Composed-Creditor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$930

Unrealized P&L

-$934

Hit rate

53.9%

Resolved

3,633

Trades

8,946

lifetime

Volume

$69.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$670

1 position

First seen

2026-04-21

last 10-27 16:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 43% -$3,256

Other

13% 42% +$572

Sports

8% 57% +$1,756

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes		+15,961	$1,605	4¢	$670	-$934	10-27 16:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$3.8K	3,443	3,443	+0	Yes	+$1,823	07-18 22:21
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	2	$2.1K	1,184	1,184	+0	Yes	+$263	07-02 20:29
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	9	$2.1K	4,391	2,853	+1,537	Belgium	+$532	07-01 22:44
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	14	$1.7K	16,374	413	+15,961	open	—	10-27 16:37
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	5	$1.1K	2,181	1,181	+1,000	England	+$110	07-11 23:16
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	59	$863	43,223	846	+42,377	No	-$237	07-19 21:49
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	3	$786	1,741	571	+1,169	Norway	+$346	07-05 22:04
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	2	$743	448	448	+0	Yes	+$143	07-05 21:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 15:00 UTC	36	$512	1,280	0	+1,280	Down	+$768	04-21 15:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	26	$487	397	397	+0	Up	+$237	08-20 08:18
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$444	3,007	2,540	+467	No	+$144	07-11 19:02
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	1	$400	1,026	0	+1,026	No	-$400	07-02 13:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 23:40 UTC	84	$373	933	0	+933	Up	+$40	04-21 23:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 23:35 UTC	53	$336	841	0	+841	Up	+$5	04-21 23:36
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	7	$325	5,076	0	+5,076	Down	-$325	08-20 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	15	$319	890	0	+890	Down	+$321	04-25 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$314	640	0	+640	Down	-$314	04-28 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$314	640	0	+640	Down	+$326	04-29 13:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	11	$314	640	0	+640	Up	-$314	05-01 14:55
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	20	$314	640	0	+640	Up	+$326	04-28 09:10
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	16	$314	640	0	+640	Down	+$326	05-01 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	12	$314	640	0	+640	Down	-$314	04-30 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	17	$314	640	0	+640	Down	+$326	04-25 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	17	$314	640	0	+640	Down	-$314	05-02 02:20
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	34	$314	640	0	+640	Down	+$326	04-28 05:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	29	$314	640	0	+640	Down	+$326	05-01 10:30
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	29	$314	640	0	+640	Down	+$326	04-27 10:10
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	27	$314	640	0	+640	Up	-$314	05-01 23:21
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	49	$314	640	0	+640	Down	-$314	04-30 08:15
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	24	$314	640	0	+640	Up	+$326	04-29 11:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 16:37:35	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	SELL	413	11¢	$45	0xcb417c…
08-28 15:01:31	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	1,263	8¢	$101	0x56cb41…
08-28 07:17:43	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x662239…
08-28 07:16:27	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	150	8¢	$12	0xd4057c…
08-28 06:30:45	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x17adc4…
08-28 00:47:16	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x96b96d…
08-27 21:43:04	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	171	8¢	$14	0xf8f5e0…
08-27 21:27:34	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	54	8¢	$4	0x050895…
08-27 19:57:12	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0x507d65…
08-27 19:27:45	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	90	8¢	$7	0x7091b5…
08-27 19:27:22	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	53	8¢	$4	0xbbf8c2…
08-27 19:19:39	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	49	8¢	$4	0x88396f…
08-27 19:18:30	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xf8e31f…
08-27 08:28:49	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	14,499	10¢	$1,500	0xfbd875…
08-20 08:38:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa3ab8e…
08-20 08:38:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x5a040d…
08-20 08:34:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xfbc009…
08-20 08:27:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x3eb29c…
08-20 08:25:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x27b409…
08-20 08:23:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xe597ae…
08-20 08:23:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	633	4¢	$25	0xb34ac0…
08-20 08:21:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x3a1d6e…
08-20 08:19:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1,576	2¢	$25	0xb53da0…
08-20 08:19:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	717	3¢	$25	0x5fd777…
08-20 08:19:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1,083	2¢	$25	0xa6cddf…
08-20 08:18:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	51	91¢	$46	0x55cdc7…
08-20 08:18:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xd02ba7…
08-20 08:18:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xcb301a…
08-20 08:18:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xa1c5e6…
