Jovial-Gasoline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$143

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

97.5%

Resolved

637

Trades

777

lifetime

Volume

$222.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$286

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-19 15:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Sports

47% 98% -$418

Other

36% 97% +$164

Crypto

9% 100% +$57

Politics

4% 75% +$1

Tech

3% 100% +$53

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No		+10	$9	94¢	$9	+$0	07-06 01:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump say million or billion or trillion 10 times during cnbc interview	2	$4.5K	2,261	2,261	+0	No	+$0	01-22 11:43
will pieter mulier be named the next creative director of versace	1	$3.9K	3,911	0	+3,911	Yes	+$4	02-06 06:27
will anthony davis be traded this season	4	$3.9K	3,907	0	+3,907	Yes	+$4	02-04 21:06
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	3	$3.8K	3,848	0	+3,848	Yes	+$12	01-28 07:03
lol lr gx 2026 01 24	1	$3.7K	3,754	0	+3,754	GIANTX	+$8	01-24 17:05
Trove FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$3.7K	3,730	0	+3,730	No	+$4	01-20 10:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$3.7K	3,729	0	+3,729	Yes	+$22	04-22 00:40
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$3.7K	3,702	0	+3,702	Yes	+$7	03-29 04:18
cs2 wopa futaca 2026 02 18 game2	1	$3.7K	3,683	0	+3,683	WOPA Esport	+$4	02-19 18:04
cbb miss txam 2026 02 17	1	$3.7K	3,679	0	+3,679	Texas A&M Aggies	+$4	02-19 10:39
will the orlando magic have the worst record in the nba	1	$3.7K	3,671	0	+3,671	No	+$4	03-02 16:48
will the los angeles lakers have the worst record in the nba	2	$3.7K	3,667	0	+3,667	No	+$5	02-27 03:50
dota2 lynx navi 2026 01 10 game1	1	$3.6K	3,643	0	+3,643	Team Lynx	+$4	01-10 12:29
atp shepp struff 2026 01 09	1	$3.6K	3,639	0	+3,639	Struff	+$4	01-10 04:59
wta sabalen muchova 2026 01 09	1	$3.6K	3,635	0	+3,635	Sabalenka	+$4	01-10 02:54
will andr ventura win between 20 and 22 of votes in the first round	1	$3.4K	3,407	0	+3,407	No	+$3	01-19 13:52
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	2	$3.4K	3,402	0	+3,402	No	+$3	05-31 12:42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$3.4K	3,431	0	+3,431	Yes	+$45	06-21 06:16
Seeker FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$3.4K	3,387	0	+3,387	Yes	+$7	01-21 17:46
Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?	1	$3.3K	3,332	0	+3,332	Yes	+$7	01-26 11:48
us forces seize another oil ship by january 23 2026	10	$3.2K	3,281	0	+3,281	Yes	+$41	01-15 14:34
ETHGAS FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$3.1K	3,121	0	+3,121	No	+$3	01-22 14:54
nba den cle 2026 01 02 assists craig porter jr 3pt5	2	$3.1K	3,104	0	+3,104	Yes	+$3	01-05 13:32
nba lal dal 2026 01 24 points max christie 14pt5	2	$3.1K	3,104	0	+3,104	Yes	+$3	01-25 03:19
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5	1	$3.1K	3,103	0	+3,103	Yes	+$3	05-29 02:53
will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	6	$3.1K	3,075	0	+3,075	No	+$18	08-19 15:45
nba phi phx 2026 02 07	1	$2.8K	2,810	0	+2,810	76ers	+$3	02-08 04:35
will trump say trumprxgov or trumprxcom or trumprx in january	2	$2.8K	2,775	0	+2,775	Yes	+$3	01-15 17:10
atp choinsk riedi 2026 01 12 set handicap home 1pt5	1	$2.8K	2,770	0	+2,770	Riedi	+$3	01-13 11:28
will ryanair say elon or musk during earnings call	2	$2.7K	2,682	0	+2,682	Yes	+$8	01-26 14:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-19 15:45:13	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	No	BUY	950	99¢	$944	0xefb1de…
08-19 15:42:36	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	No	BUY	792	99¢	$787	0xaabf54…
08-19 15:41:04	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	No	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0x015a6e…
08-19 15:38:22	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	No	BUY	833	99¢	$828	0xccee85…
08-19 15:38:21	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	No	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0x7b2dc0…
08-19 15:37:36	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	No	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0xdcfbaa…
07-22 05:32:00	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xc52c0b…
07-22 01:28:13	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xf19937…
07-22 00:43:46	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xd8f137…
07-22 00:42:15	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	415	100¢	$413	0x4ff5f4…
07-09 09:46:53	Will James Harden play for the LA Clippers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x0cf696…
07-07 18:51:31	Will LeBron's next contract average over $50M per year?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x352eeb…
07-06 01:06:29	Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x647803…
07-05 17:04:44	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50729d…
07-05 17:04:35	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7b39b6…
07-05 16:58:10	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1adb8d…
07-05 02:09:34	Will LeBron's next contract average over $50M per year?	No	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0x334be9…
07-04 22:34:25	Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7dba38…
07-04 20:52:13	Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb298c0…
07-04 15:52:55	Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xc197b9…
07-04 15:17:53	Will Austin Reaves play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x69deb2…
07-04 15:13:26	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0xdb7ad5…
07-04 12:12:35	Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 4?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd394f3…
07-04 06:43:05	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x3f4afe…
07-04 06:33:13	Will Mitchell Robinson play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x056522…
07-04 06:29:22	Will Jonathan Kuminga play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0x609c1b…
07-04 06:14:46	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x7b4c3b…
07-04 05:59:53	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf88fe7…
07-04 05:48:55	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0xeb2252…
07-04 05:47:46	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x81b34f…
07-04 05:29:38	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xd34144…
07-04 05:23:05	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x673967…
07-04 04:53:20	Will Nikola Vucevic play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x2b7def…
