Mealy-Ring — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.69K

Unrealized P&L

+$229

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

333

Trades

647

lifetime

Volume

$121.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$188

Open exposure

$1.22K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-11

last 11-03 21:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Politics

57% 60% -$3,093

Other

40% 80% -$2,831

Sports

2% 70% +$387

Crypto

1% 63% -$145

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	No		+1,686	$994	72¢	$1.2K	+$229	11-03 21:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	2	$8.2K	6,793	6,793	+0	No	-$213	05-26 16:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$8.1K	4,133	4,133	+0	No	+$94	05-27 00:22
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	5	$7.9K	5,541	5,541	+0	No	+$564	05-26 16:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	5	$5.6K	4,432	1,843	+2,590	No	+$289	05-21 08:50
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	4	$4.8K	4,395	2,205	+2,190	No	-$1,609	05-27 02:01
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$4.0K	2,051	2,051	+0	No	+$50	05-16 06:36
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$3.8K	4,810	4,810	+0	No	-$265	05-24 13:01
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	2	$3.7K	3,994	3,994	+0	Yes	-$1,488	05-23 10:21
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	5	$3.6K	2,725	2,725	+0	Yes	+$205	09-21 03:05
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	2	$3.0K	1,808	1,808	+0	No	+$21	05-20 22:17
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$2.1K	2,072	284	+1,788	No	+$40	05-27 00:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	2	$2.1K	1,149	1,149	+0	No	+$69	05-31 22:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$2.1K	1,152	1,152	+0	No	+$19	06-01 07:35
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,059	1,059	+0	No	+$57	05-17 03:37
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,032	1,032	+0	No	+$43	05-15 17:01
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.8K	1,158	1,158	+0	open	—	11-03 21:53
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	1	$1.4K	1,504	0	+1,504	No	+$60	05-16 17:20
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	6	$1.4K	1,405	1,405	+0	Yes	-$14	06-19 15:26
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	8	$1.2K	1,451	1,451	+0	Yes	-$268	06-17 00:10
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	3	$1.2K	813	813	+0	No	+$343	06-13 15:55
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	6	$1.1K	757	757	+0	No	+$56	06-22 21:58
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	1	$994	1,686	0	+1,686	open	—	11-03 21:54
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$853	1,010	1,010	+0	No	-$847	06-01 08:09
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 27?	5	$703	509	509	+0	Yes	+$303	05-27 16:22
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or below on July 25?	4	$678	344	344	+0	No	+$8	07-25 17:00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	1	$674	758	0	+758	Yes	+$83	06-19 15:28
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$662	887	887	+0	Yes	+$374	07-17 06:31
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$640	56,809	0	+56,809	No	-$640	05-27 00:41
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	5	$608	7,297	210	+7,087	Yes	-$292	06-14 21:37
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	3	$578	1,006	816	+190	Yes	-$322	06-01 08:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 21:54:52	Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,686	59¢	$994	0x6f256a…
11-03 21:53:01	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,158	86¢	$995	0xfdb8f8…
09-21 03:06:49	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,158	72¢	$834	0xd427d8…
09-21 03:05:02	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	843	99¢	$834	0x328f84…
08-13 21:50:16	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	843	68¢	$573	0xedf807…
08-03 08:09:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	8,019	0¢	$10	0x2612e8…
08-03 08:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x3fef03…
08-03 07:59:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x2c3982…
08-02 23:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 3?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x44ceb4…
08-02 22:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 77°F or below on August 2?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x8d93d5…
08-02 21:50:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0x3fc59d…
08-02 21:40:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 3?	No	BUY	148	99¢	$147	0x069c49…
08-02 21:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 3?	No	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0xf45368…
08-02 15:57:47	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 2?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xc0438d…
08-02 15:57:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 2?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x245bc3…
08-02 15:57:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 2?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf41c35…
08-02 15:48:26	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 2?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x70575d…
08-02 15:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 77°F or below on August 2?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xaef5b2…
08-02 15:25:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 2?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x349444…
08-02 15:23:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 2?	No	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0xc0be83…
08-02 09:37:35	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 2?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x597e98…
08-02 09:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xeff5c9…
08-02 09:31:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 2?	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0xec8d5f…
08-02 09:27:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 2?	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x94cf5b…
08-02 09:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on August 2?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xea6a32…
08-02 09:24:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 2?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xd23b61…
08-02 09:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or below on August 2?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x82e975…
08-01 23:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on August 2?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x38e375…
08-01 23:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or below on August 2?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x6be707…
08-01 23:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 2?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xe460ed…
08-01 20:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 1?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x35d0e1…
08-01 19:42:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 1?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x83d2ee…
08-01 19:42:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 1?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0xa2bba2…
08-01 19:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 1?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x23f5e7…
08-01 19:39:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 1?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0xf333bd…
08-01 19:35:02	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 1?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x127504…
