Outlandish-Meteor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$96

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.1%

Resolved

1,236

Trades

1,410

lifetime

Volume

$6.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 09-23 19:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 83% -$16

Other

22% 54% -$74

Sports

3% 68% -$10

Politics

1% 62% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime?	2	$41	24	24	+0	Yes	+$7	06-18 20:06
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 17?	3	$40	22	22	+0	No	+$0	06-17 15:35
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 21:40 UTC	1	$31	32	0	+32	Up	+$0	03-14 21:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 21:15 UTC	1	$31	31	0	+31	Up	+$0	03-14 21:19
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	3	$31	43	8	+35	No	+$10	03-17 12:47
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 21:10 UTC	1	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	03-14 21:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 20:45 UTC	1	$28	29	0	+29	Down	+$1	03-14 20:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 03:55 UTC	1	$27	28	0	+28	Down	+$1	03-13 03:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:45 UTC	1	$25	27	0	+27	Up	+$2	03-14 19:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:20 UTC	1	$24	25	0	+25	Up	+$0	03-14 19:24
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 60 79	2	$24	91	91	+0	No	$0	03-17 23:26
fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	1	$24	30	0	+30	Over	-$24	06-18 20:07
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2	2	$24	32	32	+0	NRG	+$2	05-30 01:47
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 21:20 UTC	2	$23	25	25	+0	Up	-$22	03-13 21:24
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 18?	2	$23	13	13	+0	No	+$3	06-18 18:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 01:20 UTC	1	$23	24	0	+24	Down	+$1	03-13 01:24
aapl close above 250 on march 18 2026	3	$23	37	15	+22	No	+$10	03-18 18:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 00:40 UTC	1	$22	22	0	+22	Down	+$0	03-13 00:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 20:25 UTC	1	$22	23	0	+23	Up	+$1	03-14 20:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 18:10 UTC	1	$22	26	0	+26	Up	+$5	03-13 18:14
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	6	$22	21	21	+0	Team Heretics	-$4	05-10 18:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 03:30 UTC	1	$21	22	0	+22	Up	+$0	03-13 03:34
2026 us open top20 rory mcilroy	2	$21	13	13	+0	No	+$1	06-19 21:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 16:50 UTC	1	$21	22	0	+22	Up	+$0	03-13 16:53
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	2	$21	27	27	+0	Pittsburgh Pirates	+$1	05-30 01:22
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$21	52	0	+52	No	-$21	07-18 01:55
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 17:50 UTC	1	$21	22	0	+22	Up	+$1	03-13 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 00:35 UTC	1	$21	22	0	+22	Down	+$1	03-13 00:38
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 7?	2	$21	14	14	+0	No	-$2	06-07 02:19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 7?	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$2	06-07 12:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 19:06:22	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd1bc45…
09-23 17:56:44	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x2abe86…
09-23 17:46:17	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x36b321…
09-23 14:42:32	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xee2b38…
09-23 14:37:08	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1233d1…
09-23 14:29:19	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xa907ae…
09-23 11:51:56	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xfd3c96…
09-23 11:36:32	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xd56009…
09-23 10:22:34	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x41f726…
09-23 10:06:41	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xe7e8ef…
09-23 09:01:49	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-23 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xf3758c…
09-23 08:21:19	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb14bc9…
09-23 07:56:44	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xaa2f70…
09-23 07:51:41	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x0f196d…
09-23 07:46:32	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x986373…
09-23 07:36:07	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9b18cc…
09-23 06:46:25	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x98b37e…
09-23 06:41:19	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc68a13…
09-23 04:26:32	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3410a6…
09-23 03:31:37	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xc99a64…
09-23 02:31:44	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xff71ce…
09-23 02:01:13	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xde7476…
09-23 01:52:23	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x86f05c…
09-23 00:38:59	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6f9ac4…
09-23 00:21:47	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xd55c94…
09-22 22:51:35	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x69e007…
09-21 08:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6f894b…
09-21 02:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd05afe…
09-21 01:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x5d4a32…
09-21 00:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x287c8f…
09-21 00:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x208b88…
09-21 00:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9540d9…
09-20 21:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x21f513…
09-20 17:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xbf4ac3…
09-20 15:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc705d5…
09-20 10:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb34b50…
09-20 06:46:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc84059…
09-20 05:22:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x8f8265…
09-20 02:50:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x375956…
09-20 00:37:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf1d166…
09-19 16:36:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf97767…
09-19 14:37:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x2e9c4c…
09-19 11:11:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xb3f50a…
09-19 09:36:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1eef6a…
09-19 09:21:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-19 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x8f51da…
09-19 00:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0xbbed1d…
09-18 20:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe571c2…
09-18 20:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x3cc475…
09-18 20:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xe4d8a6…
09-18 20:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0x6f8e3f…
09-18 20:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x94630a…
09-18 20:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	42¢	$5	0xe18d33…
09-18 19:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x259d4f…
09-18 19:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x551af0…
09-18 18:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x38d076…
09-18 16:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x0db3ea…
09-18 15:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x4002c8…
09-18 15:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x9b912c…
09-18 15:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	28¢	$4	0xf77566…
09-18 12:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x54d6a1…
09-18 12:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x47b20e…
09-18 12:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xd659e1…
09-18 11:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xc40f45…
09-18 10:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xf4e1bb…
09-18 10:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x817242…
09-18 10:06:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x8f6664…
09-18 09:20:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x40eca0…
09-18 08:16:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x1465a8…
09-18 05:09:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x6a16a2…
09-18 04:51:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x410bce…
09-18 04:22:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xa07b94…
08-06 04:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x2ce687…
08-06 04:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x4a2c6c…
08-06 04:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 6?	No	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x92d55d…
08-06 04:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x5e2378…
08-06 00:36:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xb801ff…
08-06 00:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	No	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xe38bae…
08-06 00:29:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x581ecb…
08-05 10:03:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x614071…
08-05 10:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xeee80a…
08-05 09:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x230ae8…
08-05 09:03:17	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x289b0b…
08-05 09:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0xa3dda4…
08-05 09:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0xa9bfc0…
08-05 09:02:44	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5?	No	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x218e1c…
07-29 22:14:53	will amzn dip to 200 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdd845f…
07-29 04:50:33	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $208 in July?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x645e37…
07-29 04:50:21	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $420 in July?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xf1b5d9…
07-29 04:50:18	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in July?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x08d809…
07-29 03:32:44	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $56 Week of July 27 2026?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x31183c…
07-29 03:16:42	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $114 Week of July 27 2026?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xfa16c6…
07-29 00:53:13	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 29?	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x7f3926…
07-18 01:55:18	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	52	40¢	$21	0xdaabaa…
07-16 11:24:31	will pltr reach 138 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0x17459d…
07-15 22:31:43	will coin dip to 142 50 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xbb1d82…
07-15 22:31:41	will pltr reach 141 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x633451…
07-14 22:51:25	will meta dip to 610 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x9acc1d…
07-14 22:50:05	will pltr dip to 120 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xff8ad9…
07-14 22:49:41	will meta reach 720 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x9ae0fb…
07-14 22:49:41	will meta dip to 630 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x0c883e…