Willing-Objective — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$104

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.6%

Resolved

149

Trades

1,657

lifetime

Volume

$6.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 10-19 17:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 145 days

Categories

Other

100% 42% -$104

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
msft up or down on march 6 2026	116	$434	646	335	+311	Down	+$55	03-06 18:29
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 4?	45	$262	1,818	227	+1,592	Down	-$15	05-04 20:46
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 27?	33	$229	200	158	+42	Up	-$18	04-27 19:42
msft up or down on march 17 2026	35	$181	306	164	+142	Down	+$14	03-17 19:51
msft up or down on april 10 2026	29	$174	199	170	+29	Down	-$2	04-10 15:33
msft up or down on april 16 2026	16	$143	105	86	+19	Up	-$6	04-16 19:33
msft up or down on march 23 2026	25	$141	305	95	+210	Up	-$8	03-23 19:46
msft up or down on march 19 2026	33	$136	160	120	+40	Down	-$25	03-19 16:58
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 18?	33	$128	199	138	+61	Up	+$0	05-18 19:42
msft up or down on april 13 2026	16	$119	140	92	+47	Up	+$27	04-13 14:23
msft up or down on march 20 2026	21	$114	121	111	+9	Down	+$11	03-20 20:03
msft up or down on june 18 2026	26	$109	129	90	+40	Up	-$10	06-18 19:50
msft up or down on april 1 2026	20	$107	189	101	+87	Down	+$1	04-01 19:27
msft up or down on july 31 2026	17	$96	206	201	+5	Up	-$2	07-31 19:37
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 6?	22	$96	188	99	+88	Up	-$4	05-06 18:22
msft up or down on march 12 2026	40	$94	2,062	62	+2,000	Down	-$24	03-12 19:54
msft up or down on june 22 2026	21	$91	96	94	+2	Down	-$14	06-22 14:30
msft up or down on april 8 2026	15	$87	122	56	+66	Up	-$19	04-08 19:50
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 28?	24	$86	113	108	+5	Up	+$10	05-28 14:01
msft up or down on april 17 2026	15	$84	88	79	+9	Up	+$7	04-17 19:30
msft up or down on april 9 2026	20	$76	298	55	+243	Down	+$2	04-09 19:32
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 5?	18	$73	249	94	+155	Down	+$2	05-05 19:49
msft up or down on april 15 2026	8	$71	51	45	+5	Up	+$3	04-15 20:08
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 8?	19	$69	130	128	+2	Down	-$3	05-08 19:16
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 11?	16	$68	68	56	+12	Down	-$2	05-11 19:45
msft up or down on july 29 2026	13	$63	153	93	+61	Down	+$102	07-29 19:49
msft up or down on august 5 2026	13	$63	107	70	+38	Down	-$4	08-05 19:21
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 26?	17	$61	199	197	+2	Down	-$5	05-26 19:46
msft up or down on august 18 2026	13	$61	78	47	+31	Up	-$21	08-18 18:19
msft up or down on august 13 2026	18	$60	64	64	+0	Up	+$3	08-13 19:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 17:53:30	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x93dd2d…
10-19 14:17:51	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x17328c…
10-19 14:13:27	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x91f4ad…
10-19 13:40:45	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x908511…
10-19 13:33:17	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xaa11e3…
10-19 12:35:59	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0b2d6c…
10-19 08:32:29	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x19d46d…
10-16 18:30:06	msft up or down on october 16 2026	Up	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xb28d5a…
10-16 14:25:58	msft up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x80c4e7…
10-16 08:53:00	msft up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x3f01a7…
10-15 19:41:29	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4cf29a…
10-15 19:35:56	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xe042dc…
10-15 19:20:07	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xf530a2…
10-15 15:46:01	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xfde5c5…
10-15 13:38:56	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x0ca2b4…
10-14 22:40:06	msft up or down on october 15 2026	Up	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x6e6a48…
10-14 18:59:45	msft up or down on october 14 2026	Up	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xf88aab…
10-14 14:12:39	msft up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0x6a481f…
10-14 10:47:16	msft up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x611591…
10-13 19:47:00	msft up or down on october 13 2026	Down	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xa052ce…
10-13 19:25:18	msft up or down on october 13 2026	Down	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x6bd692…
10-13 14:44:43	msft up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x092961…
10-13 13:31:26	msft up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x8d1555…
10-13 10:36:04	msft up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa307f0…
10-13 10:35:20	msft up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa826ce…
10-12 22:59:17	msft up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa3224a…
10-12 19:24:30	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 12?	Down	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xac3cd9…
10-12 14:27:39	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 12?	Down	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x9e5f1a…
10-12 13:37:35	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 12?	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xb37001…
10-12 12:59:57	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 12?	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x376e18…
10-12 08:08:11	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 12?	Down	BUY	7	37¢	$2	0x66f152…
10-09 18:50:14	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x413774…
10-09 09:14:54	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	11	23¢	$3	0xb0795f…
10-08 19:43:03	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x05770c…
10-08 12:29:09	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 8?	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x4a84ae…
10-08 12:09:12	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7fdcdc…
10-07 19:49:44	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xa67acb…
