Variable-Resident — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$273

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.5%

Resolved

1,591

Trades

4,250

lifetime

Volume

$10.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 05:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 44% -$230

Sports

7% 47% -$47

Other

1% 29% +$7

Politics

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 07:30 UTC	2	$115	61	61	+0	Down	+$4	01-09 07:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 09:30 UTC	9	$95	91	78	+14	Up	+$1	01-08 09:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 05:45 UTC	8	$93	56	56	+0	Down	+$8	01-15 06:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 05:00 UTC	6	$89	49	49	+0	Down	+$4	01-14 05:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 02:15 UTC	5	$82	52	42	+10	Down	+$1	01-09 02:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 09:30 UTC	14	$65	69	68	+1	Down	+$14	03-25 09:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 09:15 UTC	9	$61	100	100	+0	Down	+$41	04-09 09:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 04:30 UTC	7	$60	65	65	+0	Down	-$11	01-14 04:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 08:30 UTC	5	$55	67	67	+1	Down	+$15	02-07 08:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 07:45 UTC	9	$48	51	50	+1	Up	+$5	03-20 07:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 07:15 UTC	2	$46	49	0	+49	Down	+$2	01-14 07:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 05:30 UTC	5	$42	58	19	+40	Up	+$2	01-15 05:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 04:45 UTC	3	$40	39	6	+34	Up	+$4	01-16 05:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 09:00 UTC	15	$40	167	119	+48	Up	+$21	04-09 09:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 09:45 UTC	12	$40	40	39	+1	Down	+$8	01-08 09:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 07:45 UTC	9	$39	70	70	+0	Up	+$4	04-17 07:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 09:15 UTC	3	$39	40	19	+20	Down	-$1	03-20 09:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 05:45 UTC	10	$37	37	36	+0	Down	+$8	01-14 06:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 04:45 UTC	4	$37	30	30	+0	Down	+$7	01-14 05:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 06:05 UTC	8	$36	46	43	+3	Up	+$17	04-04 06:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 08:00 UTC	10	$35	47	43	+3	Down	+$8	04-17 08:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 08:50 UTC	3	$34	40	40	+0	Down	+$14	03-24 08:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 08:15 UTC	12	$33	31	30	+0	Down	+$6	03-20 08:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 06:30 UTC	7	$33	25	24	+0	Down	+$5	01-12 06:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 05:15 UTC	1	$32	36	0	+36	Up	-$32	01-19 05:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 09:30 UTC	7	$32	38	30	+7	Down	-$2	01-20 09:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 12:15 UTC	8	$32	57	53	+4	Up	+$20	04-10 12:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 09:15 UTC	5	$31	34	34	+0	Down	+$7	01-14 09:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 09:45 UTC	7	$31	38	36	+3	Down	+$7	01-15 09:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 07:15 UTC	6	$30	32	26	+6	Down	+$18	01-13 07:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 05:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x5ea25e…
10-27 05:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xaee079…
10-27 05:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x0d96a3…
10-27 05:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x640355…
10-27 05:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xa9e984…
10-27 05:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x589e37…
10-26 10:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x4f46fa…
10-26 10:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x0c8281…
10-26 08:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf42110…
10-26 08:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x35804d…
10-26 08:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe68868…
10-26 08:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe48af1…
08-08 08:55:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x352e80…
08-08 08:48:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x03ce80…
08-08 08:43:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 08:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x4f4ab0…
08-08 08:42:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x68dcd6…
08-08 08:37:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 08:35 UTC	Down	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x776fed…
08-08 08:36:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x100bca…
08-08 08:34:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc07248…
08-08 08:32:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x05dd83…
08-08 08:26:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xcae99a…
08-08 08:24:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 08:20 UTC	Down	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x0bf3e1…
08-08 08:22:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd76126…
08-08 08:19:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 08:15 UTC	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x0368c6…
08-08 08:18:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xf56f37…
08-08 08:17:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0xaf58d9…
08-08 08:15:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xe8bb4f…
08-08 08:12:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 08:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x1f71d3…
08-08 08:11:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf95c45…
08-08 08:11:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 08:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x51a119…
08-08 08:10:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x778cf7…
08-08 08:06:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x518a93…
08-08 08:04:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x0c1414…
08-08 08:03:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x837982…
08-08 07:52:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe47053…
08-08 07:49:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xcbbd7b…
08-08 07:49:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x836d31…
08-08 07:48:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:45 UTC	Down	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x654178…
08-08 07:47:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0a8651…
08-08 07:45:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdbada0…
08-08 07:44:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xf0f13a…
08-08 07:43:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8e2587…
08-08 07:42:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:40 UTC	Down	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x85d1ec…
08-08 07:40:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x525cb8…
08-08 07:38:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xce34e3…
08-08 07:37:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:35 UTC	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x2ec308…
08-08 07:36:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5f0821…
08-08 07:36:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2935fc…
08-08 07:34:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0ff695…
08-08 07:32:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xae3e49…
08-08 07:32:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	83¢	$3	0x01a315…
08-08 07:31:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x5f1899…
08-08 07:29:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:25 UTC	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x7035c4…
08-08 07:28:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xce217e…
08-08 07:24:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:20 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4e07ee…
08-08 07:22:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xdf01f2…
08-08 07:19:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb79094…
08-08 07:16:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:15 UTC	Down	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0x8613bb…
08-08 07:14:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x02896e…
08-08 07:13:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:10 UTC	Up	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x623ff3…
08-08 07:12:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x38e0f7…
08-08 07:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5e8d59…
08-08 07:04:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xdd16a5…
08-08 07:01:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xb40a88…
08-08 07:00:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd26ec8…
08-08 06:55:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x2f83a5…
08-08 06:50:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5aa605…
05-30 08:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x953fdb…
05-30 08:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x5a8ee9…
05-30 08:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7d9770…
05-30 08:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0x90bbed…
05-30 08:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x80e55b…
05-30 08:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1a5e82…
05-30 07:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1c87a4…
05-30 07:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4958f5…
05-30 07:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0x1b5ec4…
05-30 07:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x7016e0…
05-30 07:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x99124c…
05-30 07:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x76e65e…
05-30 07:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xf4856e…
05-30 07:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4f16f2…
05-30 07:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x7cc694…
05-30 07:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9a1c5d…
05-30 07:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x610511…
05-30 07:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x35299b…
05-30 07:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xd26781…
05-30 07:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x12ae2d…
05-30 07:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x45f2fd…
05-30 07:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	14	47¢	$7	0x3b0927…
05-30 07:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x715ba1…
05-30 07:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xc41569…
05-30 07:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xbf86a7…
05-30 07:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0f20eb…
05-30 07:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5eda3a…
05-30 07:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x83b84d…
05-30 07:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xe15203…
05-30 07:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7986a4…
05-30 07:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x47ce66…
05-30 07:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2eaa52…
05-20 09:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0x1aa61e…