Live-Grove — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.63K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

53.4%

Resolved

339

Trades

3,427

lifetime

Volume

$26.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-03-30

last 11-03 19:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% -$1,635

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 10, 2026?	Yes		+46	$15	23¢	$11	-$4	11-03 19:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:05 UTC	82	$1.3K	1,800	1,350	+450	Down	+$32	06-07 19:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:40 UTC	82	$1.1K	1,525	1,334	+192	Up	-$296	06-08 12:43
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:45 UTC	27	$823	870	867	+3	Down	-$15	06-08 12:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:10 UTC	15	$674	862	862	+0	Up	-$110	06-07 19:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:15 UTC	35	$664	1,177	197	+980	Up	+$12	06-07 16:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 11:40 UTC	47	$580	1,200	0	+1,200	Down	+$20	06-08 11:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:05 UTC	36	$548	1,129	0	+1,129	Up	+$17	06-08 12:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:15 UTC	27	$516	462	462	+0	Up	+$316	06-04 02:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:05 UTC	33	$490	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$10	06-07 16:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:45 UTC	76	$475	944	0	+944	Down	-$281	06-08 12:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 14:30 UTC	8	$396	300	300	+0	Up	+$120	06-07 14:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 22:15 UTC	2	$388	800	0	+800	Down	+$12	06-07 22:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 14:50 UTC	33	$388	800	0	+800	Up	+$12	06-07 14:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 15:10 UTC	24	$388	800	0	+800	Up	+$12	06-07 15:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 15:50 UTC	7	$369	762	0	+762	Up	-$17	06-07 15:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 13:10 UTC	106	$365	566	0	+566	Down	-$70	06-08 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:50 UTC	117	$338	616	0	+616	Down	-$12	06-08 12:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 13:00 UTC	100	$307	505	0	+505	Down	+$37	06-08 13:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 11:25 UTC	33	$291	600	0	+600	Down	+$9	06-08 11:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 11:20 UTC	35	$290	600	0	+600	Up	+$10	06-08 11:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 11:45 UTC	29	$259	244	244	+0	Up	+$59	06-07 11:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 13:15 UTC	97	$249	416	0	+416	Down	+$11	06-08 13:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 01:45 UTC	12	$222	597	0	+597	Up	-$75	06-13 01:44
bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 7pm et	17	$216	222	222	+0	Up	+$16	06-11 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	20	$202	420	0	+420	Up	-$2	06-02 17:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 15:15 UTC	9	$201	200	200	+0	Down	+$11	06-07 15:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 01:15 UTC	3	$197	450	0	+450	Down	-$197	06-13 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 13:20 UTC	66	$197	315	0	+315	Down	-$112	06-08 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	21	$191	390	0	+390	Down	+$4	06-02 17:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 02:00 UTC	12	$189	450	0	+450	Down	-$189	06-13 01:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 19:35:19	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	31¢	$15	0x2d91bc…
10-28 11:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xd252b7…
10-28 11:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x402354…
10-28 11:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x6c53e8…
10-28 11:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x161cdb…
10-28 11:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	14	17¢	$2	0x763bcd…
10-28 11:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xb35099…
06-14 19:38:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x69fef4…
06-14 19:33:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x52a997…
06-13 10:17:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xdc96bc…
06-13 10:17:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0xc973e9…
06-13 10:17:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	53	45¢	$24	0xc303bb…
06-13 10:17:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	70	37¢	$26	0xb247e9…
06-13 10:17:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x47b5fb…
06-13 10:17:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	51	44¢	$23	0x0041eb…
06-13 10:08:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x788898…
06-13 10:05:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x98dede…
06-13 10:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	70	37¢	$26	0x7f0c01…
06-13 10:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	70	37¢	$26	0x47d07f…
06-13 10:02:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xa3b63a…
06-13 09:54:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	35	44¢	$15	0xb94e06…
06-13 09:54:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x1e39ac…
06-13 09:54:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x0b726b…
06-13 09:54:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x0c2224…
06-13 09:54:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe583b9…
06-13 09:54:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x49951b…
06-13 09:54:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x261a71…
06-13 09:53:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xfed663…
06-13 09:53:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x8cfd70…
06-13 09:42:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	70	39¢	$27	0xbdfba8…
06-13 09:42:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xa37d94…
06-13 09:42:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	70	39¢	$27	0x8784a1…
06-13 09:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	70	31¢	$22	0x83d62f…
06-13 09:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	70	31¢	$22	0x81cf64…
06-13 09:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x643518…
06-13 09:32:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0xeab230…
06-13 09:32:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0xdb5aa6…
06-13 09:32:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	65	45¢	$29	0xc0ca95…
06-13 09:32:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xba3cc1…
06-13 09:32:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	47	44¢	$21	0x829751…
06-13 09:32:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	70	38¢	$27	0x727058…
06-13 09:32:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x3fa6e2…
06-13 09:32:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1c2695…
06-13 09:26:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	70	39¢	$27	0xfc6b24…
06-13 09:26:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	70	39¢	$27	0x6ccbcf…
06-13 09:26:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x0bd7dd…
06-13 09:07:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	56	39¢	$22	0x7152d3…
06-13 09:07:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x6c2645…
06-13 09:07:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	70	39¢	$27	0x2c9b48…
06-13 09:07:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xce1bd4…
06-13 08:44:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x421dd2…
06-13 08:43:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x722bbb…
06-13 08:43:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x349f5a…
06-13 08:43:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x0001aa…
06-13 08:43:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0x37061f…
06-13 08:43:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	33	44¢	$15	0x01fe12…
06-13 08:42:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x969ea7…
06-13 08:42:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x58fb31…
06-13 08:39:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	70	44¢	$31	0x258e1b…
06-13 08:38:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x2c1626…
06-13 08:05:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x2dda9f…
06-13 07:59:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	45¢	$13	0x026b82…
06-13 07:58:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x14bfd1…
06-13 07:57:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xe83842…
06-13 07:54:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0xaee466…
06-13 07:54:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xa07e66…
06-13 07:49:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x9363c4…
06-13 07:49:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0xce2a11…
06-13 07:49:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x063a89…
06-13 07:49:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xdfda95…
06-13 07:48:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	64	44¢	$28	0x2923aa…
06-13 07:44:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	66	44¢	$29	0x246d92…
06-13 07:39:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x7a4dc9…
06-13 07:39:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	96	45¢	$43	0x71cd34…
06-13 07:39:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x3b57b0…
06-13 07:39:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfd3a5d…
06-13 07:39:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6896dc…
06-13 07:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	64	44¢	$28	0x2d1229…
06-13 07:29:49	Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5bf28b…
06-13 07:29:46	Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0x33fa52…
06-13 07:29:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xb05635…
06-13 07:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x05dbe6…
06-13 07:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	70	44¢	$31	0x346319…
06-13 07:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0x940a3d…
06-13 07:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x791dc8…
06-13 06:59:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x467840…
06-13 06:59:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x505385…
06-13 06:59:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x20b476…
06-13 06:59:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x4085ef…
06-13 06:59:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xed5d1d…
06-13 06:54:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0xc84e0a…
06-13 06:54:42	Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x788886…
06-13 06:54:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	44¢	$17	0x964d14…
06-13 06:54:22	Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x09e0b4…
06-13 06:54:13	Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7222c8…
06-13 06:54:06	Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x22a971…
06-13 06:49:36	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x93f911…
06-13 06:49:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x2ecfa4…
06-13 06:47:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0xa80f26…
06-13 06:47:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	56	44¢	$24	0x5557e4…