False-Hop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$25

Hit rate

64.4%

Resolved

422

Trades

1,401

lifetime

Volume

$134.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$96

Open exposure

$499

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-26 16:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 132 days

Categories

Other

77% 58% -$5,149

Sports

12% 53% -$2,972

Politics

11% 44% -$7,305

Crypto

0% 0% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	No	+470	$284	56¢	$263	-$20	10-27 07:11
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Legacy	+223	$125	56¢	$124	-$1	10-27 07:05
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+157	$116	72¢	$112	-$4	09-11 21:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?	9	$5.7K	6,143	0	+6,143	No	+$473	06-01 08:42
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	1	$4.7K	4,822	0	+4,822	No	+$169	06-21 07:21
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	12	$4.1K	2,173	2,173	-0	Team Spirit	+$255	05-17 12:08
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	13	$3.9K	2,860	2,092	+768	No	-$97	10-26 16:35
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	29	$3.4K	10,055	0	+10,055	Yes	-$3,388	04-04 16:30
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	2	$3.2K	3,750	0	+3,750	No	+$525	06-20 13:20
will carlos alcaraz win the 2026 australian open	4	$2.9K	5,087	0	+5,087	Yes	-$2,900	01-27 16:39
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?	2	$2.6K	3,344	0	+3,344	No	+$736	06-19 10:36
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	1	$2.6K	3,252	0	+3,252	Yes	-$2,569	06-21 21:12
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	6	$2.2K	5,995	0	+5,995	No	-$2,214	03-16 08:31
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	7	$2.1K	1,084	1,084	+0	Team Falcons	+$110	05-09 12:22
will usa reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134479	10	$2.0K	3,674	0	+3,674	No	+$1,631	06-22 09:02
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?	20	$2.0K	3,848	0	+3,848	No	+$1,827	05-28 18:14
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	8	$2.0K	2,931	0	+2,931	Knicks	-$1,969	06-05 17:06
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	21	$1.9K	2,494	684	+1,810	Yes	-$1,180	03-12 12:12
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?	1	$1.9K	2,078	0	+2,078	No	+$166	06-17 09:01
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	11	$1.8K	2,397	0	+2,397	TheMongolz	+$554	05-05 16:00
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	5	$1.8K	2,354	0	+2,354	No	+$590	06-11 21:18
will come see me in the good light win best documentary feature film at the 98th academy awards	11	$1.7K	1,102	809	+293	No	+$86	03-07 12:13
will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	23	$1.6K	1,660	605	+1,055	Yes	-$951	03-13 08:24
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	4	$1.5K	3,612	0	+3,612	Yes	-$1,517	05-10 18:32
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	8	$1.5K	1,126	636	+490	No	+$112	02-28 12:10
Will Alex Caruso win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?	2	$1.4K	735	735	+0	No	+$36	05-31 14:22
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	3	$1.4K	777	777	+0	No	+$138	06-20 21:15
Will Latvia win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?	3	$1.4K	713	713	+0	No	+$12	05-28 21:31
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	27	$1.4K	1,923	1,923	+0	No	-$1,203	03-25 20:16
cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07	3	$1.4K	1,571	0	+1,571	Spirit	+$189	06-06 21:57
will all the empty rooms win best documentary short film at the 98th academy awards 268	31	$1.4K	3,395	0	+3,395	Yes	-$1,371	03-13 14:45
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	2	$1.4K	851	851	+0	No	+$340	10-20 21:01
Will Rastislav Mochnacký win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?	21	$1.3K	1,367	328	+1,039	No	+$326	10-25 08:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 07:11:47	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	313	57¢	$179	0x2b0bc3…
10-27 07:05:11	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Legacy	BUY	223	56¢	$125	0x48b461…
10-26 16:35:39	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	2,092	72¢	$1,509	0x8bbfaf…
10-26 13:45:23	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	256	35¢	$89	0xaec452…
10-26 09:17:08	Will Germany win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2?	No	BUY	407	81¢	$329	0x45ebc8…
10-25 08:26:29	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	26	83¢	$21	0xdf2f4d…
10-25 08:25:23	Will Rastislav Mochnacký win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xdf38e5…
10-25 08:24:38	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	303	83¢	$251	0x791b87…
10-25 07:45:26	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	162	83¢	$135	0xa5aaff…
