Improbable-Public — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

336

Trades

352

lifetime

Volume

$7.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 08-02 09:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 126 days

Categories

Other

100% 99% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 9 2026 21c	2	$79	81	+81	No	+$1	03-09 03:21
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 13 2026 19c	2	$60	60	+60	No	+$1	03-13 00:34
highest temperature in warsaw on march 28 2026 11c	2	$60	60	+60	No	+$1	03-27 23:39
highest temperature in miami on march 17 2026 66 67f	2	$60	60	+60	No	+$1	03-17 01:17
highest temperature in singapore on march 15 2026 28c	2	$60	60	+60	No	+$1	03-14 10:11
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 4 2026 37c	2	$60	60	+60	No	+$0	03-04 05:02
highest temperature in chicago on march 9 2026 64 65f	2	$50	50	+50	No	+$1	03-09 15:13
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 16 2026 23corhigher	2	$50	50	+50	No	+$1	03-15 22:54
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 14 2026 22c	2	$50	50	+50	No	+$1	03-13 13:36
highest temperature in seoul on february 27 2026 9c	1	$50	50	+50	No	+$0	02-26 15:15
highest temperature in sao paulo on february 27 2026 27corhigher	1	$50	50	+50	No	+$0	02-27 04:55
highest temperature in ankara on february 27 2026 7corhigher	1	$49	50	+50	No	+$1	02-27 08:32
highest temperature in london on february 28 2026 13c	1	$49	50	+50	No	+$1	02-28 01:43
highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 19 2026 37corhigher	2	$40	40	+40	No	+$0	04-18 07:55
highest temperature in ankara on march 1 2026 6c	1	$40	40	+40	No	+$0	03-01 08:37
highest temperature in singapore on march 23 2026 36corhigher	1	$40	40	+40	No	+$0	03-22 07:21
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 26 2026 14c	1	$40	40	+40	No	+$0	03-25 17:28
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 28 2026 32c	1	$40	40	+40	No	+$0	03-28 16:36
highest temperature in miami on march 5 2026 76 77f	1	$40	40	+40	No	+$0	03-05 11:52
highest temperature in miami on march 21 2026 84 85f	1	$40	40	+40	No	+$0	03-21 16:17
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 26 2026 27c	1	$40	40	+40	No	+$0	03-26 13:21
highest temperature in london on march 26 2026 12c	1	$40	40	+40	No	+$0	03-26 13:27
highest temperature in miami on march 27 2026 76 77f	1	$40	40	+40	No	+$0	03-26 21:55
highest temperature in miami on march 24 2026 76 77f	1	$40	40	+40	No	+$0	03-23 20:39
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 28?	2	$40	40	+40	No	+$0	06-27 23:46
highest temperature in miami on march 1 2026 86 87f	1	$40	40	+40	No	+$0	03-01 14:52
highest temperature in miami on march 3 2026 86 87f	1	$40	40	+40	No	+$1	03-03 05:05
highest temperature in nyc on february 26 2026 48forhigher	2	$40	40	+40	No	+$1	02-26 15:57
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 26?	2	$37	37	+37	No	+$0	04-26 07:53
highest temperature in atlanta on march 2 2026 62 63f	2	$36	36	+36	No	+$0	03-02 14:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 09:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on August 2?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5dd10a…
08-01 16:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 102-103°F on August 1?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf4b56d…
08-01 10:10:44	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 1?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$18	0x568d07…
07-30 14:54:38	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on July 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x02362a…
07-29 09:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 30?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x3fb4bc…
07-28 02:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 28?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x412cd9…
07-27 14:50:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x004795…
07-27 09:24:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on July 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf21b21…
07-27 09:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x539bbd…
07-26 17:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 26?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb129a8…
07-26 00:59:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 26?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x026b48…
07-26 00:50:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 26?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6e90e4…
07-23 17:33:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 24?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd49273…
07-23 07:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 23?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xcda30f…
07-23 01:50:37	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 23?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb68aa3…
07-18 23:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 19?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x94b790…
07-18 23:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 19?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfde561…
07-18 03:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 18?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x224363…
07-17 11:43:57	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3b950f…
07-17 06:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 17?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe77bf2…
07-16 03:59:07	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C or below on July 16?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x07c8e5…
07-16 02:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 16?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x867712…
07-14 19:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 14?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xafc650…
07-14 09:20:35	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 15?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xea5efa…
07-13 00:59:38	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 12°C or below on July 13?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd72a92…
07-11 07:18:56	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 63°F or below on July 11?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc7b8a7…
07-09 22:14:20	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 96°F or higher on July 10?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xcc230d…
07-09 04:26:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C or higher on July 9?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4f07b7…
07-08 13:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 9?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x543f14…
07-08 02:53:04	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on July 8?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xab308a…
07-07 00:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 7?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x24cd4e…
07-05 20:28:22	Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on July 6?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf8e640…
07-05 06:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 5?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3db6e1…
07-05 00:58:53	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on July 5?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x4745b9…
07-04 12:36:50	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on July 4?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x449fd6…
07-03 03:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on July 3?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x261fa8…
07-02 00:17:19	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on July 1?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xe9cb38…
07-02 00:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 2?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0fecb5…
06-30 20:42:37	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on July 1?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd6c99f…
