Ambitious-Optimal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$300

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.0%

Resolved

1,909

Trades

4,566

lifetime

Volume

$28.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 09-24 08:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 43% -$319

Other

2% 51% +$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 23:30 UTC	12	$342	320	318	+2	Up	+$224	02-11 23:43
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 07:00 UTC	18	$263	180	180	+0	Down	+$83	02-02 07:15
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 07:15 UTC	11	$210	148	148	+0	Down	+$71	02-03 07:30
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$196	120	120	+0	open	—	09-22 16:29
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 08:30 UTC	7	$177	105	105	+0	Down	+$31	07-04 08:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 17:50 UTC	2	$160	112	110	+2	Up	+$62	02-23 17:56
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 11:15 UTC	3	$151	212	162	+50	Up	+$123	02-16 11:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 04:00 UTC	4	$136	100	98	+2	Down	+$33	02-02 04:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 14:00 UTC	29	$125	1,619	0	+1,619	Down	-$125	01-26 14:10
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	3	$125	86	86	+0	Up	+$30	05-02 16:14
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 15:45 UTC	5	$118	122	121	+0	Up	+$42	07-06 15:50
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$116	148	148	+0	Down	+$42	05-27 15:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 17:40 UTC	75	$108	866	820	+45	Up	+$7	02-23 17:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 15:15 UTC	2	$107	100	98	+2	Up	+$1	02-10 15:15
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-18 04:45 UTC	3	$107	81	81	+0	Up	+$53	06-18 04:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 17:45 UTC	2	$107	196	0	+196	Down	-$107	02-23 17:48
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 16:15 UTC	10	$106	80	79	+1	Down	+$35	02-17 16:28
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 04:30 UTC	4	$105	77	76	+1	Down	+$36	03-05 04:33
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 19:30 UTC	10	$105	121	101	+21	Up	+$28	02-14 20:16
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 08:45 UTC	8	$105	70	70	+0	Up	+$28	02-19 08:58
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 19:45 UTC	13	$100	191	191	+0	Down	-$1	02-18 19:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 07:15 UTC	4	$99	111	109	+2	Down	-$1	02-03 07:15
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 08:15 UTC	9	$99	95	70	+25	Down	+$32	02-14 08:29
XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	12	$98	71	71	+0	Up	+$40	09-23 05:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 10:55 UTC	2	$97	74	73	+1	Down	+$48	03-05 11:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 08:00 UTC	7	$96	75	75	+0	Down	+$40	02-08 08:11
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 14:15 UTC	6	$95	68	68	+1	Up	+$36	02-04 14:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 19:00 UTC	1	$93	207	0	+207	Down	-$93	01-26 19:08
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 13:00 UTC	8	$93	65	64	+1	Up	+$30	02-12 13:11
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 17:15 UTC	16	$92	69	69	+0	Down	+$42	07-05 17:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 08:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	113	52¢	$59	0x4236ab…
09-24 08:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0xac6bd0…
09-24 08:26:32	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0x182e96…
09-24 08:26:00	XRP Up or Down - September 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7438d1…
09-24 08:25:59	XRP Up or Down - September 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa3fbe8…
09-24 08:25:59	XRP Up or Down - September 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6de47b…
09-24 08:25:59	XRP Up or Down - September 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x527ac6…
09-24 08:24:29	Solana Up or Down - September 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xb75bcc…
09-24 08:24:17	Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xdc8edf…
09-24 08:22:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xd4634f…
09-24 08:20:56	Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x1c6e51…
09-24 08:20:11	XRP Up or Down - September 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xd97631…
09-24 08:19:47	Solana Up or Down - September 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x737771…
09-24 08:15:09	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0f09a8…
09-24 08:10:17	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc59a29…
09-24 07:07:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x65922f…
09-24 05:09:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x0192e6…
09-24 05:08:54	BNB Up or Down - September 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xe4f887…
09-24 05:08:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x1409f4…
09-24 05:08:27	Solana Up or Down - September 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x2b60d6…
09-24 04:12:03	BNB Up or Down - September 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xc38d56…
09-24 04:11:51	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdd9396…
09-24 04:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe14940…
09-24 04:06:15	BNB Up or Down - September 24, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x19ee04…
09-24 03:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	32	57¢	$18	0x360dcf…
09-24 03:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xacd0b7…
09-24 02:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x70f070…
09-24 02:54:13	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xf51041…
09-24 02:50:38	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xf6f453…
09-24 02:50:38	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x35e794…
09-24 02:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xca8820…
09-24 02:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x189b1b…
09-23 18:58:44	BNB Up or Down - September 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xde2d63…
09-23 18:57:44	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa8d093…
09-23 18:55:22	BNB Up or Down - September 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9641d2…
09-23 18:55:22	BNB Up or Down - September 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x915e03…
09-23 18:55:05	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xf32d4e…
09-23 18:20:07	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xac3e87…
09-23 18:14:49	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3f9577…
09-23 16:41:15	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x259102…
09-23 08:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0xaaec3c…
09-23 08:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x8b1914…
09-23 08:03:41	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xfd64d4…
09-23 08:03:10	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x14f67b…
09-23 07:57:25	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa28ae0…
09-23 07:54:34	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5cc9b2…
09-23 06:25:19	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x356e22…
09-23 06:11:44	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xcaa6af…
09-23 06:11:44	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x50f856…
09-23 06:11:43	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x18abc2…
09-23 05:56:11	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x299d46…
09-23 05:29:44	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xf02133…
09-23 05:29:44	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xefa269…
09-23 05:29:44	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xe62694…
09-23 05:29:44	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xe15d74…
09-23 05:29:44	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xd30936…
09-23 05:29:44	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x8e4846…
09-23 05:29:44	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x17b6d2…
09-23 05:29:43	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x94445d…
09-23 05:29:43	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x4d12c6…
09-23 05:29:43	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x02cab9…
09-23 05:27:31	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0x69a010…
09-23 05:25:22	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xd3235a…
09-23 05:21:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x750d84…
09-23 05:20:14	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xa7cd25…
09-23 05:18:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xd985aa…
09-23 05:18:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb16503…
09-23 05:18:20	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xf6b929…
09-23 03:48:59	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x66db1d…
09-23 03:46:20	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x079e0a…
09-23 03:43:40	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe92778…
09-23 03:41:14	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x9e8b2e…
09-23 03:38:38	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2326ce…
09-23 03:33:50	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x6a76ba…
09-23 02:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x77653b…
09-23 02:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x71f459…
09-23 02:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	17	42¢	$7	0xc09e76…
09-23 02:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0xb01eae…
09-23 02:40:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0xab1a59…
09-22 17:30:40	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x3a9180…
09-22 17:18:01	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x74985d…
09-22 16:58:28	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x2bbb16…
09-22 16:29:51	Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	80¢	$96	0x36b23f…
09-22 15:19:55	Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x7f9028…
09-22 13:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0x988af3…
09-22 13:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x94887d…
09-22 13:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x3deb3f…
09-22 13:17:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0x01e73a…
09-22 13:12:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xee222d…
09-22 12:54:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xe084ee…
09-22 12:50:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x433640…
09-22 12:48:30	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x5d7f34…
09-22 12:48:03	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x100ee9…
09-22 12:46:46	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9b39ea…
09-22 10:03:49	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x5e1ecc…
09-22 09:44:10	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x7f2c9c…
09-22 09:42:51	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf2013b…
09-22 09:36:39	BNB Up or Down - September 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x29af96…
09-22 08:18:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x8a1240…
09-22 08:16:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xff97fc…