08-01 19:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 1?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xed2b86…
08-01 12:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 1?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0xc24fd6…
08-01 10:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0x5cf066…
08-01 09:59:53	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 1?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x01c592…
08-01 09:58:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 1?	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0xb10844…
08-01 09:57:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 1?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x0e0a81…
08-01 09:54:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C or higher on August 1?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x4724fd…
08-01 09:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 1?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xddf27c…
08-01 03:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C or higher on August 1?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x30863e…
08-01 03:08:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 1?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x0bf5a4…
08-01 03:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x168402…
07-31 22:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 31?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xfc2e0c…
07-31 10:05:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on July 31?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x67c53e…
07-31 10:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0xdc9282…
07-31 10:03:29	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 31?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x751240…
07-31 10:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 31?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0xc16266…
07-31 10:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 31?	No	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0xc3110d…
07-30 22:56:53	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 30?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x3ef53d…
07-30 20:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 31?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x4a7c19…
07-30 20:29:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 31?	No	BUY	58	87¢	$50	0x78c686…
07-30 20:26:41	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 30?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xc7b2e3…
07-30 20:24:27	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 30?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x0b1913…
07-30 20:24:20	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 30?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x97a5d8…
07-30 17:03:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 30?	No	BUY	101	89¢	$90	0x716627…
07-30 17:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 30?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x7f81a1…
07-30 16:59:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 30?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xb6247b…
07-30 16:57:53	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 30?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xf8fd45…
07-30 16:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 30?	No	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0xd0bc8e…
07-30 16:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 30?	No	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0xb534a4…
07-30 16:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 30?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x15985d…
07-30 16:51:41	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on July 30?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x813d60…
07-30 16:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 30?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x636b56…
07-30 16:51:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 30?	No	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x11b180…
07-30 16:51:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 30?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0xee9f60…
07-30 16:50:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 30?	No	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0xad3acf…
07-30 10:46:03	Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x2a3acd…
07-30 10:43:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 30?	No	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0x9161d7…
07-30 09:01:59	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 30?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0xa2f8d9…
07-30 08:55:11	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x5f61eb…
07-30 08:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 30?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x8cf889…
07-30 08:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on July 30?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x6769fe…
07-30 08:48:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 30?	No	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xaf8229…
07-30 08:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 30?	No	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0x864ea6…
07-30 08:44:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 30?	No	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0x4f2fc1…
07-29 23:23:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0x474cc0…
07-29 22:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 30?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xc05b1d…
07-29 21:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 29?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xef0a4b…
07-29 21:57:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on July 29?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xe2c1b5…
07-29 21:53:39	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 29?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x741681…
07-29 21:43:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on July 29?	No	SELL	153	100¢	$153	0x88a6e8…
07-29 21:19:41	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 29?	No	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0x11687f…
07-29 21:17:02	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 29?	No	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0x17d8a5…
07-29 21:15:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on July 29?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x0ca44f…
07-29 21:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 29?	No	SELL	65	2¢	$1	0xe55aad…
07-29 20:28:26	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 29?	No	BUY	70	85¢	$60	0x5ce392…
07-29 20:22:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x2f4bbd…
07-29 20:21:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 29?	No	BUY	83	97¢	$80	0xeca5ba…
07-29 20:17:56	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on July 29?	No	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0xccf34f…
07-29 17:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 29?	No	BUY	65	92¢	$60	0xf21da7…
07-29 17:56:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 29?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x7e63ca…
07-29 15:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	84	89¢	$75	0x54203c…
07-29 15:19:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 29?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xd90cf2…
07-29 15:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C on July 29?	No	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0x2b440b…
07-29 15:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 29?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xdcb0f5…