10-25 07:38:09	Will Peter Fiabáne win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?	No	SELL	537	0¢	$2	0xd74e52…
10-25 00:54:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	155	83¢	$129	0x36e260…
10-25 00:53:23	Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	No	SELL	87	99¢	$86	0xa6bca8…
10-25 00:53:06	Will Rastislav Mochnacký win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x133a3b…
10-25 00:50:47	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	456	83¢	$379	0xa296a3…
10-25 00:37:30	Will Ján Nosko win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?	No	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x9b5cfd…
10-25 00:34:36	Will Igor Choma win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0x885112…
10-25 00:32:06	Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	99	0¢	$0	0xbe02f0…
10-25 00:30:15	Will Eva Nemčovská win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?	No	SELL	118	8¢	$9	0x9b5d1f…
10-25 00:27:30	Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	59	2¢	$1	0x0fae71…
10-25 00:27:15	Will Marek Hattas win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	No	SELL	343	3¢	$11	0x9e79c4…
10-25 00:21:50	Will Miloš Mičega win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?	No	SELL	153	99¢	$152	0x68609d…
10-25 00:03:24	Will Ján Forgáč win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x59b934…
10-24 23:51:32	Will Ján Forgáč win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0x534152…
10-24 23:50:08	Will Ján Forgáč win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?	No	SELL	157	11¢	$17	0x5efbe9…
10-24 23:29:42	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	306	84¢	$257	0xf01c8d…
10-24 22:56:33	Will Lenka Kovačevičová win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	41	0¢	$0	0xf6dc6f…
10-24 22:56:23	Will Martin Mudrák win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	41	0¢	$0	0x9dc600…
10-24 22:56:14	Will Ladislav Lörinc win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xdfb872…
10-24 22:56:05	Will Ladislav Lörinc win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?	No	SELL	39	0¢	$0	0xaafe81…
10-24 22:56:05	Will Ladislav Lörinc win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?	No	SELL	460	0¢	$1	0x54fb5c…
10-24 22:55:39	Will Jozef Ráž win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	719	0¢	$1	0x10e326…
10-24 22:55:21	Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	No	SELL	247	0¢	$1	0x09cbb2…
10-24 22:54:02	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	388	83¢	$322	0xf7f18b…
10-24 22:53:06	Will Samuel Migaľ win the 2026 Prešov Region gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0x319f7f…
10-24 22:52:15	Will Igor Choma win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	164	99¢	$163	0x53587e…
10-24 22:51:56	Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb4bc7b…
10-24 21:59:26	Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	1,422	2¢	$34	0xe14b13…
10-24 21:58:59	Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	70	4¢	$3	0x6ab3d6…
10-24 20:45:12	Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	425	0¢	$1	0xf9fb26…
10-24 20:43:47	Will Branislav Becík win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	948	0¢	$2	0x7bc596…
10-24 20:42:59	Will Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	76	0¢	$0	0x50e79e…
10-24 17:29:05	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	53	81¢	$43	0x45064d…
10-24 17:25:29	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	246	81¢	$200	0x7f379b…
10-24 17:19:56	Will Marek Illéš win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	No	SELL	76	96¢	$73	0xd9c21a…
10-24 17:18:51	Will Kosovo win 2026-27 Nations League Group B3?	No	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0x2bf6cc…
10-24 17:17:21	Will Samuel Migaľ win the 2026 Prešov Region gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0x5d09fb…
10-24 15:34:29	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	574	83¢	$478	0x9d6603…
10-24 15:31:54	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x75832d…
10-24 12:47:36	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	150	83¢	$125	0xdc0eb7…
10-24 12:43:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	263	29¢	$76	0x785c4c…
10-23 21:15:41	LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0xf9cad0…
10-23 21:13:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	76	76¢	$58	0xbc05e7…
10-23 20:09:33	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	56	25¢	$14	0x106b67…
10-23 19:37:32	Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	258	12¢	$31	0x515056…
10-23 18:55:02	Will Jozef Ráž win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	258	9¢	$23	0x25e42b…
