Ambitious-Optimal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

70.8%

Resolved

Trades

4,096

lifetime

Volume

$25.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-27 15:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 37% $-41

Other

1% 75% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up		-9	$-0	4¢	$-0	$-0	05-02 15:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1770852600	12	$342	320	318	+2	open	—	02-11 23:43
xrp updown 15m 1770015600	18	$263	180	180	+0	open	—	02-02 07:15
sol updown 15m 1770102900	11	$210	148	148	+0	open	—	02-03 07:30
btc updown 5m 1771869000	2	$160	112	110	+2	open	—	02-23 17:56
eth updown 15m 1771240500	3	$151	212	162	+50	open	—	02-16 11:29
btc updown 15m 1770004800	4	$136	100	98	+2	open	—	02-02 04:04
btc updown 15m 1769436000	29	$125	1,619	0	+1,619	open	—	01-26 14:10
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	3	$125	86	86	+0	open	—	05-02 16:14
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$116	148	148	+0	open	—	05-27 15:22
btc updown 5m 1771868400	75	$108	866	820	+45	open	—	02-23 17:44
btc updown 15m 1770736500	2	$107	100	98	+2	open	—	02-10 15:15
btc updown 5m 1771868700	2	$107	196	0	+196	open	—	02-23 17:48
xrp updown 15m 1771344900	10	$106	80	79	+1	open	—	02-17 16:28
eth updown 5m 1772685000	4	$105	77	76	+1	open	—	03-05 04:33
xrp updown 15m 1771097400	10	$105	121	101	+21	open	—	02-14 20:16
eth updown 15m 1771490700	8	$105	70	70	+0	open	—	02-19 08:58
xrp updown 15m 1771443900	13	$100	191	191	+0	open	—	02-18 19:59
btc updown 15m 1770102900	4	$99	111	109	+2	open	—	02-03 07:15
sol updown 15m 1771056900	9	$99	95	70	+25	open	—	02-14 08:29
btc updown 5m 1772708100	2	$97	74	73	+1	open	—	03-05 11:00
btc updown 15m 1770537600	7	$96	75	75	+0	open	—	02-08 08:11
sol updown 15m 1770214500	6	$95	68	68	+1	open	—	02-04 14:30
btc updown 15m 1769454000	1	$93	207	0	+207	open	—	01-26 19:08
eth updown 15m 1770901200	8	$93	65	64	+1	open	—	02-12 13:11
btc updown 15m 1770633900	11	$90	64	64	+0	open	—	02-09 10:56
eth updown 15m 1770127200	2	$88	60	60	+0	open	—	02-03 14:13
sol updown 5m 1772616900	4	$85	63	63	+1	open	—	03-04 09:39
eth updown 5m 1772179800	6	$84	71	71	+1	open	—	02-27 08:14
xrp updown 15m 1771479000	12	$83	57	56	+1	open	—	02-19 05:44
btc updown 15m 1770518700	7	$83	65	64	+1	open	—	02-08 02:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 15:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	89	54¢	$48	0x0a79b9…
05-27 15:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x422263…
05-27 15:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x5f3e47…
05-27 15:22:19	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	148	53¢	$79	0x6046da…
05-27 15:20:33	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	148	25¢	$37	0x1bd631…
05-27 15:10:52	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	75	37¢	$28	0xf97824…
05-27 15:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe9516c…
05-27 15:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xcf1218…
05-27 15:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb7f292…
05-27 15:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6237ae…
05-27 15:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x286a97…
05-27 15:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x0b6517…
05-27 15:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	41	70¢	$28	0x1c86e2…
05-27 15:00:36	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x20d535…
05-27 12:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	18	96¢	$18	0xa6ea9a…
05-27 12:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	34	96¢	$32	0x1a0e5b…
05-27 11:58:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	34	25¢	$8	0xe02345…
05-27 11:56:56	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x385972…
05-27 11:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x9a29b4…
05-26 13:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	119	26¢	$30	0xc855ae…
05-26 13:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	119	10¢	$12	0x61312e…
05-26 11:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xdd81f3…
05-26 11:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	31	5¢	$2	0xefd5b5…
05-26 11:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	44	22¢	$10	0xd9abc9…
05-26 10:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	26	52¢	$14	0xaab140…
05-26 09:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xf24bad…
05-26 09:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x898899…
05-26 08:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x0b94ab…
05-26 08:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xf1c471…
05-26 07:34:38	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xfbc919…
05-26 07:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xb0e067…
05-26 01:56:36	BNB Up or Down - May 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xc6b39f…
05-06 04:36:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	95	29¢	$28	0x361396…
05-06 04:31:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x15c5ed…
05-06 04:12:44	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	124	26¢	$32	0x9974b1…
05-06 03:52:44	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	40¢	$3	0xf124dc…
05-06 03:52:18	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0x723bc2…
05-06 03:40:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xe693bb…
05-06 03:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0x61e554…
05-06 03:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0xb45e2a…
05-06 02:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xeb62a4…
05-06 02:51:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x2bbacd…
05-06 02:50:54	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xc9859b…
05-06 02:41:46	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x754909…
05-06 02:38:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x4014e1…
05-06 02:36:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xe0d91f…
05-06 02:29:50	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x8cacfe…
05-06 02:28:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x9dbba4…
05-06 02:26:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0x683f4b…
05-06 02:22:50	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x445259…
05-06 02:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x59dd93…
05-06 02:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xdfe6fd…
05-06 02:20:40	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x7a88aa…
05-06 02:14:48	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xb6b3fa…
05-06 02:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x73f292…
05-06 02:12:18	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xf6b4ab…
05-06 02:11:20	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x61846a…
05-06 01:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x6c9836…
05-06 01:47:44	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0x315be4…
05-06 01:46:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x4d0d20…
05-06 01:43:10	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x5da201…
05-05 17:07:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xe37eb4…
05-05 17:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0x61791a…
05-05 16:50:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	12¢	$2	0xa8d5ea…
05-05 16:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0x743419…
05-05 16:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x2e0232…
05-05 16:44:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x6692e9…
05-05 13:28:20	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x57a0b9…
05-05 13:16:56	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	59¢	$19	0x7f1ba0…
05-05 13:02:32	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0x211c19…
05-05 13:02:12	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x54e9fb…
05-05 13:01:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9206ef…
05-05 13:01:36	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xdbf3fd…
05-05 13:01:36	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xb0b309…
05-05 13:01:36	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x32f2d9…
05-05 13:01:34	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0x9c4ad4…
05-05 13:01:34	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x931dc9…
05-05 13:00:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x6db10f…
05-05 12:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xbf1024…
05-05 12:56:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x0888cb…
05-05 12:49:30	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x7371ee…
05-05 12:45:02	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x559782…
05-05 12:42:00	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb87d73…
05-05 12:29:32	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x31d135…
05-05 12:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$4	0x88b7b6…
05-05 12:22:18	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0xda56f6…
05-05 12:21:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x4428ea…
05-05 12:14:46	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x511447…
05-05 12:12:26	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0x02f9c1…
05-05 12:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xbf81a5…
05-05 11:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x08b026…
05-05 11:41:14	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xed4212…
05-05 11:41:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xfda066…
05-05 11:39:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x4e4bf8…
05-05 11:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xab87eb…
05-05 08:21:14	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0xb32726…
05-05 08:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xea686f…
05-05 08:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x01b5de…
05-05 08:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x57d20f…
05-05 08:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	23	60¢	$14	0x618969…