Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.9%

Resolved

Trades

169

lifetime

Volume

$616

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-26 23:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

91% 44% -$6

Tech

6% 100% +$7

Pop-Culture

3% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
euroleague paris monaco 2026 01 15	2	$57	48	48	+0	Monaco	+$2	01-11 16:18
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?	2	$53	28	28	+0	Yes	+$2	01-11 15:34
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 140 164	2	$53	37	37	+0	No	-$7	01-12 13:12
Will Okta (OKTA) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$41	30	30	+0	Yes	+$18	08-26 20:12
will airbnb say international during earnings call 20260803163357339	4	$28	20	20	+0	Yes	+$12	08-06 21:54
will the iphone 18 pro cost at least 1200 20260623232159230	2	$18	13	13	+0	No	+$3	07-29 17:18
Will Abbott Laboratories (ABT) Q2 comparable sales growth be above 4%-6%?	3	$18	14	14	+0	Yes	+$4	07-16 11:30
Will Workday (WDAY) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	+$3	08-27 20:01
will carnival say dock during earnings call september 29	3	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	+$3	09-29 21:04
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	4	$14	20	20	+0	open	—	09-16 19:57
will micron say nvidia during earnings call september 30	2	$13	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	09-30 20:31
will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	4	$13	10	10	+0	No	+$3	08-07 16:35
Will Docusign say "LLM" during earnings call?	2	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	+$8	09-03 22:31
will airbnb say domestic during earnings call 20260803163357341	6	$9	20	20	+0	No	-$7	08-06 21:57
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in June?	2	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	06-23 14:59
Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #1 US song this week?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$2	10-15 15:10
Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	2	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	10-22 17:07
Will "Other Mommy" score at least 22 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$2	10-11 17:01
Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q3 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) <2%?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$2	10-19 14:58
will lam research lrcx q1 total revenue be above 20261008120025000 8pt5b	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$2	10-21 20:05
will lam research lrcx q1 total revenue be above 20261008120025000 8pt4b	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$2	10-21 20:05
Will Blackstone (BX) Q3 total assets under management be above $1.39T?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$2	10-22 10:55
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$2	10-15 15:39
will godzilla minus zero score at least 92 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261109	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	10-22 04:11
will bank of america say zelle during earnings call october 14	2	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	10-14 12:49
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 23, 2026?	2	$7	5	5	+0	No	+$2	10-22 18:56
Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #1 US song this week?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	10-24 03:52
payx quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 24 2026 1pt31	3	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	06-24 05:45
Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 74 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	10-17 17:18
Will Nike (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$6	8	8	+0	Yes	+$2	09-28 18:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:42:32	Will GTA VI break the 24-hour sales record?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8188d7…
10-26 21:48:53	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22.5M and $24M?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xc492e8…
10-25 19:38:30	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $18M and $19.5M?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf60cfd…
10-25 05:59:36	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22.5M and $24M?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x8902c1…
10-24 10:35:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x628461…
10-24 10:32:59	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xda6871…
10-24 03:52:44	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x544939…
10-23 21:41:11	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x458d39…
10-23 21:39:21	housewife tate mcrae 1 spotify song in the us this week october 30	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7d1004…
10-23 21:34:00	will verizon say 5g during earnings call october 26	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd630b9…
10-23 04:19:21	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xdba559…
10-22 21:03:59	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x1d5c61…
10-22 19:09:27	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x8741c7…
10-22 18:56:06	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x7d6bdf…
10-22 17:07:45	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x35515b…
10-22 17:02:12	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb2f7c9…
10-22 10:55:44	Will Blackstone (BX) Q3 total assets under management be above $1.39T?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x7f5424…
10-22 04:11:48	Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xb4cea1…
10-21 20:05:05	Will Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 total revenue be above $8.4B?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xd0d26a…
10-21 20:05:05	Will Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 total revenue be above $8.5B?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x21da1c…
10-20 08:29:04	Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x65379b…
10-20 08:09:19	Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x1b9117…
10-19 14:58:56	Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q3 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) <2%?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x9a1523…
10-18 17:30:30	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x50f2da…
10-18 08:27:12	Will "How to Write a Song About You" from Power Ballad be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x319ea5…
10-18 01:00:56	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x32a1e2…
10-18 00:59:51	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x4ccde2…
10-17 17:18:00	Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 74 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x708db8…
10-16 16:33:28	will by any means from by any means be nominated for best original song at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8fbb16…
10-16 16:16:58	Procter & Gamble (PG) Q1 organic sales growth 3.5%+?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0abcbc…
10-16 00:52:00	Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q3 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) <2%?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x92b215…
10-15 20:01:04	Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0xba7c6e…
10-15 15:39:56	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xae57b7…
