02 19:52
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 9am et	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	04-20 13:57
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	03-15 10:28
bitcoin up or down march 6 4pm et	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	03-06 22:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 03:21:58	wnba la sea 2026 06 10	Seattle Storm	BUY	8	57¢	$4	0x6db61d…
06-11 02:40:48	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 215pt5	Under	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0x7ebee0…
06-11 01:30:03	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x656e48…
06-11 01:12:49	mlb tex kc 2026 06 10 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	9	71¢	$6	0xa2ca03…
06-11 01:12:48	mlb tex kc 2026 06 10 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xdac5f2…
06-11 00:47:57	mlb min det 2026 06 10 spread away 1pt5	Detroit Tigers	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x1870b4…
06-10 23:18:39	mlb stl nym 2026 06 10	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc7b75f…
06-10 03:17:49	mlb cin sd 2026 06 09	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0x346ed0…
06-09 01:47:36	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xdc385c…
06-09 01:23:07	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x38b3a4…
06-08 09:17:06	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	13	72¢	$9	0xbffb03…
06-08 04:02:22	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xb6a40b…
06-07 21:17:34	mlb wsh ari 2026 06 07 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0x3f3595…
06-07 21:17:25	mlb wsh ari 2026 06 07 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x13f0c4…
06-07 20:47:10	mlb cin stl 2026 06 07 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x0f24cb…
06-07 20:10:30	mlb bal tor 2026 06 07 total 10pt5	Under	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0xc7ade8…
06-07 19:09:31	mlb kc min 2026 06 07 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x0ccd3c…
06-06 02:56:52	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread away 3pt5	Knicks	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x5163ba…
06-06 02:56:48	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread away 1pt5	Knicks	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xa4c6ea…
06-05 19:53:49	mlb sf chc 2026 06 05	San Francisco Giants	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x38b66c…
06-05 02:13:00	mlb lad ari 2026 06 04	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xcd03b7…
06-04 20:36:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0x2cbb16…
06-04 00:49:28	mlb oak chc 2026 06 03	Chicago Cubs	BUY	13	74¢	$9	0x1b7d94…
06-02 19:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x0420f0…
06-02 19:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x4319d9…
06-01 10:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0x08c6c5…
05-31 19:06:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2f029e…
05-31 07:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x44e533…
05-29 21:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x2f1451…
05-29 19:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3a4835…
05-29 02:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0e5a4b…
05-27 01:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x853719…
05-26 05:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xfdae99…
05-22 22:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xbf325e…
05-20 11:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x03cf5d…
05-20 01:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	27	20¢	$5	0xb3fd6f…
05-20 01:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	27	40¢	$11	0xa0df22…
05-19 16:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x11e808…
05-19 03:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x86c39c…
05-18 07:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x6581f2…
05-18 03:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xe4c278…
05-17 22:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe4a301…
05-17 03:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xbede04…
05-17 01:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3cfcd1…
05-16 09:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x90573d…
05-15 22:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4495b1…
05-15 17:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf0fd25…
05-15 10:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2bf8c4…
05-15 08:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1406fb…
05-15 06:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ad2b4…
05-15 04:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa08877…
05-15 02:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xff1a21…
05-14 23:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd1d0f9…
05-14 19:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7b5aa3…
05-14 11:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x395def…
05-13 21:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xcb116b…
04-26 12:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8b3548…
04-26 04:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0xa7c777…
04-26 03:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xbe69a6…
04-25 13:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x1c43ab…
04-25 11:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbfad32…
04-25 11:12:30	Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-04-25?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x8b0330…
04-25 01:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x4702af…
04-24 23:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x9576c7…
04-24 13:55:14	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfc172f…
04-24 03:50:20	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x2589b2…
04-23 20:08:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x7a7c60…
04-23 13:53:26	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x30b183…
04-23 10:50:20	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0d4ffd…
04-23 05:57:14	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xf0599f…
04-23 03:50:26	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7b74da…
04-23 00:56:04	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x117522…
04-22 23:50:18	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc24a1d…
04-22 23:06:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x03d834…
04-22 20:55:22	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x418de7…
04-22 19:55:34	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x56919a…
04-22 16:50:22	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda0440…
04-21 21:50:32	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0x8c6ddb…
04-21 14:57:28	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 10am et	Up	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0xe3bcd0…
04-21 14:50:14	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x622084…
04-21 12:50:14	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x230bcc…
04-21 11:50:20	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x84731d…
04-21 09:50:26	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb338ab…
04-21 03:57:36	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa31c9e…
04-21 02:50:18	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x67c1cc…
04-20 21:50:14	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x243351…
04-20 18:56:00	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb90c67…
04-20 14:55:20	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x5994db…
04-20 13:57:42	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 9am et	Down	SELL	14	58¢	$8	0x543ef3…
04-20 13:55:20	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x347f4c…
04-20 08:54:26	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa01ed1…
04-15 06:57:10	bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdc0484…
04-15 02:50:16	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdf84bc…
04-14 23:52:18	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xb37175…
04-14 22:51:14	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0x0c0c0c…
04-14 16:51:44	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe24612…
04-14 14:52:47	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbf684b…
04-14 10:56:55	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xbe88c2…
04-14 09:50:15	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe9db9a…
04-14 05:50:13	bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xabaee8…