10-23 16:37:44	Will Jozef Ráž win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	39	7¢	$3	0x367c0e…
10-23 16:36:32	Will Jozef Ráž win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	90	6¢	$5	0x681317…
10-23 15:41:30	Will Ján Nosko win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?	No	SELL	104	54¢	$56	0x037f9a…
10-23 15:38:06	Will Peter Fiabáne win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?	No	SELL	17	46¢	$8	0xf594f4…
10-23 13:38:12	Will Rastislav Johanes win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?	No	BUY	45	71¢	$32	0xafca71…
10-23 13:34:29	Will Rastislav Johanes win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?	No	BUY	45	70¢	$32	0x79eae0…
10-23 13:25:39	Will Jaroslav Polaček win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	185	9¢	$17	0x469a54…
10-22 22:48:54	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	157	67¢	$105	0xd70f4b…
10-22 22:47:06	Will Spirit Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	No	BUY	273	71¢	$194	0x401465…
10-22 22:43:38	Will Jozef Ráž win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xa82718…
10-22 21:49:41	Will Jozef Ráž win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	415	7¢	$31	0x002402…
10-22 08:51:00	Will Jaroslav Polaček win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	184	3¢	$6	0x64793a…
10-22 08:48:54	Will Martin Mudrák win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	41	10¢	$4	0x4dc151…
10-22 08:48:47	Will Lenka Kovačevičová win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	41	8¢	$3	0x6bfae6…
10-22 08:48:42	Will Jaroslav Polaček win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	41	3¢	$1	0x4b5f63…
10-22 08:46:45	Will Ján Nosko win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$5	0xc6831f…
10-22 08:39:56	Will Ladislav Lörinc win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?	No	BUY	114	19¢	$22	0xabe122…
10-22 08:31:56	Will Ladislav Lörinc win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?	No	BUY	326	17¢	$54	0x539406…
10-22 04:57:08	Will Ján Forgáč win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?	No	BUY	120	7¢	$9	0xec3de3…
10-21 21:24:57	Will Jozef Ráž win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	121	4¢	$5	0x46dd1b…
10-21 08:43:18	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	154	21¢	$32	0x793eec…
10-21 08:24:23	Will Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	76	6¢	$5	0xae5db6…
10-21 08:21:14	Will Jozef Ráž win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	42	6¢	$3	0x06de94…
10-21 08:20:59	Will Jozef Ráž win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	143	6¢	$9	0x1c76d9…
10-21 08:12:39	Will Jozef Ráž win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	123	6¢	$7	0x6958b5…
10-21 08:11:54	Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	No	BUY	247	6¢	$15	0x3a702f…
10-20 22:09:47	Will Igor Choma win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	115	91¢	$105	0xe43248…
10-20 22:00:09	Will Branislav Baroš win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?	No	SELL	200	68¢	$136	0xe03549…
10-20 21:02:29	Will Eva Nemčovská win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election?	No	BUY	118	31¢	$37	0x026de8…
10-20 21:01:39	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	SELL	851	100¢	$850	0xfd2774…
10-20 16:28:38	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	851	60¢	$511	0x2ff80d…
10-20 08:15:10	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	86	27¢	$23	0x5225a0…
10-20 08:03:38	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	169	27¢	$45	0x5fbea3…
10-19 23:30:45	Will France win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1?	No	BUY	71	17¢	$12	0xd7d793…
10-19 20:10:47	Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	149	39¢	$58	0x1081ab…
10-19 20:08:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0x48e97e…
10-19 19:56:32	Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	42	38¢	$16	0x51e135…
10-19 19:55:27	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	82	31¢	$26	0xd289e0…
10-19 19:49:39	Will Rastislav Mochnacký win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?	No	SELL	139	89¢	$124	0x877043…
10-19 19:43:11	Will Marek Hattas win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	No	BUY	91	14¢	$13	0x013fb0…
10-19 19:40:08	Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0xf6758c…
10-19 16:33:17	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	39	31¢	$12	0xdeb1af…
10-19 16:27:53	Will Rastislav Mochnacký win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?	No	SELL	114	93¢	$106	0x62edb3…
10-19 16:24:08	Will Igor Choma win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	68	94¢	$64	0x69e4c2…
10-19 16:18:39	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	92	31¢	$28	0x632993…