06-30 19:32:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 1?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x23aa25…
06-30 00:39:01	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or below on June 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0d1490…
06-29 22:25:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe6accc…
06-27 23:46:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 28?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa84e04…
06-27 23:36:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 28?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xde7503…
06-27 04:19:44	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on June 27?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x7a338a…
06-26 23:49:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 27?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfb8886…
06-25 15:50:11	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on June 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x796ed0…
06-25 15:20:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C or higher on June 26?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb73c79…
06-25 02:18:22	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or below on June 25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4d0674…
06-25 02:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 25?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x88884a…
06-23 12:24:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 23?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x936c0e…
06-22 22:39:59	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 23?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2a67b7…
06-20 17:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 20?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x510ce0…
06-20 03:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 20?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa1cf40…
06-18 22:28:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 19?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa6b19b…
06-17 12:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 17?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb4695d…
06-16 22:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on June 17?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4890d4…
06-16 08:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on June 16?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x387314…
06-15 07:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 15?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xad816f…
06-15 05:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 15?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc4e97d…
06-13 22:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 36°C or higher on June 14?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xad85fb…
06-12 13:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 13?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4c3c3f…
06-12 11:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 12?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x750b1d…
06-11 13:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on June 11?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe9c836…
06-11 10:31:00	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 11?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x52a4ca…
06-08 21:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 9?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x8b9a0d…
06-07 13:32:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 7?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x98e1ff…
06-06 04:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 94°F or higher on June 6?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb805e2…
06-05 02:52:19	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 5?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x134c57…
06-05 02:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 5?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc7cc07…
06-03 18:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 3?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x170b67…
06-03 13:19:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 3?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x28d311…
06-03 05:28:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 3?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcf2260…
06-02 03:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 2?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x777312…
06-01 11:39:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 1?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xac7a20…
05-31 09:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 31?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x12ec27…
05-27 22:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x023d0c…
05-27 17:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 28?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x263cea…
05-24 02:43:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 24?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x926109…
05-23 08:32:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 23?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x10faf2…
05-22 19:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 23?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x953983…
05-21 04:16:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 21?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfb7921…
05-20 22:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on May 21?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb5910d…
05-15 18:20:38	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on May 16?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0b598f…
05-14 09:49:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C or higher on May 14?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x214716…
05-12 20:42:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on May 12?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x006b26…
05-12 20:06:26	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 12?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1bee66…
05-12 03:28:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on May 12?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6a92bf…
05-11 16:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on May 12?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf81b1e…
05-10 22:09:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 11?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa3243a…
05-09 13:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on May 10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc08605…
05-09 13:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on May 9?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0x5073f3…
05-08 18:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 8?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x967ce7…
05-08 07:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 84°F or higher on May 8?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5cee29…
05-07 23:45:52	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on May 8?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4c03d5…
05-07 23:45:49	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on May 8?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7f94f2…
05-06 18:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 7?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x53474e…
05-05 19:54:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on May 5?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xeaf07d…
05-05 08:26:24	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 5?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6116cc…
05-04 08:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 88°F or higher on May 4?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8347de…