07-04 04:51:13	will shai gilgeous alexander be on the cover of nba 2k27	No	BUY	7	99¢	$6	0x6630a0…
07-04 04:48:35	Will Robert Williams III play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb1aaec…
07-04 04:48:23	Will Robert Williams III play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	77	97¢	$75	0xa7664d…
07-04 04:47:28	Will Anfernee Simons play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x825536…
07-04 04:46:59	will there be 5 trades in the first round of the 2026 nba draft 20260623155829181	Yes	BUY	199	100¢	$198	0xb6daf0…
07-04 04:43:41	Will Kelly Oubre Jr. play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$29	0x6c5b9b…
07-04 04:43:31	Will Kelly Oubre Jr. play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x3754d9…
07-04 04:43:22	Will Kelly Oubre Jr. play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0x4d54b1…
07-04 04:41:34	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$8	0x2aed36…
07-04 04:39:08	Will Jaylen Brown play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x947ff8…
07-04 04:33:55	Will Deandre Ayton play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5dae4c…
07-04 04:33:13	Will Deandre Ayton play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa10595…
07-04 04:32:47	Will Deandre Ayton play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xee3283…
07-04 04:31:38	Will Austin Reaves play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0xc49b0f…
07-04 04:30:08	Will Marcus Smart play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0xd5fa56…
07-04 04:27:29	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec4758…
07-04 04:22:17	Will Marcus Smart play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0x1a730a…
07-04 04:22:04	Will Marcus Smart play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x8d5659…
07-04 04:21:10	Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x5640d3…
07-04 04:19:41	Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x53e9bb…
07-04 04:18:05	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	198	99¢	$197	0x866931…
07-04 04:17:31	Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xc73545…
06-21 06:16:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,426	99¢	$3,382	0x8ebd03…
06-16 11:44:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x33ded2…
06-15 18:10:12	Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x57cc10…
05-31 12:42:04	Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	No	BUY	3,393	100¢	$3,389	0xe30837…
05-31 12:41:18	Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd04097…
05-31 12:40:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x4fc57e…
05-29 02:53:44	Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5	Yes	BUY	3,103	100¢	$3,100	0x3c70c6…
05-29 02:51:59	Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5	No	BUY	260	100¢	$260	0x1d32d1…
05-29 02:51:36	Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x7ce06c…
05-01 04:25:16	Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xf4f36e…
05-01 04:20:38	Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 9.5	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x04829d…
05-01 04:20:22	Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x824cff…
05-01 04:20:06	Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xb008f0…
05-01 04:19:38	Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5	No	BUY	156	93¢	$145	0x273e5e…
05-01 04:19:04	Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x4dcd7a…
05-01 04:18:22	Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5	Yes	BUY	206	94¢	$194	0x4a288d…
05-01 04:17:54	Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5	No	BUY	162	92¢	$150	0xda466a…
05-01 04:15:38	Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4524d6…
05-01 04:13:22	Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x50015c…
04-30 13:16:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$118	0x4cac7a…
04-30 13:15:16	Major US official out by April 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x778093…
04-30 13:14:08	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x48cf36…
04-30 09:20:28	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xa4afbd…
04-22 00:40:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,729	99¢	$3,706	0x542153…
03-29 04:18:52	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	3,702	100¢	$3,695	0x5a6077…
03-28 07:05:29	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x7a8000…
03-28 07:04:53	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xc9ed63…
03-26 04:45:03	Will the Chicago Bulls win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	189	100¢	$189	0xddad7c…
03-20 15:57:49	Will the Chicago Bulls win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x73539c…
03-19 04:18:43	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	1,586	100¢	$1,583	0x9e921c…
03-18 12:03:21	will the houston rockets finish with the best record in the nba	No	BUY	420	100¢	$419	0xde721e…
03-18 12:02:45	will the houston rockets finish with the best record in the nba	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x7fe8cc…
03-14 05:49:49	will the houston rockets finish with the best record in the nba	No	BUY	569	100¢	$567	0x724d4c…
03-14 05:44:35	will the denver nuggets finish with the best record in the nba	No	BUY	999	100¢	$997	0x8aa70c…
03-07 03:53:03	will the portland trail blazers have the worst record in the nba	No	BUY	1,699	100¢	$1,698	0x621cab…
03-07 03:52:45	will the portland trail blazers have the worst record in the nba	No	BUY	433	100¢	$432	0x49af6e…
03-07 03:52:17	will the los angeles clippers have the worst record in the nba	No	BUY	1,565	100¢	$1,563	0x091999…
03-02 16:48:31	will the orlando magic have the worst record in the nba	No	BUY	3,671	100¢	$3,667	0xe4ac5f…
02-27 03:50:06	will the los angeles lakers have the worst record in the nba	No	BUY	2,167	100¢	$2,165	0xe9b84b…
02-27 03:49:14	will the philadelphia 76ers have the worst record in the nba	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x638eac…
02-27 03:48:58	will the los angeles lakers have the worst record in the nba	No	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,497	0xb875c6…
02-19 18:04:26	cs2 wopa futaca 2026 02 18 game2	WOPA Esport	BUY	3,683	100¢	$3,679	0x5dc522…
02-19 10:39:50	cbb miss txam 2026 02 17	Texas A&M Aggies	BUY	3,679	100¢	$3,675	0xb0e330…
02-18 17:07:28	Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x3edbbe…
02-17 16:28:03	will nepal reach the semifinals of the 2026 icc mens t20 world cup	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x8e59a8…