Misguided-Compassion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

148

lifetime

Volume

$1.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 07-31 15:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

46% — —

Politics

41% 0% $-10

Tech

6% — —

Sports

4% — —

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	7	$185	10,286	0	+10,286	open	—	03-02 17:16
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	4	$110	155	0	+155	open	—	01-30 00:29
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	3	$60	75	0	+75	open	—	01-23 08:00
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 28	1	$50	54	0	+54	open	—	02-27 20:22
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	1	$50	61	0	+61	open	—	01-31 11:52
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$40	45	0	+45	open	—	02-27 20:20
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$40	48	0	+48	open	—	01-30 05:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$34	21	21	+0	open	—	04-22 17:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$30	36	36	+0	open	—	03-03 04:04
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	2	$30	54	0	+54	open	—	01-20 15:30
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$30	39	0	+39	open	—	04-20 01:53
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$30	34	0	+34	open	—	02-13 13:34
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$30	46	19	+26	open	—	01-29 18:53
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$25	31	0	+31	open	—	02-20 06:50
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	3	$24	34	6	+28	open	—	01-10 06:46
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	02-28 06:53
will joo cotrim de figueiredo win between 16 and 18 of votes in the first round	1	$21	23	0	+23	open	—	01-19 10:49
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	02-06 02:29
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$20	56	0	+56	open	—	03-05 15:31
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	01-24 08:40
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	2	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	03-17 00:25
will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	01-30 00:27
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	01-09 10:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	04-29 01:37
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	01-11 09:21
will golden ejae and mark sonnenblick win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	2	$20	28	0	+28	open	—	01-31 15:49
us bank failure by february 28	1	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	01-30 00:28
another us bank failure by february 28	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	02-01 13:50
will no government funding bill be passed by january 31 2026 823	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	01-29 18:54
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$15	19	0	+19	open	—	02-14 07:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 15:56:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xb8d427…
07-26 14:51:34	Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x3e68e5…
07-14 19:27:49	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x682187…
07-14 19:26:41	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x84a26d…
07-14 19:26:34	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xee7083…
07-13 02:53:31	will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xbf44b9…
07-12 05:10:37	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x7694e1…
07-10 17:06:31	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x83bf33…
07-10 02:40:07	will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by december 31 846 461	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xdf7c3d…
07-10 02:39:49	will openais valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 937 533	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x82ac3f…
07-10 02:39:41	will openais valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 366 424	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x059cea…
07-10 02:38:04	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xcecb1a…
07-10 02:37:58	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xdbc62e…
07-10 02:37:53	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x8731c2…
07-10 02:37:44	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x4a205b…
07-09 01:42:49	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x738c1c…
07-09 01:40:04	lol blg hle1 2026 07 09	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xe3f592…
07-08 10:56:28	wta kostyuk paolini 2026 07 07	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xb1c677…
07-07 03:46:17	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	21¢	$5	0x5beb2e…
07-04 02:53:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xa03a5d…
07-04 02:52:16	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xaba741…
06-29 20:06:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xe3dfc0…
06-12 14:24:49	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4be16a…
06-11 10:55:27	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x3901cc…
06-11 10:55:22	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x3866b8…
06-11 10:51:33	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xacfebf…
06-04 02:06:04	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xb0667b…
06-04 02:05:54	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x61c759…
06-04 02:05:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xc8be82…
05-25 02:30:05	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x22384c…
05-25 02:29:57	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xf104eb…
05-25 02:28:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x436aa8…
05-25 02:28:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x0a165d…
05-25 02:28:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x39e943…
05-04 03:38:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe885ee…
04-29 01:37:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x341cbd…
04-22 17:46:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	21	93¢	$19	0x6a2958…
04-22 17:43:02	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt39	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xde02df…
04-20 01:53:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x5e02b1…
04-18 11:36:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x9dc99e…
04-18 11:33:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x45c3bf…
04-18 11:33:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x7d22ce…
04-18 11:33:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x569c8f…
04-18 11:32:56	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x2a12ac…
04-17 01:22:28	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x5bc89b…
04-17 01:18:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x2006b3…
04-17 01:17:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0xa4eee0…
03-17 00:26:55	will usa win the 2026 world baseball classic	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x17364e…
03-17 00:25:41	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x5f97b0…
03-17 00:25:35	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x320454…
03-16 01:24:41	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x1f269c…
03-05 15:31:01	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x3f5ed0…
03-03 04:04:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0x383d4d…
03-02 17:16:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x7df7da…
03-02 07:36:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x63870d…
03-02 05:36:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x1b9b3d…
02-28 16:18:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	195	51¢	$100	0x3f92e5…
02-28 16:16:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xabea1e…
02-28 07:04:09	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	No	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xad807e…
02-28 07:03:47	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	No	BUY	345	1¢	$5	0x89895c…
02-28 06:53:35	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	SELL	13	98¢	$12	0x12d748…
02-28 06:52:09	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x9cf4ba…
02-28 06:51:57	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x345708…
02-27 20:24:17	will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x31dada…
02-27 20:24:11	will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xeed16c…
02-27 20:22:03	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 28	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x93fc7a…
02-27 20:20:59	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xf55ea7…
02-27 16:33:43	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x9f9125…
02-27 16:33:35	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x94c8d1…
02-27 13:17:53	spx opens up or down on february 27 2026	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xf72132…
02-27 10:23:41	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xe5fad1…
02-27 10:22:39	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x834832…
02-27 10:22:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xfd21ba…
02-27 10:21:39	spx opens up or down on february 27 2026	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x639502…
02-27 10:21:15	will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x436bc9…
02-27 10:19:47	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x9a27cb…
02-27 10:19:35	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x708cf3…
02-27 00:10:46	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x7887ed…
02-27 00:10:26	another us bank failure by march 31	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc6f0e1…
02-23 10:37:30	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x7dc9df…
02-23 09:45:20	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x0576a5…
02-23 09:34:48	will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x44f700…
02-20 07:50:46	bynd quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 25 2026 neg0pt08	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x5ee4c7…
02-20 06:50:10	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xd63562…
02-20 06:49:06	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x4d9187…
02-20 06:48:22	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xe6688b…
02-20 00:56:26	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x3c6200…
02-16 02:53:25	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 10 million	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xa64a31…
02-16 02:53:11	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 8 million	No	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x182c5b…
02-16 02:51:45	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 7 million	No	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0x8be605…
02-15 12:39:39	will sinners win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9293b9…
02-15 12:39:25	will frankenstein win exactly 3 awards at the oscars	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x243c96…
02-15 12:39:15	will frankenstein win exactly 3 awards at the oscars	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xb13095…
02-15 12:38:47	will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd3613f…
02-15 12:38:35	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x6d9d93…
02-15 12:38:17	will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa954b9…
02-15 12:38:01	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x602af2…
02-15 03:41:19	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x0e0685…
02-15 03:40:39	lol t1 fox1 2026 02 15	T1	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x1ae879…
02-14 07:01:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x05175c…