Fat-Confidentiality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$320

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 17:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$40	45	+45	Up	+$5	05-05 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$40	51	+51	Down	+$11	05-05 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$40	42	+42	open	—	05-05 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$40	44	+44	Up	+$4	05-05 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$40	45	+45	Down	+$5	05-04 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$40	43	+43	Up	+$3	05-05 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$40	43	+43	Down	+$3	05-05 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$40	40	+40	Down	+$0	05-05 02:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 17:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x4b9016…
05-05 03:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xa6a26b…
05-05 02:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x828fe5…
05-05 02:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x1a426f…
05-05 02:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0xc72029…
05-05 01:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x2fbb34…
05-05 01:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0x1c6e9a…
05-04 22:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x3a56e8…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	8	$1.27K	37	05-05 17:39
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	8	$770	50	05-05 17:39
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	8	$722	52	05-05 17:39
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	7	$1.51K	16	05-05 17:37
Long-Term-Siege 0xc5d5…6caa	7	$1.24K	20	05-05 03:45
Stiff-Blackberry 0x10c9…e999	7	$636	28	05-05 03:50
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	6	$951	18	05-05 17:37
General-School 0x01ca…200d	5	$2.50K	14	05-05 03:00