Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

42.5%

Resolved

Trades

314

lifetime

Volume

$573

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-10-01

last 11-03 01:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

31% 50% -$11

Politics

27% 30% -$12

Crypto

22% 57% +$0

Sports

20% 60% +$7

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Yes	+5	$4	84¢	$4	+$1	11-02 10:32
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	+2	$2	100¢	$2	+$0	10-14 18:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+0	$0	10¢	$0	$0	10-13 11:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	2	$39	143	143	+0	open	—	10-02 12:50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	28	$36	112	103	+8	Yes	-$4	10-12 22:25
Magic vs. Cavaliers	3	$22	39	30	+9	Cavaliers	-$4	10-11 23:41
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	4	$21	14	14	+0	open	—	10-11 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2PM ET	5	$20	26	0	+26	Down	-$5	10-01 18:52
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	17	$16	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	10-13 18:50
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	5	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	11-02 10:27
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 15 2026	10	$14	52	52	+0	No	$0	10-14 18:10
Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 44.5	6	$14	17	17	+0	Over	$0	10-02 02:58
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	7	$13	194	194	+0	Yes	-$2	10-12 13:09
Israel vs. Kosovo: Both Teams to Score	2	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$2	10-01 21:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	5	$11	20	0	+20	Up	+$3	10-01 19:08
Denmark vs. Portugal: 1st Half O/U 3.5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Under	+$0	10-01 21:21
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	27	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	$0	10-12 02:24
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	8	$10	14	14	+0	open	—	10-16 23:33
Will United States win on 2026-10-06?	1	$10	13	0	+13	Yes	+$3	10-07 01:17
Nets vs. Hornets	1	$10	10	0	+10	Nets	+$0	10-07 00:54
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696	5	$8	24	24	+0	No	$0	10-14 14:50
Falcons vs. Saints	2	$8	17	0	+17	Falcons	+$9	10-05 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	4	$8	14	0	+14	Up	+$6	10-01 18:35
Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	5	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	11-02 10:21
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	3	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	10-11 01:39
Ethereum Up or Down on October 2?	3	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	10-01 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$7	6	3	+3	Up	+$2	10-01 18:15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	5	$6	21	21	+0	Yes	$0	10-11 20:50
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	4	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	11-02 10:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	1	$6	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	10-19 16:36
Paris curfew by October 19?	4	$6	8	4	+4	Yes	-$1	10-19 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$5	13	0	+13	Down	-$3	10-01 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$5	11	0	+11	Up	-$1	10-01 18:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 01:42:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x3e34fb…
11-02 10:32:16	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x9df124…
11-02 10:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8c1003…
11-02 10:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x526b7c…
11-02 10:27:46	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x6b1f64…
11-02 10:26:03	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x8f93fb…
11-02 10:25:33	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xd78b40…
11-02 10:24:52	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x761587…
11-02 10:23:52	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xe1680c…
11-02 10:23:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0xec7159…
11-02 10:23:00	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	No	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0xf253be…
11-02 10:22:18	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x860abc…
11-02 10:21:24	Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xe79384…
11-02 04:43:39	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf0652b…
11-02 03:48:54	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x4c63cb…
11-02 02:52:01	Eagles vs. Commanders	Commanders	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x3923f8…
11-02 02:29:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x2d09fb…
11-01 20:04:36	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	Yes	SELL	16	3¢	$1	0xfec6b2…
11-01 08:00:04	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xa154cd…
11-01 07:52:00	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xe7de4a…
10-30 23:22:45	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7ba243…
10-30 23:02:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x47d4bd…
10-29 17:17:32	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x0d5569…
10-24 20:05:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe224de…
10-24 17:01:39	Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x42188f…
10-24 16:15:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x039300…
10-24 10:02:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	47¢	$0	0xb280d6…
10-24 10:02:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	47¢	$0	0x0ab79f…
10-23 00:28:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x93af78…
10-22 21:20:38	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x013732…
10-22 21:17:47	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x8899fd…
10-21 01:08:00	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0xc6968b…
10-21 01:07:50	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0xea08a8…
10-21 01:03:03	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x443f91…
10-21 01:02:57	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x3d3a4a…
10-20 12:39:39	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x3a0390…
10-20 07:06:35	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x3598ff…
10-20 04:19:14	Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x7304cd…
10-20 04:07:45	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xa02651…
10-19 17:12:33	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xd5e53d…
10-19 17:11:24	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x800df2…
10-19 17:08:08	Paris curfew by October 24?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x025415…
10-19 17:02:24	Paris curfew by October 19?	No	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x29ba55…
10-19 16:54:08	Paris curfew by October 19?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa61ccc…
10-19 16:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x49d7ae…
10-19 16:33:42	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x5ac7ae…
10-19 16:32:51	Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x27fdf9…
10-19 16:32:02	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xb8de52…
10-19 16:31:15	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x4a2d83…
10-19 15:59:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0x5d95e6…
10-19 15:56:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x946d5a…
10-19 11:19:14	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x3ba42a…
10-19 11:19:11	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xde0ef3…
10-19 11:06:33	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x52100b…
10-19 11:06:29	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x613659…
10-19 10:53:56	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x53a280…
10-18 17:28:05	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xc9228c…
10-16 23:33:05	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x4576af…
10-16 23:32:39	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xde105a…
10-16 23:32:27	Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	No	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0xb8c222…
10-14 18:25:33	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x74c251…
10-14 18:10:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 15 2026	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x7a9b25…
10-14 17:56:18	will coreweave announce bankruptcy by december 31 2029	No	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x26a678…
10-14 17:56:13	will coreweave announce bankruptcy by december 31 2028	No	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x87eebe…
10-14 14:50:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x505e2c…
10-14 09:43:14	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xc77cd2…
10-14 09:00:32	Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?	No	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x0005c8…
10-13 20:48:15	katie zacharia out as press secretary by december 31	No	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x0e00f9…
10-13 19:00:24	katie zacharia out as press secretary by december 31	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xb14b21…
10-13 18:50:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x0a956e…
10-13 11:54:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0xf7889f…
10-13 10:39:50	Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?	No	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0xb49560…
10-13 08:23:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x35e2bc…
10-13 03:09:45	Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe3e49c…
10-13 03:06:39	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x9cd265…
10-13 03:06:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xb26393…
10-12 22:47:51	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x19e42c…
10-12 22:25:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x68c2f7…
10-12 22:08:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x69a002…
10-12 22:05:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xe440d2…
10-12 22:05:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xc4dbe5…
10-12 21:55:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xe0d23e…
10-12 21:46:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xd7b447…
10-12 21:32:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xa645a3…
10-12 20:36:35	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	SELL	28	1¢	$0	0x6f4e97…
10-12 20:15:39	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0x8f9704…
10-12 20:00:45	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$1	0x6e2cec…
10-12 19:58:53	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x041c7c…
10-12 19:58:12	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x06d4e5…
10-12 17:58:56	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x112418…
10-12 17:55:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x90a306…
10-12 17:55:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	SELL	69	5¢	$3	0xd5ea07…
10-12 14:39:29	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x52d099…
10-12 13:09:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	No	SELL	190	1¢	$2	0x518f7f…
10-12 06:50:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	No	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0xe08d56…
10-12 05:20:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	No	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x97c4c7…
10-12 04:06:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xd1014a…
10-12 04:05:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0x9b46e8…
10-12 02:35:59	Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x5e4ff7…
10-12 02:35:15	Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x593242…