10-07 19:22:07	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0xdccdae…
10-07 18:30:01	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4b9509…
10-07 17:39:33	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x064af6…
10-07 15:21:44	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x9d671a…
10-07 10:44:24	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xe3db5f…
10-07 08:29:14	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xb2d240…
10-06 19:25:20	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 6?	Down	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xe15b8f…
10-06 09:54:51	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 6?	Down	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xb84f29…
10-05 13:34:28	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 5?	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x563581…
10-05 13:32:28	msft up or down on october 5 2026	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x5ddfc2…
10-05 11:02:14	msft up or down on october 5 2026	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x57f65f…
10-05 08:17:23	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0x15e92d…
10-02 19:48:14	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0xead1f7…
10-02 17:21:17	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xfe98e7…
10-02 14:11:30	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd4e65c…
10-02 13:35:39	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x6d12ce…
10-01 23:40:24	msft up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x457541…
10-01 15:04:24	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	SELL	6	41¢	$3	0x08956e…
10-01 14:24:06	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x22edab…
10-01 13:40:17	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x8b546b…
10-01 13:32:15	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x41cbd1…
10-01 10:39:39	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x023df7…
09-30 21:27:18	msft up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x34cb49…
09-30 19:17:50	msft up or down on september 30 2026	Down	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0x7dc20e…
09-30 19:17:38	msft up or down on september 30 2026	Down	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0xac9086…
09-30 14:00:33	msft up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	24	7¢	$2	0x7b6b6b…
09-30 14:00:12	msft up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x042b9d…
09-30 13:49:38	msft up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x84ab2e…
09-30 13:29:05	msft up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	7	37¢	$2	0x512a94…
09-30 08:42:18	msft up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x25bde6…
09-29 17:10:33	msft up or down on september 29 2026	Up	BUY	9	17¢	$1	0x8d2ade…
09-29 14:27:38	msft up or down on september 29 2026	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x106de8…
09-29 13:41:18	msft up or down on september 29 2026	Up	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xaf6716…
09-29 13:36:54	msft up or down on september 29 2026	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xfaa071…
09-28 20:44:26	msft up or down on september 29 2026	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6e8ce8…
09-28 14:01:41	msft up or down on september 28 2026	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x40a225…
09-28 14:00:41	msft up or down on september 28 2026	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xee5b8a…
09-28 13:19:44	msft up or down on september 28 2026	Up	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x00a9f1…
09-28 09:15:50	msft up or down on september 28 2026	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x45047f…
09-25 15:31:05	msft up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xc81354…
09-25 13:49:21	msft up or down on september 25 2026	Down	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xd8ffca…
09-25 13:42:29	msft up or down on september 25 2026	Down	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xdfe8b7…
09-25 13:33:59	msft up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	18	9¢	$2	0x4d559f…
09-25 13:29:03	msft up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9086ac…
09-25 13:28:17	msft up or down on september 25 2026	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x1aadb6…
09-25 13:25:14	msft up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xeef81c…
09-24 10:05:23	msft up or down on september 24 2026	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x9282b4…
09-23 19:39:28	msft up or down on september 23 2026	Down	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0xae8823…
09-23 18:44:58	msft up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0x88c611…
09-23 17:18:50	msft up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x98f123…
09-23 15:51:41	msft up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x061d56…
09-23 14:19:36	msft up or down on september 23 2026	Up	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0xb21257…
09-23 13:46:08	msft up or down on september 23 2026	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xde6515…
09-23 13:39:17	msft up or down on september 23 2026	Down	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0xffcf6e…
09-23 13:31:16	msft up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x2708dc…
09-23 13:30:26	msft up or down on september 23 2026	Down	SELL	12	27¢	$3	0x9e915b…
09-22 21:51:22	msft up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x237e5e…
09-22 21:48:55	msft up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0xe55241…
09-22 21:22:25	msft up or down on september 23 2026	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xfb89c1…
09-22 14:44:57	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 22?	Up	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x78f44e…
09-22 14:13:18	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 22?	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x04eb7e…
09-22 13:36:24	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 22?	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xebb2a6…
09-22 13:32:42	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 22?	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xe07ee9…