10-15 15:10:47	Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #1 US song this week?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x19f69d…
10-15 15:09:53	Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 74 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb51fc7…
10-15 14:17:11	Will Blackstone (BX) Q3 total assets under management be above $1.39T?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x77d60c…
10-15 13:49:37	Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q3 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 6% to 8%?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x75a65d…
10-15 11:42:31	Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #1 US song this week?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4ba5b1…
10-15 04:14:50	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x877692…
10-14 12:49:24	will bank of america say zelle during earnings call october 14	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x9edd67…
10-14 11:25:20	ms quarterly earnings gaap eps 10 14 2026 3pt17	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x5301f6…
10-14 10:43:11	bac quarterly earnings gaap eps 10 14 2026 1pt16	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x994b90…
10-13 19:29:45	will att t q3 total revenue be above 20261008120021000 32pt4b	No	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x74c693…
10-13 11:08:17	will lam research lrcx q1 total revenue be above 20261008120025000 8pt5b	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf7e8b2…
10-13 08:45:37	will lam research lrcx q1 total revenue be above 20261008120025000 8pt4b	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x96da5d…
10-13 00:16:33	will wildwood score at least 98 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261026	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x8bc1c8…
10-12 22:41:09	will godzilla minus zero score at least 92 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261109	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xcff947…
10-12 22:16:27	will godzilla minus zero score at least 96 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261109	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x20c597…
10-12 22:14:50	will bank of america say merger during earnings call october 14	Yes	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0x910b12…
10-12 22:14:50	will bank of america say zelle during earnings call october 14	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x78093c…
10-12 22:14:50	will bank of america say tailwind during earnings call october 14	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4bf7e9…
10-12 20:09:45	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x943561…
10-11 17:01:06	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 22 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x323c72…
10-11 03:12:45	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x4d058a…
10-10 09:54:04	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 58 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x063783…
10-09 19:17:07	will other mommy score at least 22 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa16889…
10-01 03:15:38	Will Micron say "DDR5" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x1c6e35…
09-30 20:31:47	will micron say nvidia during earnings call september 30	Yes	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x0f1c74…
09-30 20:27:24	will micron say pc during earnings call september 30	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xf99b15…
09-29 21:04:45	will carnival say dock during earnings call september 29	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xee565d…
09-29 21:03:56	will carnival say dock during earnings call september 29	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xfd7ebc…
09-29 14:55:24	will carnival say dock during earnings call september 29	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x3e4b72…
09-28 21:37:06	will micron say nvidia during earnings call september 30	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xf95b7c…
09-28 18:57:39	Will Nike (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x63068f…
09-28 18:51:12	Will Nike (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x581ac9…
09-24 22:01:41	Will Costco say "Revenue" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x1ec674…
09-24 22:00:53	Will Costco say "Revenue" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xcc3915…
09-24 21:57:42	Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xcee4d6…
09-24 21:55:54	Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x3b31dd…
09-24 21:47:12	Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xc852c5…
09-24 21:37:33	Will Costco say "Hot Dog" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x36b459…
09-24 21:06:54	Will Costco say "Hot Dog" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xb80c86…
09-24 12:55:39	Will BlackBerry say "Digital Sovereignty" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x69fe8a…
09-24 12:45:27	Will BlackBerry say "Digital Sovereignty" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	41¢	$0	0xeb52a7…
09-24 12:45:26	Will BlackBerry say "Digital Sovereignty" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7b8418…
09-24 12:44:51	Will BlackBerry say "Digital Sovereignty" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xfd1eb4…
09-23 12:57:25	will cracker barrel say campfire during earnings call 20260923	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x404806…
09-23 12:56:58	will cracker barrel say campfire during earnings call 20260923	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xd9866b…
09-16 21:02:51	Will Lennar Corp (LEN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x61e82b…
09-16 20:31:28	Will Lennar Corp (LEN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xb76329…
09-16 19:57:58	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x35968e…
09-15 20:02:45	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x6abbf4…
09-15 08:11:04	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x520091…
09-15 07:49:03	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xc2f80c…
09-12 13:27:58	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 38m?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x176618…
09-12 13:27:48	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x57ebb2…
09-12 13:27:36	Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xb9cbf8…
09-12 00:00:09	Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x786c65…
09-11 20:38:49	Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x5a7d9a…
09-11 19:16:03	Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x0909dd…
09-11 17:30:16	Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x16d32e…
09-11 17:30:09	Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xe02512…
09-11 12:06:57	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 38m?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf0142d…
09-11 08:39:31	Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x462054…
09-11 08:04:00	Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xd836ad…
09-11 07:36:40	Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x6f0599…
09-11 03:53:42	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by September 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6e14c9…
09-11 00:47:43	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x339323…
09-10 21:58:24	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xc6a552…
09-09 17:55:39	Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x942094…