Calm-Stiletto — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.9%

Resolved

132

Trades

432

lifetime

Volume

$771

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-27

last 09-20 21:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

99% 27% -$40

Sports

1% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 1?	7	$24	40	40	+0	No	+$3	06-01 12:51
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 6?	4	$22	30	30	+0	No	+$8	06-06 13:59
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 28?	5	$17	90	90	+0	No	-$17	05-28 14:43
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 29?	5	$17	53	0	+53	Yes	+$36	05-29 12:10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 7?	8	$15	60	0	+60	No	-$15	06-06 16:27
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 6?	8	$14	40	0	+40	No	-$14	06-06 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 4?	1	$14	20	0	+20	Yes	+$6	06-04 11:27
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 5?	6	$13	40	0	+40	No	-$13	06-04 14:10
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026	4	$12	170	0	+170	No	-$12	09-20 21:40
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 31?	5	$12	60	0	+60	No	-$12	05-31 13:46
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 8?	6	$12	60	0	+60	No	-$12	06-08 19:16
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 7?	12	$12	106	0	+106	No	-$12	06-07 18:47
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 6?	4	$11	52	0	+52	No	-$11	06-05 18:16
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 7?	5	$11	60	0	+60	No	-$11	06-06 21:39
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 1?	4	$10	30	0	+30	No	-$10	05-30 16:51
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on May 31?	6	$10	66	0	+66	Yes	+$56	05-30 11:29
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 5?	2	$10	70	0	+70	No	-$10	06-04 20:53
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 2?	1	$10	50	0	+50	No	-$10	06-02 11:21
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 5?	5	$9	20	0	+20	No	-$9	06-05 11:19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 31?	4	$9	30	30	+0	No	-$9	05-31 10:18
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 29?	4	$9	40	0	+40	Yes	+$31	05-29 11:41
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 29?	3	$9	25	0	+25	Yes	+$16	05-27 15:18
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 31?	8	$9	95	79	+15	No	-$7	05-31 13:39
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 5?	4	$9	20	0	+20	Yes	+$11	06-04 22:31
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 30?	6	$9	30	30	+0	No	-$7	05-30 17:30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?	2	$9	10	10	+0	No	-$8	06-06 12:48
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on June 1?	1	$8	10	0	+10	Yes	+$2	05-30 17:11
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 4?	2	$8	50	50	+0	No	-$1	06-03 10:21
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 3?	5	$8	20	20	+0	No	$0	06-03 11:24
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 5?	1	$8	30	0	+30	Yes	+$22	06-03 10:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 21:40:19	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026	Yes	BUY	65	7¢	$4	0xfadd03…
09-20 21:11:16	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xba5d6d…
09-20 21:10:23	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$1	0xed4e45…
09-20 21:00:04	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	21¢	$7	0x86a151…
09-20 20:56:41	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026	Yes	BUY	81	8¢	$6	0xb970ba…
06-08 19:47:52	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	24	0¢	$0	0xe2b48d…
06-08 19:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on June 8?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xa2ba3b…
06-08 19:16:01	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x1d2d87…
06-08 12:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x11dbc9…
06-08 12:37:03	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xf6648b…
06-08 12:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x08fda3…
06-08 12:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xa6256a…
06-08 12:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc75854…
06-08 12:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x3405b0…
06-08 01:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x7751b9…
06-08 00:58:16	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x74a32e…
06-07 18:56:01	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xca7109…
06-07 18:56:00	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcc0724…
06-07 18:47:01	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0xc9d7a5…
06-07 18:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xa37ac4…
06-07 18:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x0315e1…
06-07 18:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x84a59f…
06-07 18:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0xb76c14…
06-07 18:07:01	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xa34b6e…
06-07 16:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	2	29¢	$0	0x04c797…
06-07 15:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xfc4af1…
06-07 14:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0xb10919…
06-07 14:40:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x9154cd…
06-07 14:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0xa89c8e…
06-07 14:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	29	2¢	$1	0x63c08e…
06-07 14:29:00	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x29289a…
06-07 14:28:16	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x646eaa…
06-07 14:18:04	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xe52896…
06-07 14:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0xf2863a…
06-07 14:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x8bddf0…
06-07 14:17:48	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x66ee2e…
06-07 14:17:45	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x9d6f7d…
06-07 14:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x68d674…
06-07 14:17:40	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x60bf91…
06-07 14:16:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xc1afbc…
06-07 13:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xe278e3…
06-07 13:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xdbbc85…
06-07 13:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x66e6c8…
06-07 13:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x19ab9b…
06-07 13:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x05ff41…
06-07 13:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	66	0¢	$0	0x1794de…
06-07 13:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe77ffc…
06-07 13:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x761077…
06-07 13:08:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x3d6e76…
06-07 12:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x94ad6d…
06-07 12:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc77f0e…
06-07 12:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd1208f…
06-07 11:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x14d278…
06-07 11:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xc4ba3a…
06-07 11:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x3f990f…
06-07 11:56:31	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x7cc153…
06-07 11:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x4052a4…
06-07 02:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xb26a38…
06-07 02:03:42	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xd44dbd…
06-07 00:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x4e026d…
06-07 00:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x18fc53…
06-06 23:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x7775f9…
06-06 23:51:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xb58655…
06-06 23:35:33	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xbc0fec…
06-06 23:35:31	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x811276…
06-06 23:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0x683ba3…
06-06 23:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x0432f1…
06-06 23:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xfa60ca…
06-06 23:14:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x994085…
06-06 22:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xe9eaaf…
06-06 22:29:58	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$5	0x8499d1…
06-06 22:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x5a4c46…
06-06 22:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x248dfe…
06-06 22:18:22	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xbd3495…
06-06 22:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x282ea8…
06-06 22:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xb7700b…
06-06 22:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x6960da…
06-06 21:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4a999b…
06-06 21:42:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xea7d06…
06-06 21:42:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x7f2d07…
06-06 21:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x167c8b…
06-06 21:39:21	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0x589d6c…
06-06 21:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xe76dd5…
06-06 21:33:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$3	0x6aa6eb…
06-06 21:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x87640e…
06-06 21:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x2acac0…
06-06 21:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x60e1ca…
06-06 21:29:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xeb791b…
06-06 21:27:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0xf6923c…
06-06 21:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xab416a…
06-06 21:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x831440…
06-06 21:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x35108b…
06-06 21:07:07	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x05e6c0…
06-06 21:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x13dd74…
06-06 21:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x445a29…
06-06 21:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0x4645c9…
06-06 19:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x2b6336…
06-06 18:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xe661a5…
06-06 18:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0xdfa9f2…
06-06 18:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x89b4da…