08-20 08:18:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0xa11da8…
08-20 08:18:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	25	91¢	$22	0x91cd54…
08-20 08:18:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x868f70…
08-20 08:18:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x623594…
08-20 08:18:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x345c90…
08-20 08:18:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x2c34fb…
08-20 08:18:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x135239…
08-20 08:18:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	31	91¢	$28	0x10f0c0…
08-20 08:17:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xf941f4…
08-20 08:17:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	17	91¢	$15	0xea6730…
08-20 08:17:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x9bff9a…
08-20 08:17:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0x93a40d…
08-20 08:17:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x8f86a3…
08-20 08:17:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	64	91¢	$59	0x8ac44c…
08-20 08:17:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x7bbc25…
08-20 08:17:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	21	91¢	$19	0x77dd11…
08-20 08:17:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	55	91¢	$50	0x4b3677…
08-20 08:17:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x46dcae…
08-20 08:17:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x30f669…
08-20 08:17:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	17	91¢	$15	0x1363ec…
08-20 08:16:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	645	4¢	$25	0xa70834…
08-20 08:16:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	328	8¢	$25	0x4b2365…
08-20 08:15:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	219	11¢	$25	0xbd2768…
08-20 08:15:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	511	20¢	$100	0x299b2c…
08-20 08:15:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	216	46¢	$100	0x70b41b…
08-20 08:14:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xf76ace…
07-19 21:49:31	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,012	0¢	$5	0x7301db…
07-19 21:49:25	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0xfad0de…
07-19 21:49:19	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	53	0¢	$0	0x2d0f06…
07-19 21:49:16	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0xad4df1…
07-19 21:48:51	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xf5f2a7…
07-19 21:48:49	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x6ed234…
07-19 21:48:34	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	310	0¢	$0	0x8ece4f…
07-19 21:47:55	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	267	0¢	$0	0xab70b0…
07-19 21:47:48	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	193	0¢	$0	0x4e0334…
07-19 21:47:46	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x94556e…
07-19 21:47:42	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	110	0¢	$0	0x4d42c2…
07-19 21:46:48	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x617e45…
07-19 21:46:43	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,899	0¢	$4	0x4cd44c…
07-19 21:46:36	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	386	0¢	$0	0xb5b247…
07-19 21:46:22	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xf4573e…
07-19 21:46:22	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xca0213…
07-19 21:46:10	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,092	0¢	$3	0xdaec08…
07-19 21:46:01	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	585	0¢	$1	0x207d0b…
07-19 21:45:58	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	274	0¢	$0	0xb6acc2…
07-19 21:45:57	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,403	0¢	$3	0x160ca3…
07-19 21:12:43	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,293	0¢	$4	0xe15f64…
07-19 21:12:37	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x9953c1…
07-19 21:12:21	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x3d2e35…
07-19 21:12:18	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x69e1df…
07-19 21:12:09	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,025	0¢	$3	0x0dbd35…
07-19 21:12:06	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x395f71…
07-19 21:12:00	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	205	0¢	$1	0x70c0b2…
07-19 21:11:55	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	97	0¢	$0	0x424961…
07-19 21:11:36	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x2acb5f…
07-19 21:11:33	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	73	0¢	$0	0x22905c…
07-19 21:11:15	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	76	0¢	$0	0xa0ed6b…
07-19 21:11:12	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6,954	0¢	$21	0xe1344b…
07-19 21:10:39	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	117	0¢	$0	0x8f1ed3…
07-19 20:57:00	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	733	1¢	$7	0x37033b…
07-19 20:56:52	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xc73a52…
07-19 20:56:49	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$2	0x43cf7f…
07-19 20:56:42	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	290	1¢	$3	0xd82a6d…
07-19 20:56:34	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x721516…
07-19 20:56:31	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	215	1¢	$2	0xcf9587…
07-19 20:53:49	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	129	1¢	$1	0xe2aabf…
07-19 20:53:34	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,841	1¢	$18	0x5fe451…
07-19 20:51:21	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xe7ec33…
07-19 20:51:18	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0x13e981…
07-19 20:51:04	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x92460a…
07-19 20:50:54	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	115	1¢	$1	0xd84247…